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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
219 Princeton Ivy 98.7
267
101.8
176
.4101 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 14 1.26 0
220 Harvard Ivy 97.9
282
101.1
159
.4097 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 49.5 1.01 0
350 Columbia Ivy 90.7
354
108.9
310
.1093 0-0 0-0 26.7% 18.8% 5.8 0.85 30
154 Yale Ivy 102.4
166
100.9
156
.5405 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 3.1 1.63 31
352 Bethune Cookman SWAC 90.3
356
109.4
318
.0991 0-0 0-0 9.2% 7.0% 3.6 1.95 239
344 Cornell Ivy 93.1
340
110.3
330
.1243 0-0 0-0 38.5% 27.9% -0 0.87 31
358 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 85.6
358
111.7
346
.0448 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% 0 1.17 97
310 Brown Ivy 90.7
353
101.3
164
.2188 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 0.6 1.14 61
328 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
351
104.0
217
.1786 0-0 0-0 29.9% 23.3% 4 1.14 60
184 Penn Ivy 96.7
308
97.2
86
.4831 0-0 0-0 35.4% 33.8% 0 1.5 155
337 St. Thomas Sum 95.3
322
110.9
340
.1486 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 7.9 2.23 321
72 Penn St. B10 106.2
73
96.8
78
.7420 10-14 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 18.7 2.47 149
35 West Virginia B12 109.9
19
96.2
68
.8219 15-11 9-8 48.7% 42.3% 29 2.2 97
31 Indiana B10 108.7
33
94.2
40
.8377 15-12 11-9 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
38 UCF Amer 107.6
52
94.6
45
.8150 12-9 11-7 96.2% 96.9% 39.5 2.14 41
195 Iowa St. B12 100.7
222
102.1
181
.4592 5-18 3-15 40.7% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
17 Kentucky SEC 112.2
12
95.0
51
.8707 15-9 10-7 44.9% 40.8% 72.4 1.91 283
4 Illinois B10 113.3
9
92.3
11
.9130 18-8 13-7 63.4% 59.4% 63.9 2.12 92
7 Purdue B10 112.3
11
92.2
9
.9062 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
22 Maryland B10 108.6
34
92.6
15
.8621 16-10 11-9 45.5% 45.1% 66.2 1.85 157
64 Nebraska B10 105.1
96
95.2
54
.7568 12-14 8-12 52.6% 47.8% 38.9 2.14 162
98 Washington P12 106.1
75
99.3
126
.6826 10-15 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 50.3 2.41 357
10 Ohio St. B10 114.2
3
95.3
56
.8894 17-9 13-7 63.3% 60.8% 63.3 2.56 146
5 Kansas B12 113.2
10
92.3
10
.9124 18-8 12-6 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
47 Wichita St. Amer 106.3
70
94.6
44
.7935 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 24.7 2.04 81
6 Michigan B10 111.4
15
91.2
2
.9090 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
152 Missouri SEC 100.4
227
98.9
117
.5447 7-16 4-12 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
66 Rutgers B10 103.9
127
94.2
39
.7563 11-13 8-12 62.7% 55.4% 47.9 2.23 52
46 Northwestern B10 105.7
84
93.8
35
.7971 12-11 9-11 73.8% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
3 Texas B12 113.4
8
91.5
4
.9222 18-6 13-4 44.2% 41.3% 81.6 2.58 479
43 Oklahoma St. B12 104.8
102
92.8
19
.8020 14-11 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 65.6 1.89 115
71 Iowa B10 108.2
39
98.7
111
.7438 13-14 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
33 Seton Hall BE 108.9
31
95.3
55
.8234 14-11 11-8 59.5% 52.4% 70.5 2.57 147
81 Butler BE 104.6
109
96.0
65
.7284 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
25 Louisville ACC 110.8
16
95.1
52
.8529 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 60.2 1.99 304
135 South Carolina SEC 99.8
242
97.1
82
.5790 7-13 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
148 Minnesota B10 101.1
208
99.3
127
.5505 9-18 5-15 7.9% 5.8% 16.7 2.41 252
62 Wisconsin B10 102.6
161
92.7
17
.7618 14-13 8-12 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
19 Michigan St. B10 108.8
32
92.6
14
.8651 16-10 12-8 61.1% 56.4% 76.7 2.1 107
11 Alabama SEC 110.6
17
92.4
12
.8880 19-8 12-6 46.3% 47.9% 71.4 1.43 112
251 South Florida Amer 95.5
320
100.7
152
.3513 4-15 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 31.1 1.78 235
96 Tulsa Amer 103.3
143
96.5
72
.6858 10-11 8-9 54.4% 48.1% 33.5 2.41 209
30 Notre Dame ACC 113.6
5
98.4
105
.8396 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
13 Villanova BE 114.0
4
95.6
59
.8833 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
57 Clemson ACC 103.9
129
93.5
30
.7696 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
2 UCLA P12 116.6
2
92.7
16
.9337 20-5 15-4 92.9% 91.4% 84.7 2.05 55
27 USC P12 108.2
41
93.3
27
.8458 17-10 12-8 63.2% 60.0% 54.9 2.26 51
26 Florida SEC 109.1
29
93.7
33
.8527 13-8 10-6 40.2% 42.3% 40.7 2.46 208
48 Oklahoma B12 105.0
98
93.5
29
.7920 12-11 8-9 35.5% 28.5% 23.6 2.5 262
99 Wake Forest ACC 105.3
92
98.5
109
.6823 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
130 Temple Amer 100.8
216
97.8
95
.5866 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
53 Stanford P12 103.5
138
92.8
18
.7792 13-13 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
51 Providence BE 106.6
66
95.1
53
.7874 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
86 TCU B12 106.8
61
98.8
115
.7106 12-13 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.7 1.9 436
60 Creighton BE 106.0
77
95.8
62
.7621 13-12 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 0
143 Boston College ACC 102.7
158
100.5
148
.5602 6-13 4-9 41.3% 33.9% 33.7 1.97 119
23 Auburn SEC 109.3
26
93.3
28
.8604 17-10 11-7 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
94 Marquette BE 104.3
119
97.2
84
.6940 11-15 7-12 19.8% 17.3% 57.4 1.65 195
58 Arizona St. P12 107.4
57
97.0
81
.7637 13-11 9-9 36.1% 26.0% 65.1 1.87 326
216 Georgia SEC 100.1
234
103.2
203
.4133 7-17 4-14 21.4% 12.6% 28.1 1.79 191
95 DePaul BE 104.3
121
97.2
85
.6919 8-9 6-9 33.7% 29.5% 42.2 1.88 211
18 Connecticut BE 110.5
18
93.8
34
.8685 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
133 Utah P12 103.3
141
100.5
146
.5800 8-15 6-13 27.3% 22.9% 39.8 2.24 267
52 Colorado P12 105.3
93
94.3
41
.7792 15-12 10-10 52.4% 46.2% 48 1.9 46
8 Duke ACC 113.6
6
93.6
32
.9021 16-6 13-5 40.2% 39.9% 92.3 0.96 61
89 Cincinnati Amer 101.9
179
94.5
43
.7048 10-10 7-8 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
24 North Carolina ACC 109.8
22
94.1
38
.8556 16-9 9-7 71.8% 68.1% 87.9 1.63 141
80 Georgia Tech ACC 103.3
144
94.7
47
.7300 12-11 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
114 Georgetown BE 102.3
168
97.6
93
.6324 9-12 6-10 42.6% 32.3% 33.9 1.74 81
100 St. John's BE 103.9
130
97.3
88
.6785 12-14 7-12 39.4% 44.5% 33.4 2.06 206
29 Florida St. ACC 107.5
54
93.0
24
.8400 13-7 9-6 41.9% 32.9% 48.5 1.94 155
117 California P12 102.8
157
98.2
101
.6285 11-15 7-13 76.4% 68.6% 34 2.45 52
97 Kansas St. B12 100.9
213
94.4
42
.6828 12-14 6-12 71.8% 70.1% 55.4 1.89 187
102 SMU Amer 105.4
90
99.2
123
.6679 8-9 5-8 42.6% 46.2% 29.1 2.71 217
103 Oregon St. P12 105.4
87
99.2
124
.6675 12-13 8-12 61.5% 60.5% 21.9 2.44 118
78 Virginia ACC 101.9
181
93.2
26
.7351 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
65 Mississippi St. SEC 106.1
74
96.2
67
.7565 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
9 Baylor B12 113.5
7
93.9
36
.8986 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
187 Saint Joseph's A10 103.3
145
103.9
215
.4818 6-12 4-8 97.9% 97.6% 17 2.22 27
42 LSU SEC 112.0
13
99.0
120
.8042 15-9 9-8 33.4% 22.6% 82 1.43 181
40 Oregon P12 109.9
20
96.7
75
.8134 15-9 10-8 39.3% 27.1% 68.3 2.08 273
20 Texas Tech B12 107.8
48
91.7
6
.8650 18-8 10-7 43.6% 42.6% 27.7 2.41 276
88 Miami FL ACC 108.0
46
100.1
140
.7064 12-12 8-11 62.8% 64.6% 72.3 2.43 209
15 Tennessee SEC 109.4
23
91.8
7
.8824 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.2 1.53 66
70 Syracuse ACC 108.2
43
98.4
106
.7476 13-10 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
34 Arizona P12 108.2
42
94.7
46
.8226 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.24 141
90 Vanderbilt SEC 106.3
71
98.6
110
.7043 11-11 6-10 51.5% 55.3% 28.9 1.89 139
14 Houston Amer 109.3
27
91.7
5
.8829 18-5 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
122 Tulane Amer 101.9
183
98.0
98
.6085 11-11 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
160 San Diego WCC 101.9
177
101.1
160
.5227 4-9 3-6 42.6% 43.3% 24.2 2.68 216
159 Pittsburgh ACC 100.4
229
99.6
131
.5238 7-14 4-12 48.1% 36.7% 27.9 1.98 151
21 Xavier BE 111.5
14
95.0
50
.8630 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
93 Rhode Island A10 103.9
131
96.6
74
.6972 13-11 10-7 74.1% 70.2% 37.1 2.45 77
186 Pepperdine WCC 101.1
210
101.7
172
.4826 7-13 4-9 44.0% 35.1% 21.6 2.26 134
243 La Salle A10 99.5
250
104.4
228
.3635 6-17 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.5 1.79 65
54 North Carolina St. ACC 107.0
60
95.9
64
.7777 14-9 10-8 71.2% 68.1% 77 2.1 78
12 Memphis Amer 108.0
45
90.3
1
.8877 17-5 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
45 Virginia Tech ACC 106.8
62
94.8
48
.7977 14-8 8-7 76.5% 74.8% 29.5 2.43 69
129 Pacific WCC 102.6
159
99.5
129
.5891 6-10 5-8 57.1% 54.3% 12.5 2.41 174
132 Texas A&M SEC 101.9
180
99.1
121
.5806 8-9 3-7 44.1% 43.7% 47.1 1.3 183
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
73 Mississippi SEC 103.0
152
94.0
37
.7409 14-11 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
37 Washington St. P12 106.6
67
93.6
31
.8168 18-9 11-9 74.8% 78.8% 19.6 2.15 115
356 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
346
114.4
357
.0740 1-8 0-0 64.8% 56.2% 0 2.52 140
142 Davidson A10 105.4
88
103.0
200
.5650 8-10 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40 1.97 47
28 Arkansas SEC 107.7
51
92.9
20
.8457 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
293 Portland WCC 102.3
169
112.6
351
.2501 3-14 2-9 1.2% 0.8% 12 1.85 358
32 BYU WCC 109.4
24
94.9
49
.8366 15-8 8-5 74.9% 74.8% 40.6 2.54 96
269 San Jose St. MWC 102.4
164
109.7
323
.3122 4-15 4-13 69.5% 63.4% 33.9 2.08 318
161 UTEP CUSA 99.7
246
98.9
118
.5226 8-12 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 30.1 2.23 110
87 Northern Iowa MVC 107.5
53
99.5
130
.7084 13-9 11-7 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
175 East Carolina Amer 101.4
201
101.4
165
.5006 7-10 4-8 46.8% 45.1% 20.8 2.46 193
82 Dayton A10 104.7
107
96.4
69
.7214 13-8 10-6 62.9% 53.0% 54.7 1.65 114
44 Richmond A10 109.2
28
96.7
76
.8016 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
41 San Diego St. MWC 105.3
91
93.0
23
.8074 16-7 12-5 61.0% 57.0% 30.7 2.72 145
188 UNLV MWC 104.7
105
105.4
248
.4803 9-14 7-11 32.0% 28.6% 36.9 2.6 360
68 Loyola Marymount WCC 108.3
38
98.3
103
.7528 13-7 7-5 84.6% 84.1% 5.6 2.34 147
56 VCU A10 103.1
149
92.5
13
.7771 15-8 9-5 65.7% 59.1% 31 2.33 83
198 UTSA CUSA 103.2
147
105.0
240
.4498 8-12 7-9 74.1% 62.9% 18.1 2.07 131
67 Nevada MWC 106.2
72
96.4
70
.7528 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
1 Gonzaga WCC 120.5
1
91.3
3
.9603 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70
110 Santa Clara WCC 104.3
122
99.3
125
.6377 9-7 4-5 80.1% 78.8% 17 2.63 117
39 Saint Mary's WCC 104.5
116
91.9
8
.8146 14-7 5-5 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
55 San Francisco WCC 106.4
68
95.4
58
.7772 14-9 7-6 87.6% 87.8% 2.2 2.62 210
169 Valparaiso MVC 103.8
134
103.5
207
.5081 10-15 7-11 48.8% 43.1% 25.1 2.12 274
158 Indiana St. MVC 100.5
226
99.6
132
.5248 9-13 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 10.2 1.55 129
233 Middle Tennessee CUSA 100.9
211
105.0
239
.3891 7-14 5-11 66.2% 62.2% 0.7 2.63 219
189 Bradley MVC 101.2
205
102.2
182
.4736 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 3 1.8 114
16 St. Bonaventure A10 109.8
21
92.9
21
.8724 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.55 68
124 Massachusetts A10 105.2
94
101.6
170
.5992 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
171 Duquesne A10 98.9
263
98.7
113
.5053 7-9 6-8 42.4% 29.0% 14.1 1.78 216
120 Fresno St. MWC 105.1
95
101.0
158
.6126 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
271 Fordham A10 94.7
327
101.5
168
.3102 4-9 4-9 50.8% 46.3% 3 2.52 328
75 Boise St. MWC 105.7
82
96.5
73
.7400 14-10 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
268 Canisius MAAC 99.8
244
106.6
271
.3187 4-8 4-8 83.2% 78.7% -0 2.22 33
111 Old Dominion CUSA 104.9
100
99.9
137
.6365 12-9 9-7 52.9% 52.0% 25.6 2.41 197
201 Evansville MVC 104.4
117
106.4
268
.4446 10-14 7-11 89.6% 86.8% 0 2.6 34
246 Illinois St. MVC 96.8
303
101.7
173
.3613 7-16 5-13 55.6% 42.3% 9.1 1.67 186
49 Utah St. MWC 104.6
110
93.2
25
.7911 17-7 13-6 44.6% 39.9% 25.3 2.15 153
263 George Washington A10 101.8
184
108.5
304
.3250 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
300 UC San Diego BW 99.9
239
110.3
331
.2411 3-11 3-9 60.4% 56.1% 10.3 2.11 86
257 New Mexico MWC 98.1
279
104.0
216
.3396 4-15 4-13 49.0% 46.9% 37.4 1.7 342
238 Air Force MWC 100.2
233
104.8
235
.3741 8-16 6-14 78.0% 78.1% 0 1.64 0
50 Colorado St. MWC 109.3
25
97.4
89
.7910 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
36 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.0
78
93.0
22
.8188 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
113 Western Kentucky CUSA 103.3
142
98.4
107
.6347 14-10 9-5 35.7% 31.7% 45.6 2.2 198
137 North Texas CUSA 99.1
260
96.4
71
.5777 10-11 7-7 49.1% 40.2% 14.5 2.31 124
123 Southern Illinois MVC 102.3
172
98.5
108
.6071 12-11 9-9 98.4% 98.8% 0 1.94 46
91 Missouri St. MVC 105.8
81
98.1
100
.7036 13-7 11-7 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
76 Saint Louis A10 104.9
99
95.9
63
.7379 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.42 127
176 George Mason A10 100.9
214
100.8
154
.5005 9-10 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.27 201
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
185 Rice CUSA 106.8
65
107.4
286
.4829 10-12 6-10 95.5% 93.7% 10.2 2.41 173
218 Rider MAAC 104.0
126
107.3
284
.4114 9-12 8-10 75.8% 73.6% 4.4 2.51 235
232 South Alabama SB 103.4
139
107.6
288
.3893 9-13 8-9 32.3% 20.3% 26.4 2.58 519
131 Marshall CUSA 104.5
113
101.4
166
.5861 12-9 8-6 72.0% 72.7% 5.5 2.19 0
118 Southern Miss CUSA 102.2
174
98.1
99
.6152 13-9 10-7 91.8% 91.8% 0 2.51 110
285 FIU CUSA 96.4
313
104.7
233
.2800 6-16 4-13 64.3% 47.9% 11.2 2.34 188
208 Ball St. MAC 99.3
254
101.7
171
.4321 9-13 7-10 61.1% 49.6% 14.2 2.31 124
258 Niagara MAAC 101.7
188
108.0
296
.3342 7-11 7-9 77.0% 73.5% 6.7 2.89 81
151 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
167
100.8
153
.5448 12-11 7-9 52.8% 50.3% 38.3 2.42 307
336 Little Rock SB 91.2
349
105.7
253
.1547 5-19 4-14 58.3% 52.8% 0 1.96 61
69 Drake MVC 109.0
30
99.1
122
.7494 17-8 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 2.7 2.85 85
105 Louisiana Tech CUSA 100.9
212
95.7
61
.6493 16-9 9-7 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
199 Bowling Green MAC 103.6
137
105.5
249
.4491 10-14 8-11 77.8% 71.8% 11.6 2.43 251
281 Cal Poly BW 99.3
252
107.1
280
.2955 7-14 5-11 71.5% 66.8% 4.9 2.03 266
298 Western Michigan MAC 98.0
281
108.1
297
.2432 5-15 4-12 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
355 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 90.9
352
112.2
350
.0815 4-21 4-12 36.6% 28.3% 5.6 2.15 184
283 Louisiana Monroe SB 97.3
289
105.3
245
.2888 10-15 7-11 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 182
302 Eastern Michigan MAC 95.6
319
105.9
259
.2340 4-11 4-10 38.9% 30.3% 5.5 2.27 213
326 Central Arkansas ASun 97.2
293
110.8
337
.1815 6-17 6-10 71.2% 60.1% 8.3 2.52 91
119 Wyoming MWC 107.2
58
102.9
197
.6152 14-10 8-9 75.4% 66.3% 7.8 1.95 55
287 Maine AE 94.6
330
103.0
198
.2748 3-6 2-6 82.0% 79.6% 0 1.76 105
59 UAB CUSA 107.7
49
97.3
87
.7635 19-6 13-5 61.3% 62.5% 26.7 2.96 340
145 Grand Canyon WAC 104.6
112
102.4
188
.5587 10-8 7-5 47.5% 44.7% 30.9 2.35 252
192 Tarleton St. WAC 99.2
257
100.3
144
.4664 7-8 6-6 85.8% 81.6% 0 1.89 66
301 Samford SC 97.3
288
107.9
293
.2352 5-11 3-8 62.8% 54.0% 5 1.96 175
136 Akron MAC 102.8
154
100.0
139
.5789 11-9 11-8 72.5% 59.6% 26.6 2.57 126
286 UMass Lowell AE 99.7
248
108.4
302
.2760 6-13 6-9 82.0% 72.8% 4.9 2.3 158
290 Cal St. Northridge BW 101.7
189
111.0
341
.2682 6-14 4-10 74.1% 72.3% 11 2.55 0
225 UT Arlington SB 97.4
286
100.9
155
.4001 11-11 9-8 54.5% 34.2% 0 2.13 138
217 Utah Valley WAC 100.2
232
103.4
206
.4116 8-11 7-6 69.8% 64.1% 19 2.49 122
354 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.0
341
113.7
356
.0903 5-20 5-12 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.07 92
288 Long Beach St. BW 96.9
300
105.5
251
.2720 5-11 4-8 53.5% 44.8% 9.8 2.01 109
229 Troy SB 99.3
253
103.1
201
.3922 10-13 7-9 84.9% 81.8% -0 2.29 96
339 Holy Cross Pat 94.7
328
110.9
338
.1394 3-13 3-13 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.37 23
331 Northern Arizona BSky 96.9
301
111.1
343
.1716 5-15 4-10 66.7% 56.8% 14.1 1.97 169
309 North Florida ASun 98.2
276
109.5
321
.2230 6-14 4-8 81.4% 84.1% -0 1.75 60
121 Florida Atlantic CUSA 101.9
182
97.9
96
.6124 10-7 7-5 78.5% 72.4% 10.3 2.22 116
275 Tennessee Tech OVC 100.7
218
108.2
299
.3049 9-18 8-12 84.8% 80.5% 15 2.26 201
221 Fairfield MAAC 99.1
258
102.3
186
.4094 11-12 9-9 99.3% 99.5% 1.3 2.47 0
170 East Tennessee St. SC 100.2
231
100.0
138
.5077 12-9 9-6 67.2% 68.5% 3.1 2.44 65
174 Arkansas St. SB 104.7
104
104.6
232
.5019 11-8 9-6 100.0% 100.0% 7.3 2.29 88
204 Monmouth MAAC 101.4
198
103.5
208
.4413 10-9 9-9 61.6% 51.1% 0 2.46 95
179 Oral Roberts Sum 106.4
69
106.6
272
.4938 10-10 10-5 69.5% 65.3% 16.8 1.8 131
155 Louisiana Lafayette SB 104.8
101
103.6
210
.5320 14-8 11-6 61.1% 50.5% 37.1 2.57 349
348 Nebraska Omaha Sum 91.5
348
109.1
314
.1165 4-20 3-11 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.37 112
139 Toledo MAC 103.8
132
101.2
162
.5728 16-11 12-7 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 1.94 55
190 Appalachian St. SB 100.7
220
101.7
174
.4707 10-10 8-7 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.34 0
262 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
309
103.0
199
.3254 8-11 7-11 90.0% 89.2% 19 2.97 160
182 Wofford SC 101.5
195
102.1
180
.4852 11-10 10-7 68.3% 60.2% 4.1 1.61 38
107 New Mexico St. WAC 107.1
59
101.9
177
.6407 8-5 7-5 63.4% 62.2% 16.7 2.52 257
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
128 Miami OH MAC 105.9
79
102.6
191
.5909 13-9 11-7 97.2% 97.8% 1.8 2.57 27
276 The Citadel SC 101.3
204
108.9
311
.3043 7-12 6-10 79.7% 74.9% 1.8 2.07 0
316 Northern Illinois MAC 94.9
325
106.8
275
.2037 5-14 3-11 66.8% 60.8% 13 2.32 180
116 Kent St. MAC 104.5
115
99.8
135
.6288 13-9 12-7 79.6% 80.4% 6 2.67 200
335 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 90.6
355
104.9
238
.1557 4-9 2-4 57.6% 45.9% 7.7 2.64 161
299 Eastern Washington BSky 97.0
296
107.0
279
.2426 6-13 6-9 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.88 173
168 Mercer SC 102.5
163
102.2
183
.5090 12-10 10-7 69.2% 67.3% 18 2.24 72
242 Hofstra CAA 102.3
171
107.2
283
.3676 9-12 6-8 56.2% 57.1% 2.3 2.32 285
228 Siena MAAC 100.7
219
104.5
229
.3955 9-9 9-9 46.8% 34.9% 8.6 2.56 278
104 UC Irvine BW 101.4
200
95.6
60
.6621 14-8 11-5 79.1% 80.1% 3.3 1.64 25
304 Central Michigan MAC 99.0
261
109.8
324
.2339 6-14 5-11 61.7% 51.4% 2.4 2.63 197
264 Dixie St. WAC 98.1
278
104.6
231
.3244 8-11 5-9 81.7% 82.3% 2.6 2.29 93
63 Ohio MAC 108.1
44
97.7
94
.7617 16-5 12-4 80.9% 77.3% 6.7 2.22 56
341 Western Carolina SC 93.6
336
110.2
328
.1327 4-20 3-14 28.0% 19.0% 6 1.78 210
83 Buffalo MAC 105.8
80
97.4
90
.7206 14-6 12-5 74.8% 71.9% 30.3 2.68 55
106 South Dakota St. Sum 108.3
37
102.8
195
.6460 13-7 9-3 99.7% 99.7% 2.4 2.41 0
173 Saint Peter's MAAC 96.2
315
96.1
66
.5019 13-9 11-6 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
126 Georgia St. SB 106.1
76
102.6
192
.5950 11-6 8-4 89.9% 92.0% 32 2.48 140
203 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 101.5
196
103.6
209
.4416 11-12 9-9 68.4% 63.9% 17.4 2.43 97
212 VMI SC 102.6
160
105.6
252
.4177 10-10 7-7 72.7% 63.3% -0 1.61 0
227 Oakland Horz 103.0
151
106.8
274
.3983 10-17 9-11 61.4% 60.7% 13.3 1.88 98
115 Northeastern CAA 101.6
191
97.0
80
.6315 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
278 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
259
106.9
276
.2965 8-11 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
342 Alcorn St. SWAC 93.6
335
110.4
332
.1310 5-13 5-8 32.1% 27.9% 8.9 2.39 285
150 Navy Pat 103.4
140
101.7
175
.5455 11-6 10-3 87.6% 82.3% 0 2.44 0
207 Elon CAA 101.8
185
104.2
221
.4344 7-7 5-6 72.0% 67.3% 7.7 2.03 90
147 Morehead St. OVC 104.3
120
102.4
187
.5529 14-11 12-8 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.15 252
134 Furman SC 101.6
190
98.9
116
.5794 13-8 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
349 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 91.1
350
109.2
316
.1114 5-16 4-11 40.4% 35.3% 3 1.98 191
84 UC Santa Barbara BW 108.2
40
99.9
136
.7158 14-7 13-5 78.2% 74.1% 51.5 2.57 77
193 Hawaii BW 102.8
155
104.2
223
.4605 9-9 9-9 58.6% 56.0% 11.2 2.86 282
353 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.7
347
112.0
349
.0911 3-15 2-6 58.2% 53.2% 0 1.75 90
79 Iona MAAC 107.9
47
99.0
119
.7306 10-3 7-2 87.6% 88.7% 24.5 2.53 248
261 Towson CAA 102.1
176
108.7
308
.3264 7-10 6-6 66.0% 57.5% 3.2 2.57 282
325 North Dakota Sum 95.7
318
108.8
309
.1854 6-19 5-11 52.0% 45.6% 0 2.09 92
318 USC Upstate BSth 96.9
299
109.4
320
.1980 6-15 5-11 61.7% 44.9% 13.1 2.26 135
267 UMBC AE 98.3
275
104.9
237
.3219 8-11 6-8 60.7% 54.0% 9.7 2.56 181
260 NJIT AE 98.8
265
105.2
244
.3272 8-10 7-9 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 131
256 Texas Southern SWAC 99.0
262
104.7
234
.3429 11-10 10-4 72.6% 68.3% 14.8 2.97 223
200 Cal Baptist WAC 104.2
123
106.2
263
.4448 10-8 5-7 87.5% 81.6% 18.8 2.57 246
181 James Madison CAA 104.7
106
105.2
243
.4860 9-7 6-4 73.4% 68.8% 2.2 2.17 226
357 Tennessee Martin OVC 90.1
357
115.0
358
.0568 2-21 2-18 0.0% 0.0% 6 1.98 264
307 Binghamton AE 98.4
273
109.4
319
.2289 6-11 5-9 81.5% 75.7% 0.9 2.16 146
140 Seattle WAC 103.8
133
101.2
161
.5727 10-7 5-4 95.7% 95.5% 0.5 2.33 92
215 Lipscomb ASun 102.8
156
105.8
257
.4164 11-11 8-7 74.0% 69.6% 1.6 2.1 79
338 Northwestern St. Slnd 94.4
332
110.6
334
.1397 7-19 6-10 43.1% 45.8% 0 1.62 85
172 Sam Houston St. WAC 102.4
165
102.3
185
.5034 14-9 11-5 67.5% 52.8% 15.8 2.46 135
314 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 99.8
243
111.9
347
.2109 7-17 7-11 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.12 51
289 College of Charleston CAA 100.0
236
109.1
315
.2683 6-10 4-6 29.8% 26.4% 13 2.18 396
270 Sacramento St. BSky 101.1
209
108.3
301
.3111 6-11 6-8 64.5% 59.7% 1.8 2.9 55
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
330 Delaware St. MEAC 98.5
271
112.7
353
.1749 4-11 4-6 75.5% 71.2% 9.2 2.11 0
165 UNC Greensboro SC 100.1
235
99.8
134
.5105 16-10 10-8 53.0% 47.1% 24.1 2.53 146
194 Marist MAAC 97.3
291
98.7
112
.4592 11-9 10-8 86.4% 84.6% 1.6 2.44 47
347 North Carolina Central MEAC 92.4
343
110.1
327
.1177 3-9 3-5 23.4% 17.5% 5.2 2.42 360
164 South Dakota Sum 105.7
83
105.3
246
.5108 12-10 9-6 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.17 97
146 North Dakota St. Sum 102.3
170
100.3
143
.5578 13-11 11-5 93.6% 92.9% 1.4 2.33 65
259 Georgia Southern SB 95.5
321
101.5
167
.3312 8-13 7-9 78.2% 66.2% 10.9 2.54 63
236 Hartford AE 98.6
268
102.8
196
.3825 9-10 7-7 66.8% 60.9% 12 2.66 135
235 Stetson ASun 102.1
175
106.3
265
.3871 9-11 8-8 95.2% 96.3% 0 1.61 0
163 Stony Brook AE 101.3
203
100.6
150
.5204 13-8 10-6 80.5% 80.3% 4.3 2.84 322
351 Idaho BSky 93.6
334
112.9
355
.1044 4-19 4-16 38.9% 32.9% 0 2.41 200
180 Army Pat 99.4
251
99.7
133
.4927 9-9 7-7 100.0% 100.0% 0 2.43 29
282 American Pat 96.1
316
103.7
211
.2943 4-5 4-5 81.5% 75.5% 0 2.26 60
206 Portland St. BSky 101.9
178
104.2
222
.4374 9-8 8-6 55.6% 41.2% -0 2.66 330
138 Chattanooga SC 103.1
148
100.5
147
.5736 15-8 11-5 87.2% 82.0% 14.2 2.58 69
311 Howard MEAC 99.9
238
111.6
345
.2175 1-3 0-0 87.0% 86.3% 7.6 2.4 302
327 Green Bay Horz 96.9
298
110.7
336
.1789 6-18 6-14 42.2% 31.1% 1.1 1.2 134
92 UC Riverside BW 105.5
86
98.0
97
.7019 15-5 11-3 75.7% 68.0% 17 2.44 132
340 Central Connecticut NEC 94.5
331
110.9
339
.1369 5-16 4-14 55.3% 52.0% 0 2.34 31
312 William & Mary CAA 93.7
333
104.8
236
.2150 4-11 2-8 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
345 Houston Baptist Slnd 94.7
326
112.6
352
.1201 5-17 5-10 71.4% 68.1% -0 1.92 69
222 UMKC Sum 99.9
237
103.3
204
.4053 9-10 8-6 59.7% 41.3% 4.5 2.14 144
223 Quinnipiac MAAC 97.3
290
100.7
151
.4038 12-10 9-9 84.3% 87.3% 6.6 2.04 83
224 Cal St. Fullerton BW 104.3
118
108.0
295
.4031 7-7 7-7 76.8% 73.7% 10.3 2.19 154
294 St. Francis PA NEC 96.8
305
106.5
269
.2498 8-14 7-11 99.9% 100.0% 0 2.14 0
141 Weber St. BSky 106.8
64
104.3
225
.5673 13-7 11-5 82.6% 78.5% 12.9 2.56 162
343 IUPUI Horz 92.7
342
109.3
317
.1305 3-14 3-13 51.5% 37.9% 1.8 2.37 57
324 Lamar WAC 93.6
337
106.4
267
.1860 8-17 7-10 52.5% 53.8% 0 1.9 109
239 Northern Colorado BSky 99.8
240
104.4
227
.3736 9-9 8-7 83.5% 86.2% 7.6 2.55 107
296 Jacksonville ASun 98.4
272
108.5
305
.2457 8-14 5-9 28.3% 24.3% 11.7 2.35 302
252 Gardner Webb BSth 100.8
217
106.3
266
.3500 12-13 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 6.6 1.35 0
295 Kennesaw St. ASun 96.3
314
106.1
261
.2485 8-12 6-9 94.1% 94.1% 22.4 2.02 121
321 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.0
317
108.7
307
.1938 7-17 6-13 71.1% 61.0% 1.9 2.28 80
101 Jacksonville St. ASun 105.4
89
98.8
114
.6784 16-7 14-5 99.7% 99.7% 10.9 2.79 98
153 Montana BSky 101.8
187
100.2
142
.5439 13-9 12-6 89.6% 85.6% -0 1.78 77
149 Texas St. SB 99.3
255
97.6
92
.5494 15-7 10-5 83.6% 78.5% -0 2.4 60
213 Bellarmine ASun 103.1
150
106.1
262
.4173 9-8 7-6 85.6% 78.6% -0 2.47 0
322 North Alabama ASun 94.6
329
107.2
282
.1928 5-12 5-10 57.4% 50.7% 0 1.93 30
230 Mount St. Mary's NEC 98.6
270
102.5
189
.3903 11-11 10-8 79.3% 70.9% 0.4 2.25 92
266 Grambling St. SWAC 98.1
280
104.6
230
.3239 11-10 9-6 57.6% 54.0% 4 2.6 184
241 Albany AE 99.6
249
104.3
226
.3692 7-7 6-6 45.4% 40.7% 15.2 2.7 216
273 Sacred Heart NEC 101.2
206
108.6
306
.3081 8-9 8-8 96.1% 96.3% -0 1.89 21
315 Eastern Illinois OVC 96.9
297
108.9
312
.2073 9-18 7-13 50.9% 39.9% 1.3 2.06 199
291 Radford BSth 97.6
285
106.9
277
.2594 9-14 8-10 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 140
211 Coastal Carolina SB 101.2
207
104.1
220
.4195 9-8 7-7 79.1% 70.1% 5.4 2.59 174
197 Bryant NEC 104.0
125
105.8
256
.4508 12-8 10-6 76.1% 73.2% 3.7 2.44 151
279 Tennessee St. OVC 100.6
224
108.4
303
.2960 9-13 8-12 28.8% 19.6% 22.8 2.16 403
305 Charleston Southern BSth 96.8
304
107.3
285
.2326 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% 0 2.18 166
334 Bucknell Pat 93.5
338
108.3
300
.1566 3-7 3-7 53.1% 47.1% 3.9 1.68 0
249 New Hampshire AE 100.7
221
106.0
260
.3571 9-8 8-7 87.6% 86.4% 0 2.28 45
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
265 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
97
111.9
348
.3241 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 7.8 2.23 547
292 Austin Peay OVC 98.4
274
108.2
298
.2511 9-15 8-12 52.9% 43.9% 7.3 2.19 108
323 Coppin St. MEAC 93.5
339
106.2
264
.1872 6-15 5-7 33.4% 24.7% 0 1.62 227
191 Drexel CAA 104.6
111
105.7
255
.4681 9-7 5-4 72.9% 69.1% 7 2.61 118
280 UNC Wilmington CAA 102.2
173
110.2
329
.2957 6-9 3-4 66.9% 68.3% 9.9 2.51 166
329 Denver Sum 97.0
294
111.0
342
.1752 6-14 4-10 40.2% 30.2% 5.7 2.57 203
61 Liberty ASun 107.5
56
97.1
83
.7620 17-4 11-2 85.9% 81.9% 4.8 2.17 0
196 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.9
128
105.5
250
.4561 9-5 6-3 80.3% 76.3% 14.4 2.82 402
297 Southern SWAC 97.0
295
107.0
278
.2444 9-9 8-6 51.5% 41.2% 7.1 2.52 145
237 Wagner NEC 103.0
153
107.6
289
.3747 10-9 10-8 82.6% 87.4% 0.8 2.5 124
320 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 97.2
292
109.9
326
.1956 8-16 7-9 68.1% 74.7% 6.1 2.57 195
205 Boston University Pat 103.2
146
105.4
247
.4406 9-7 9-7 92.7% 90.3% 7.1 2.76 44
157 Northern Kentucky Horz 103.7
135
102.7
194
.5278 14-9 12-6 85.2% 90.8% 3.9 2.48 68
183 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
312
96.9
79
.4848 10-6 9-2 69.1% 58.7% 0 2.74 231
109 Vermont AE 104.5
114
99.4
128
.6399 11-3 11-3 87.0% 83.3% 5.9 2.94 34
250 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 100.6
223
105.9
258
.3566 12-14 10-10 89.7% 88.1% 8.1 2.58 36
85 Colgate Pat 108.5
35
100.1
141
.7157 10-2 10-2 81.1% 73.3% -0 2.27 0
319 Incarnate Word Slnd 99.8
241
112.8
354
.1970 7-11 7-7 79.6% 67.1% 0 2.05 125
210 Morgan St. MEAC 104.6
108
107.5
287
.4232 9-5 7-3 77.8% 74.6% 13.6 2.92 163
127 Cleveland St. Horz 106.8
63
103.3
205
.5938 14-9 14-6 91.9% 94.3% 2.2 2.92 134
77 Murray St. OVC 107.5
55
98.2
102
.7377 18-5 16-4 72.8% 72.0% 17.2 2.61 218
272 Florida A&M SWAC 95.0
323
101.9
178
.3091 9-10 8-4 81.3% 79.3% 6.1 2.24 82
255 St. Francis NY NEC 100.8
215
106.7
273
.3430 10-9 10-8 53.8% 53.4% 0 2.72 217
209 Milwaukee Horz 101.3
202
104.0
218
.4257 10-9 10-7 50.9% 50.7% 28.8 1.8 117
202 Detroit Horz 108.4
36
110.6
335
.4424 11-9 9-7 66.7% 74.5% 14.8 2.7 220
144 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
103
102.5
190
.5600 16-9 13-7 66.5% 50.1% 12.7 2.46 225
162 Winthrop BSth 101.8
186
101.0
157
.5222 14-7 12-6 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
313 Lafayette Pat 98.6
269
110.5
333
.2139 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.2 1.94 0
244 Western Illinois Sum 101.4
197
106.5
270
.3630 9-11 7-7 79.7% 75.6% 4.2 2.94 202
248 High Point BSth 100.5
225
105.7
254
.3590 11-11 9-8 88.3% 89.5% 5 2.22 73
254 Idaho St. BSky 98.2
277
103.7
212
.3480 9-9 7-7 99.9% 99.7% 0 2.61 44
234 UC Davis BW 99.2
256
103.2
202
.3879 8-7 6-6 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
214 Longwood BSth 99.7
245
102.7
193
.4164 14-11 12-8 62.6% 59.7% 7.4 2.11 148
108 Abilene Christian WAC 100.3
230
95.4
57
.6404 16-5 12-3 82.6% 75.7% 0 2.56 88
247 UNC Asheville BSth 102.6
162
107.8
291
.3612 10-9 7-7 84.6% 82.0% 6.5 2.56 128
156 Stephen F. Austin WAC 101.6
192
100.6
149
.5289 12-6 11-4 77.8% 75.3% 6.1 2.44 95
226 Montana St. BSky 101.4
199
105.0
241
.3996 9-9 8-6 92.0% 90.6% 10.8 2.44 102
166 Campbell BSth 104.1
124
103.8
213
.5104 15-7 12-5 99.2% 99.2% 4.8 2.54 0
74 Belmont OVC 107.7
50
98.3
104
.7403 20-6 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
346 Alabama St. SWAC 92.1
344
109.6
322
.1195 6-12 6-12 60.6% 53.9% 14.4 2.22 136
240 Illinois Chicago Horz 97.7
284
102.2
184
.3714 11-10 9-7 78.3% 73.4% 4.3 3 252
308 Nicholls St. Slnd 96.7
306
107.8
292
.2237 9-13 8-8 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.43 257
177 Prairie View A&M SWAC 100.4
228
100.4
145
.5001 13-5 11-2 72.0% 68.4% 8.5 2.82 230
125 Southern Utah BSky 105.6
85
102.0
179
.5988 12-5 10-4 91.4% 92.1% 11.1 2.77 79
274 Loyola MD Pat 97.9
283
105.1
242
.3053 7-7 7-7 59.5% 50.3% 20.9 1.91 70
303 Presbyterian BSth 96.6
311
107.1
281
.2339 8-12 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
306 Youngstown St. Horz 98.9
264
109.9
325
.2295 8-13 7-13 69.9% 59.7% 6.8 1.98 134
317 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
345
103.8
214
.1988 6-9 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
332 Hampton BSth 95.0
324
109.0
313
.1707 7-16 6-12 68.4% 58.3% 12.1 2.69 204
245 LIU Brooklyn NEC 96.7
307
101.6
169
.3625 10-8 10-8 64.0% 64.4% 10.1 2.15 54
112 Wright St. Horz 101.6
194
96.8
77
.6352 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
231 Fort Wayne Horz 103.6
136
107.7
290
.3899 11-10 10-10 77.4% 76.7% -0 2.61 146
284 New Orleans Slnd 99.7
247
107.9
294
.2869 11-11 9-6 57.3% 57.6% 1.6 2.64 224
178 Merrimack NEC 97.4
287
97.5
91
.4968 12-6 12-6 99.0% 99.3% 0 2.29 11
277 Norfolk St. MEAC 96.6
310
104.1
219
.2989 10-9 7-5 58.2% 49.0% 1.6 2.22 77
167 Delaware CAA 101.6
193
101.3
163
.5090 9-4 6-3 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
333 McNeese St. Slnd 96.8
302
111.2
344
.1689 7-10 6-8 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
253 Lehigh Pat 98.8
266
104.3
224
.3499 9-5 9-5 100.0% 100.0% 10.1 2.19 0

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.