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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
1 Gonzaga WCC 122.1
1
91.2
4
.9659 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 88.7 1.51 66
2 Michigan B10 115.0
3
90.6
3
.9391 20-5 15-5 39.9% 41.9% 74.6 1.48 49
3 UCLA P12 115.8
2
92.7
21
.9277 20-5 15-4 79.5% 74.9% 80.7 2.01 52
4 Kansas B12 112.2
15
90.3
2
.9234 19-7 13-5 71.0% 72.0% 63.2 1.92 106
5 Memphis Amer 110.8
26
89.8
1
.9181 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.6 1.99 144
6 Alabama SEC 113.4
11
92.0
11
.9173 20-7 13-5 56.5% 56.6% 72.9 1.45 111
7 Duke ACC 114.0
8
93.3
28
.9094 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 59
8 Tennessee SEC 111.5
19
91.5
6
.9067 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 79.8 1.51 62
9 Baylor B12 113.7
10
93.3
29
.9061 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 57 1.62 127
10 Purdue B10 112.2
16
92.1
14
.9059 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
11 Ohio St. B10 113.7
9
93.5
33
.9042 18-8 13-7 78.9% 81.6% 69 2.47 89
12 Xavier BE 114.1
7
94.5
47
.8977 16-4 10-3 81.1% 82.7% 50.8 2.27 60
13 Maryland B10 111.1
22
92.0
12
.8972 18-8 12-8 62.1% 66.0% 69.4 2.17 151
14 Kentucky SEC 114.6
4
95.3
57
.8928 15-9 11-6 30.3% 25.4% 81.1 1.4 184
15 Villanova BE 114.1
6
95.1
55
.8902 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.6 2 0
16 Michigan St. B10 110.7
27
92.6
19
.8865 17-9 12-8 47.7% 42.8% 75.2 1.75 68
17 Texas B12 109.9
35
91.9
10
.8860 17-7 11-6 37.8% 38.8% 79.2 2.23 279
18 Connecticut BE 111.5
20
93.6
34
.8820 14-6 12-5 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
19 Virginia Tech ACC 111.7
18
94.0
40
.8783 16-6 10-5 74.1% 76.3% 15.6 2.36 100
20 St. Bonaventure A10 110.3
32
93.0
25
.8768 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.59 36
21 Florida SEC 110.6
28
93.4
30
.8752 14-7 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 43.9 2.38 203
22 Arkansas SEC 109.0
47
92.5
17
.8677 19-7 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 42.9 2.37 306
23 Indiana B10 110.4
29
93.8
38
.8669 16-11 11-9 73.3% 72.7% 74.6 2.25 188
24 Houston Amer 107.0
68
91.3
5
.8609 17-6 12-5 40.4% 39.5% 55.9 1.81 129
25 Auburn SEC 110.2
33
94.2
44
.8576 17-10 11-7 71.3% 67.0% 61.8 1.51 193
26 Notre Dame ACC 114.6
5
98.1
102
.8563 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 142
27 North Carolina ACC 109.4
40
93.7
36
.8558 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 87.8 1.57 57
28 Saint Mary's WCC 106.9
70
91.6
7
.8556 15-6 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
29 Ohio MAC 112.9
12
96.7
79
.8555 18-3 14-2 96.0% 96.0% 6 2.38 54
30 San Diego St. MWC 107.7
57
92.3
15
.8545 17-6 13-4 61.0% 57.0% 27.3 2.68 211
31 Louisville ACC 110.4
30
94.9
52
.8500 12-8 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 65.2 1.92 237
32 USC P12 108.2
53
93.1
26
.8489 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 66.1 2.03 50
33 Loyola Chicago MVC 107.5
61
92.7
20
.8465 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
34 Texas Tech B12 106.3
80
91.7
8
.8449 17-9 9-8 36.2% 35.5% 19.4 2.27 235
35 Florida St. ACC 107.1
66
92.6
18
.8428 13-7 9-6 30.1% 22.4% 57.2 1.65 145
36 Richmond A10 111.4
21
96.5
76
.8389 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 77
37 Illinois B10 107.6
58
93.4
32
.8358 14-12 10-10 50.2% 40.9% 58.5 2.02 88
38 Belmont OVC 112.7
14
97.9
99
.8345 22-4 17-3 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
39 Syracuse ACC 111.0
25
96.5
75
.8341 16-7 10-6 48.1% 53.8% 56.9 2.43 153
40 Northwestern B10 106.8
74
93.2
27
.8278 13-10 10-10 73.9% 78.3% 50.3 2.07 26
41 Washington St. P12 107.0
69
93.4
31
.8270 18-9 11-9 77.7% 70.6% 28.1 1.87 116
42 Drake MVC 112.8
13
98.5
111
.8254 19-6 13-5 88.5% 83.5% 5.1 2.74 34
43 Seton Hall BE 108.5
52
94.7
50
.8254 15-10 11-8 54.5% 48.0% 68 2.44 144
44 Liberty ASun 111.1
24
97.5
91
.8169 17-4 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
45 Oregon P12 109.8
37
96.4
74
.8168 15-9 10-8 39.3% 27.1% 65.5 1.75 66
46 LSU SEC 112.0
17
98.5
110
.8138 15-9 9-8 28.7% 14.7% 76.8 1.41 209
47 Arizona P12 107.2
65
94.3
45
.8134 16-10 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 79.1 0.93 82
48 Arizona St. P12 109.2
43
96.1
67
.8127 14-10 10-8 24.6% 19.2% 48 2.29 318
49 Clemson ACC 105.4
105
92.9
24
.8102 12-10 9-7 51.2% 49.1% 52 2.21 106
50 Stanford P12 104.6
127
92.5
16
.8060 14-12 11-9 70.6% 60.2% 76.2 1.63 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
51 Oklahoma St. B12 104.7
122
92.9
23
.7993 13-12 9-9 70.1% 64.2% 67.4 1.79 43
52 TCU B12 109.1
44
96.9
82
.7961 15-10 8-8 53.0% 56.6% 61.5 2.26 351
53 Providence BE 106.7
76
94.9
51
.7937 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 101
54 Missouri St. MVC 109.7
38
97.8
96
.7901 14-6 12-6 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 110
55 Oklahoma B12 105.1
111
93.7
37
.7894 12-11 8-9 35.5% 28.5% 28 2.4 183
56 Colorado St. MWC 109.2
42
97.4
89
.7881 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 24.3 1.99 23
57 Colorado P12 105.1
113
94.1
41
.7809 14-13 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 58.5 1.53 47
58 Butler BE 106.8
75
95.6
60
.7805 12-11 10-10 94.1% 93.1% 44.1 2.3 53
59 Nebraska B10 105.4
107
94.4
46
.7795 13-13 9-11 65.9% 63.6% 56 2.06 68
60 Saint Louis A10 106.9
72
95.8
63
.7781 13-5 7-3 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.41 98
61 Wichita St. Amer 105.5
99
94.6
49
.7775 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 25.5 2.23 78
62 Wisconsin B10 102.6
161
92.1
13
.7760 14-13 9-11 42.1% 35.9% 68.1 1.35 22
63 West Virginia B12 107.4
63
96.4
73
.7760 13-13 8-9 37.2% 27.6% 34.3 2.04 96
64 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.4
39
98.3
107
.7728 13-7 8-4 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.33 174
65 Northern Iowa MVC 109.9
36
98.8
114
.7726 14-8 12-6 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
66 VCU A10 102.0
181
91.9
9
.7695 15-8 9-5 63.7% 58.8% 39.9 1.91 79
67 Nevada MWC 107.4
62
97.0
83
.7640 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 36.7 1.98 165
68 Buffalo MAC 107.6
60
97.2
86
.7626 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 31.8 2.35 65
69 Mississippi SEC 103.4
148
93.6
35
.7583 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 118
70 SMU Amer 109.1
45
98.8
115
.7571 10-7 7-6 33.5% 39.3% 30.4 2.56 235
71 Marquette BE 105.4
106
95.5
59
.7570 13-13 9-10 34.2% 33.4% 57.8 1.34 112
72 Colgate Pat 110.3
31
100.0
138
.7557 11-1 11-1 70.5% 62.5% 0 2.27 0
73 UC Irvine BW 104.7
121
95.0
53
.7550 15-7 12-4 79.1% 80.1% 3.3 1.64 24
74 Murray St. OVC 108.2
54
98.1
103
.7539 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.2 2.35 173
75 Utah St. MWC 103.3
150
93.9
39
.7491 16-8 12-7 44.6% 39.9% 28.9 2.06 103
76 Rhode Island A10 105.6
95
96.2
69
.7463 14-10 10-7 79.6% 75.1% 38.2 2.53 77
77 San Francisco WCC 105.5
101
96.0
66
.7461 13-10 7-6 59.0% 58.1% 3.2 2.43 208
78 Iowa B10 107.0
67
97.6
92
.7439 13-14 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 49.8 1.79 37
79 Boise St. MWC 106.3
79
97.0
84
.7417 15-9 13-7 61.0% 52.8% 34.6 2.51 0
80 Penn St. B10 105.4
103
96.3
70
.7397 10-14 8-12 46.9% 47.8% 22.6 2.47 74
81 North Carolina St. ACC 104.8
120
95.7
62
.7388 12-11 8-10 61.1% 57.5% 80.6 1.77 77
82 Mississippi St. SEC 104.0
140
95.1
54
.7368 15-12 8-10 49.5% 48.6% 54.6 1.62 128
83 Virginia ACC 101.4
198
92.8
22
.7341 12-11 7-10 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 134
84 Southern Utah BSky 111.1
23
101.7
174
.7332 14-3 12-2 92.5% 93.1% 11.2 2.95 0
85 Wake Forest ACC 105.9
88
97.1
85
.7308 10-10 8-10 44.5% 42.3% 36.3 1.84 176
86 UCF Amer 104.1
137
95.6
61
.7267 10-11 9-9 83.0% 83.2% 48 1.9 0
87 Vanderbilt SEC 106.1
85
97.6
93
.7227 11-11 6-10 56.0% 56.7% 27.4 1.95 112
88 Kansas St. B12 102.3
170
94.2
43
.7214 13-13 7-11 74.0% 70.7% 57.6 1.95 183
89 UAB CUSA 106.2
81
98.3
106
.7102 19-6 13-5 33.8% 32.3% 36.7 2.45 212
90 Georgia Tech ACC 102.1
179
94.5
48
.7082 11-12 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.4 2.01 51
91 Tulane Amer 104.2
135
96.6
77
.7049 13-9 8-9 87.5% 87.9% 23.1 2.03 109
92 Wright St. Horz 103.4
147
96.0
65
.7033 17-6 15-5 74.2% 68.3% 8.5 1.79 20
93 Washington P12 105.0
115
97.4
90
.7030 10-15 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 49.4 2.41 287
94 UC Riverside BW 105.8
92
98.2
104
.7022 15-5 11-3 54.4% 51.8% 20.3 2.2 133
95 BYU WCC 103.7
145
96.3
71
.7016 13-10 6-7 47.5% 40.5% 31.8 2.03 0
96 Miami FL ACC 108.1
55
100.6
152
.6957 11-13 7-12 49.1% 50.3% 68.3 1.86 158
97 UC Santa Barbara BW 108.5
51
101.0
159
.6949 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 76
98 Florida Atlantic CUSA 104.9
117
97.8
97
.6918 12-5 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 14.1 1.95 79
99 Massachusetts A10 107.6
59
100.6
151
.6847 8-5 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 18.8 1.95 206
100 Northeastern CAA 103.5
146
96.8
81
.6826 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 221
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
101 Northern Kentucky Horz 108.7
49
101.9
178
.6775 17-6 14-4 87.5% 92.4% 3.9 2.48 68
102 Santa Clara WCC 105.6
97
99.2
121
.6731 9-7 4-5 62.2% 55.1% 18.1 2.39 115
103 Fresno St. MWC 106.9
71
100.5
149
.6702 11-9 11-9 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 105
104 Creighton BE 101.5
195
95.5
58
.6697 11-14 8-12 20.8% 19.2% 75.6 0.97 0
105 Vermont AE 105.7
94
99.6
129
.6654 11-3 11-3 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
106 Old Dominion CUSA 105.1
112
99.1
120
.6626 13-8 10-6 43.4% 39.7% 30.1 1.99 111
107 Miami OH MAC 108.5
50
102.4
186
.6614 15-7 12-6 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.51 27
108 South Carolina SEC 102.5
163
96.7
80
.6614 8-12 7-9 45.7% 41.1% 28.3 2.47 207
109 Montana BSky 105.4
104
99.5
127
.6608 15-7 14-4 89.6% 85.6% 0.4 1.88 73
110 South Dakota St. Sum 108.9
48
102.9
194
.6590 13-7 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.9 2.32 0
111 Rutgers B10 99.7
235
94.2
42
.6581 9-15 6-14 49.4% 41.7% 56.6 1.69 26
112 Southern Illinois MVC 104.4
131
98.6
112
.6571 13-10 9-9 89.7% 88.0% 0 1.95 47
113 Akron MAC 105.3
108
99.5
128
.6563 13-7 13-6 61.4% 51.4% 24.3 2.44 125
114 Tulsa Amer 102.0
182
96.7
78
.6495 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 40.8 2.22 132
115 Temple Amer 101.6
192
96.3
72
.6488 8-8 7-8 64.9% 70.5% 32.7 1.79 15
116 Dayton A10 101.3
202
96.1
68
.6468 11-10 8-8 46.4% 34.0% 56.1 1.12 69
117 Toledo MAC 105.7
93
100.4
145
.6451 18-9 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 2.06 86
118 Utah P12 104.7
123
99.5
126
.6446 10-13 7-12 40.3% 31.7% 42.3 2.05 150
119 Morehead St. OVC 105.8
91
100.6
150
.6419 15-10 14-6 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.28 191
120 Oregon St. P12 104.1
138
98.9
117
.6409 11-14 7-13 53.9% 53.8% 23.7 2.39 129
121 Wyoming MWC 107.3
64
102.1
180
.6391 15-9 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 9.4 1.96 19
122 Cincinnati Amer 100.1
226
95.2
56
.6390 9-11 6-9 58.4% 49.6% 36.5 2.02 119
123 Navy Pat 106.4
77
101.4
167
.6354 12-5 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.31 0
124 Iona MAAC 104.7
125
100.0
137
.6305 9-4 6-3 46.2% 37.9% 22.7 2.2 174
125 South Dakota Sum 109.0
46
104.1
220
.6284 14-8 11-4 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.22 62
126 UNC Greensboro SC 102.6
160
98.2
105
.6227 18-8 13-5 53.0% 47.1% 26.5 2.38 78
127 St. John's BE 101.5
194
97.3
87
.6204 11-15 6-13 24.4% 24.8% 46.9 1.93 166
128 Georgetown BE 102.2
176
98.0
100
.6190 8-13 5-11 23.8% 21.2% 47.7 1.13 83
129 Winthrop BSth 104.0
141
99.9
136
.6136 14-7 12-6 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 190
130 Seattle WAC 105.2
110
101.1
161
.6104 11-6 6-3 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 88
131 Wofford SC 104.8
119
100.9
156
.6081 14-7 12-5 68.3% 60.2% 4.2 1.63 38
132 Louisiana Tech CUSA 100.7
211
97.3
88
.5978 17-8 10-6 39.7% 45.2% 15.1 1.45 66
133 Appalachian St. SB 104.7
126
101.2
163
.5954 12-8 10-5 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.36 0
134 Missouri SEC 101.1
206
97.7
95
.5947 7-16 4-12 19.7% 19.2% 42.6 1.58 173
135 Minnesota B10 101.1
205
97.9
98
.5930 10-17 5-15 7.0% 4.6% 20.9 2.33 257
136 Loyola MD Pat 105.0
116
101.6
171
.5923 9-5 9-5 74.3% 75.2% 22.9 2.19 0
137 Sam Houston St. WAC 104.6
129
101.3
164
.5918 16-7 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 17.2 2.44 118
138 Georgia St. SB 106.1
86
102.8
192
.5903 10-7 8-4 61.1% 55.2% 40.8 1.98 138
139 Saint Peter's MAAC 98.5
260
95.9
64
.5764 14-8 12-5 75.7% 72.4% 0 1.97 49
140 Grand Canyon WAC 104.8
118
102.1
181
.5749 11-7 7-5 40.2% 38.5% 34.1 2.27 247
141 Boston College ACC 102.7
157
100.0
139
.5745 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 37.8 2.02 119
142 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
167
99.8
134
.5718 13-10 9-7 53.2% 52.9% 40.2 2.32 299
143 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
124
102.2
182
.5700 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.5 2.48 212
144 Cleveland St. Horz 105.5
98
103.2
200
.5646 13-10 12-8 55.2% 53.3% 1.8 2.53 86
145 DePaul BE 100.6
213
98.4
109
.5626 6-11 5-10 33.7% 29.5% 55.6 1.6 95
146 Furman SC 101.0
208
99.0
118
.5570 13-8 9-6 57.1% 51.4% 1 2.2 32
147 Texas A&M SEC 100.3
222
98.4
108
.5553 7-10 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 52 1.05 217
148 Rice CUSA 109.3
41
107.3
282
.5520 13-9 8-8 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 171
149 Gardner Webb BSth 105.9
87
104.3
223
.5453 15-10 13-7 70.2% 65.1% 10.3 1.46 0
150 Jacksonville St. ASun 102.5
164
100.9
157
.5429 13-10 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.38 96
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
151 Davidson A10 101.8
187
100.3
144
.5413 8-10 4-7 63.5% 60.3% 30 1.96 0
152 Fort Wayne Horz 110.0
34
108.5
303
.5392 13-8 12-8 56.8% 56.9% 0 2.13 104
153 James Madison CAA 106.2
83
104.8
234
.5382 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
154 Yale Ivy 102.4
166
101.1
160
.5362 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 7.6 2.16 0
155 Merrimack NEC 98.9
256
97.7
94
.5350 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 2.09 0
156 Pepperdine WCC 101.7
190
100.4
147
.5349 8-12 5-8 44.0% 35.1% 21.6 2.26 134
157 California P12 100.2
224
99.1
119
.5326 8-18 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.4 1.96 53
158 Longwood BSth 102.9
153
101.9
177
.5278 15-10 13-7 61.0% 58.3% 7.4 2.11 148
159 Hawaii BW 104.2
134
103.5
206
.5215 10-8 10-8 55.6% 52.1% 11.5 2.51 181
160 Indiana St. MVC 99.6
237
98.9
116
.5211 9-13 7-11 40.1% 41.5% 12.2 1.64 100
161 San Diego WCC 102.2
175
101.5
168
.5207 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.7 2.45 214
162 Oral Roberts Sum 106.2
82
105.4
246
.5202 11-9 10-5 66.8% 58.9% 16.7 2 127
163 Elon CAA 103.8
144
103.1
199
.5183 8-6 6-5 77.0% 74.4% 6.4 2.19 88
164 Campbell BSth 104.6
130
104.0
216
.5173 13-9 11-6 76.7% 74.2% 0 2.06 0
165 George Mason A10 100.0
228
99.4
125
.5170 9-10 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 25.5 2.2 176
166 Harvard Ivy 101.2
204
100.7
153
.5127 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 63.2 0.7 0
167 Tarleton St. WAC 101.7
189
101.3
165
.5104 8-7 7-5 80.9% 70.5% 0 1.99 0
168 Prairie View A&M SWAC 100.5
218
100.1
141
.5099 13-5 11-2 62.5% 60.1% 8.8 2.76 125
169 Bryant NEC 106.2
84
105.9
256
.5059 12-8 11-5 65.8% 62.8% 8.6 2.43 121
170 Bradley MVC 101.9
184
101.7
172
.5057 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 4.7 1.94 43
171 Marshall CUSA 101.8
186
101.7
173
.5011 11-10 8-6 56.5% 57.1% 6.8 1.71 0
172 Weber St. BSky 105.9
89
105.9
255
.4999 12-8 10-6 52.2% 48.9% 10.4 2.29 158
173 Drexel CAA 105.6
96
105.6
250
.4987 10-6 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.42 85
174 Duquesne A10 97.7
273
98.0
101
.4917 7-9 6-8 37.9% 25.8% 13.6 1.94 213
175 Stony Brook AE 101.3
201
101.8
175
.4883 12-9 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4.1 2.82 292
176 Utah Valley WAC 102.2
173
102.7
191
.4865 10-9 8-5 69.8% 64.1% 19.4 2.56 63
177 UNLV MWC 102.9
154
103.4
204
.4861 9-14 8-10 26.0% 14.5% 37.8 2.3 314
178 Marist MAAC 98.6
258
99.2
123
.4824 11-9 10-8 76.2% 71.2% 2.8 2.32 50
179 Northern Colorado BSky 102.8
156
103.5
207
.4813 11-7 10-5 88.4% 90.4% 7 2.68 76
180 Oakland Horz 105.4
102
106.2
262
.4782 12-15 11-9 61.4% 60.7% 13.6 2.06 94
181 Mount St. Mary's NEC 101.0
207
101.9
176
.4768 13-9 12-6 79.3% 71.0% 0.4 2.25 93
182 Cal St. Fullerton BW 106.4
78
107.3
281
.4756 8-6 8-6 81.2% 79.7% 12.3 2.11 65
183 Siena MAAC 102.4
165
103.3
202
.4754 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.53 267
184 Princeton Ivy 101.3
203
102.2
183
.4746 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 18 1.52 0
185 UC Davis BW 101.7
188
102.6
190
.4745 9-6 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.12 43
186 North Dakota St. Sum 100.1
227
101.2
162
.4689 12-12 10-6 79.2% 73.8% 1.6 2.07 34
187 New Hampshire AE 104.0
143
105.1
241
.4671 11-6 10-5 80.5% 81.2% 0 2.13 45
188 Iowa St. B12 100.3
221
101.5
169
.4656 6-17 3-15 40.8% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 378
189 VMI SC 104.3
133
105.5
247
.4655 10-10 8-6 72.7% 63.3% 0 1.87 0
190 Morgan St. MEAC 105.8
90
107.1
277
.4653 9-5 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 11.4 2.63 46
191 Valparaiso MVC 102.1
180
103.3
203
.4653 9-16 6-12 35.0% 32.0% 12.8 1.91 120
192 Towson CAA 106.8
73
108.2
296
.4637 9-8 7-5 60.4% 55.6% 6.9 2.4 285
193 Rider MAAC 105.2
109
106.9
274
.4528 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 236
194 North Texas CUSA 97.0
286
98.7
113
.4509 9-12 6-8 40.4% 35.9% 11.8 1.39 0
195 East Carolina Amer 98.8
257
100.5
148
.4507 7-10 3-9 46.8% 45.1% 10.7 2.16 106
196 Mercer SC 100.1
225
102.0
179
.4468 11-11 10-7 68.4% 62.3% 10.3 2.13 0
197 Illinois St. MVC 99.0
252
100.9
155
.4456 9-14 6-12 63.6% 54.6% 4.8 1.85 118
198 UNC Asheville BSth 105.5
100
107.6
286
.4429 11-8 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 124
199 NJIT AE 101.6
193
103.7
211
.4408 10-8 9-7 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.54 101
200 Lipscomb ASun 104.0
139
106.2
261
.4408 11-11 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
201 Abilene Christian WAC 97.6
275
99.8
133
.4373 14-7 11-4 38.6% 31.0% 0 1.84 0
202 Louisiana Lafayette SB 102.6
162
104.9
238
.4347 13-9 10-7 53.8% 40.3% 23.8 2.17 120
203 Milwaukee Horz 101.9
183
104.3
225
.4333 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 29.2 1.63 117
204 Southern Miss CUSA 97.9
269
100.3
143
.4328 10-12 8-9 55.9% 53.9% 0 2.3 72
205 Cal Baptist WAC 104.0
142
106.6
269
.4287 10-8 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 244
206 Pacific WCC 99.0
251
101.6
170
.4277 5-11 4-9 41.9% 38.9% 1.9 2.26 72
207 South Florida Amer 97.1
284
99.6
131
.4258 5-14 3-11 29.6% 30.6% 30.8 1.93 207
208 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
292
99.3
124
.4230 10-9 9-9 89.1% 88.9% 21.6 2.89 84
209 Detroit Horz 108.1
56
111.1
340
.4203 10-10 9-7 38.9% 44.2% 19 2.5 186
210 Bowling Green MAC 102.6
158
105.6
248
.4202 10-14 8-11 51.2% 42.5% 13.1 1.95 198
211 Georgia Southern SB 97.9
270
100.8
154
.4176 10-11 8-8 71.8% 62.0% 15.1 2.34 0
212 Western Kentucky CUSA 98.4
263
101.3
166
.4167 9-15 6-8 22.7% 20.2% 28.3 1.46 57
213 Pittsburgh ACC 97.2
283
100.1
140
.4166 5-16 3-13 40.5% 30.4% 39.9 1.67 86
214 Penn Ivy 96.7
291
99.6
130
.4149 0-0 0-0 35.3% 33.8% 11.9 1.24 32
215 Arkansas St. SB 101.7
191
104.8
236
.4120 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 0 1.82 0
216 Chattanooga SC 99.2
244
102.5
188
.4073 11-12 8-8 59.6% 48.0% 3.2 2.22 40
217 Quinnipiac MAAC 97.7
274
101.0
158
.4064 11-11 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 4.8 1.86 50
218 Fordham A10 95.9
302
99.2
122
.4055 5-8 5-8 57.7% 52.1% 0.1 2.32 213
219 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.4
197
104.9
237
.4030 9-12 6-10 57.7% 53.6% 8.1 2.67 152
220 Louisiana Monroe SB 101.0
209
104.5
229
.4021 14-11 10-8 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 123
221 South Alabama SB 104.3
132
108.0
293
.4012 9-13 8-9 15.5% 8.5% 31.9 2.62 580
222 Canisius MAAC 102.2
174
105.8
254
.4005 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 2.3 2.3 0
223 Hartford AE 99.3
241
102.9
195
.3998 10-9 7-7 52.5% 41.5% -0 2.47 105
224 Sacred Heart NEC 104.6
128
108.4
301
.3986 10-7 10-6 83.3% 85.8% -0 1.7 22
225 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.4
149
107.1
278
.3981 8-6 6-3 68.6% 63.7% 3.9 2.37 187
226 Texas St. SB 96.2
297
99.7
132
.3972 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.92 52
227 UTEP CUSA 96.2
295
99.8
135
.3958 7-13 7-9 64.2% 64.6% 24.2 2.21 35
228 Fairfield MAAC 99.1
250
102.8
193
.3946 11-12 8-10 73.1% 66.7% 1.8 2.12 0
229 Norfolk St. MEAC 100.4
219
104.2
222
.3945 11-8 7-5 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 2.45 73
230 New Mexico St. WAC 100.7
212
104.6
231
.3912 5-8 4-8 25.2% 23.6% 15.6 2.33 211
231 Stetson ASun 102.3
171
106.3
263
.3911 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.41 0
232 High Point BSth 101.8
185
106.0
257
.3858 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 70
233 Coastal Carolina SB 100.0
230
104.1
219
.3858 9-8 7-7 62.5% 50.3% 5.5 2.52 134
234 St. Francis NY NEC 101.4
196
105.8
253
.3798 11-8 10-8 49.5% 45.5% 0 2.69 219
235 La Salle A10 99.2
246
103.5
208
.3784 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.6 1.82 63
236 Tennessee Tech OVC 102.4
168
107.0
275
.3754 11-16 9-11 74.3% 69.4% 17.9 2.05 154
237 Lehigh Pat 99.9
231
104.6
230
.3721 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
238 Long Beach St. BW 99.6
236
104.3
224
.3710 6-10 5-7 51.7% 42.1% 12 1.91 72
239 UMKC Sum 97.7
272
102.6
189
.3652 9-10 7-7 51.0% 33.3% 0 1.62 49
240 Hofstra CAA 101.4
199
106.4
265
.3643 9-12 6-8 52.4% 48.8% 9.2 2.18 250
241 Georgia SEC 99.8
232
104.8
235
.3632 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 36.6 1.56 137
242 Ball St. MAC 95.0
315
100.2
142
.3520 8-14 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 4.9 1.97 93
243 George Washington A10 102.2
177
107.8
289
.3513 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 41.1 2.28 270
244 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
114
110.8
335
.3502 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 8.9 2.11 479
245 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 100.2
223
105.8
252
.3495 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.46 36
246 East Tennessee St. SC 96.9
288
102.3
184
.3491 9-12 7-8 29.2% 32.8% 4.7 1.86 132
247 Kent St. MAC 99.6
238
105.2
242
.3480 9-13 8-11 41.7% 34.9% 0 1.66 81
248 Presbyterian BSth 100.6
216
106.4
264
.3440 9-11 8-9 97.4% 96.7% 0 1.86 25
249 UTSA CUSA 99.8
233
105.6
249
.3429 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 22.3 2.02 58
250 North Florida ASun 102.8
155
108.8
309
.3425 7-13 5-7 81.4% 84.1% 0 1.76 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
251 Kennesaw St. ASun 98.4
262
104.2
221
.3425 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 19.1 1.96 84
252 Radford BSth 99.4
240
105.4
245
.3382 9-14 8-10 62.1% 58.1% 14.1 2.35 37
253 Jacksonville ASun 100.6
214
106.7
270
.3382 10-12 6-8 46.3% 43.9% 11.7 2.34 221
254 Portland St. BSky 98.4
264
104.4
226
.3358 7-10 6-8 51.3% 38.8% 7.5 2.57 169
255 Western Illinois Sum 102.2
172
108.6
304
.3331 9-11 7-7 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.74 161
256 Lafayette Pat 102.9
152
109.6
319
.3266 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.4 2.15 0
257 The Citadel SC 102.6
159
109.3
314
.3265 8-11 7-9 66.9% 59.7% 2.7 1.85 0
258 Dixie St. WAC 98.1
267
104.7
233
.3227 8-11 5-9 76.7% 69.1% 3.7 2.17 59
259 Cal St. Northridge BW 103.3
151
110.2
326
.3214 7-13 5-9 74.6% 74.4% 11 2.28 0
260 Idaho St. BSky 97.8
271
104.4
227
.3191 8-10 7-7 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 43
261 Cal Poly BW 100.8
210
107.7
288
.3185 7-14 5-11 45.8% 50.0% 1.5 1.81 250
262 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
200
108.3
299
.3183 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 2.27 0
263 Albany AE 97.5
278
104.5
228
.3108 7-7 5-7 32.5% 25.0% 15.4 2.68 182
264 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 104.1
136
111.7
346
.3087 10-14 9-9 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.29 51
265 Boston University Pat 99.5
239
106.8
272
.3083 7-9 7-9 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 45
266 Tennessee St. OVC 100.5
217
107.9
292
.3057 9-13 8-12 28.8% 19.6% 21.1 2.19 362
267 Illinois Chicago Horz 95.1
313
102.3
185
.3008 9-12 7-9 56.5% 52.5% 13.3 2.63 127
268 New Mexico MWC 95.8
308
103.1
198
.3005 5-14 4-13 60.6% 57.7% 35.9 1.93 253
269 Texas Southern SWAC 99.1
247
106.7
271
.3003 10-11 9-5 46.2% 45.1% 5.4 2.68 174
270 Southern SWAC 98.9
254
106.5
268
.2990 10-8 9-5 44.7% 34.6% 7.2 2.52 157
271 Charleston Southern BSth 98.1
268
105.7
251
.2987 7-13 6-11 69.4% 64.3% 0 1.83 62
272 UT Arlington SB 95.8
307
103.4
205
.2942 8-14 7-10 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.28 69
273 Little Rock SB 97.3
280
105.1
240
.2921 9-15 7-11 56.5% 51.1% -0 2 46
274 William & Mary CAA 96.0
300
103.9
214
.2886 5-10 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 35
275 American Pat 95.9
306
103.7
210
.2886 2-7 2-7 69.2% 61.2% 0 1.78 21
276 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
248
107.2
280
.2885 8-11 5-3 30.8% 29.2% 23.6 2.38 224
277 Bucknell Pat 98.5
261
106.5
267
.2885 4-6 4-6 62.1% 53.6% 3.6 2.01 0
278 Monmouth MAAC 97.2
282
105.3
244
.2851 7-12 6-12 40.5% 34.0% 0 2.14 91
279 UMass Lowell AE 99.2
245
107.5
285
.2837 6-13 5-10 75.3% 64.6% 7.3 1.97 48
280 Troy SB 95.9
303
104.0
217
.2830 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.4 2.28 105
281 Saint Joseph's A10 96.8
290
105.0
239
.2808 3-15 2-10 73.0% 65.6% 31.2 2.13 48
282 Austin Peay OVC 99.0
253
107.4
284
.2799 11-13 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 6.1 2.24 82
283 Florida A&M SWAC 94.6
322
103.0
197
.2717 9-10 8-4 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.89 76
284 Montana St. BSky 98.5
259
107.8
290
.2621 7-11 7-7 44.7% 38.2% 13.5 1.73 71
285 Portland WCC 102.3
169
112.0
350
.2608 4-13 2-9 14.9% 9.5% 8.2 2.02 212
286 LIU Brooklyn NEC 95.6
309
104.6
232
.2607 8-10 8-10 60.6% 56.7% 3.2 1.81 12
287 UMBC AE 94.9
317
103.9
215
.2603 7-12 4-10 51.7% 45.3% 11 2.59 100
288 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 94.6
321
103.6
209
.2601 5-8 2-4 73.5% 64.6% 6 2.71 0
289 Jackson St. SWAC 91.6
342
100.4
146
.2592 8-8 7-4 37.2% 30.0% 0 2.27 124
290 Howard MEAC 102.1
178
111.9
348
.2583 2-2 0-0 73.6% 70.9% 9.3 1.96 199
291 Eastern Washington BSky 97.4
279
106.8
273
.2567 6-13 6-9 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.83 123
292 Binghamton AE 99.3
242
109.0
310
.2553 6-11 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.17 114
293 College of Charleston CAA 100.0
229
109.7
321
.2552 6-10 4-6 4.7% 3.1% 14.3 1.88 320
294 Delaware CAA 94.5
323
103.8
213
.2533 6-7 4-5 52.8% 40.9% 0 1.6 103
295 USC Upstate BSth 98.2
265
108.1
295
.2483 6-15 5-11 56.0% 39.7% 13.2 2.47 70
296 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.6
215
110.8
334
.2468 6-9 3-4 39.5% 30.5% 4.5 2.19 176
297 SIU Edwardsville OVC 98.2
266
108.2
297
.2463 9-15 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 2 2.3 82
298 St. Francis PA NEC 97.1
285
107.2
279
.2428 9-13 8-10 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
299 Maine AE 93.2
333
103.0
196
.2415 2-7 2-6 70.7% 68.3% 0 1.78 73
300 Lamar WAC 95.9
304
106.2
260
.2375 11-14 9-8 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.91 143
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
301 Army Pat 93.3
332
103.8
212
.2276 6-12 4-10 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.53 12
302 Evansville MVC 98.9
255
110.1
324
.2267 6-18 3-15 44.5% 54.1% 0 2.23 0
303 UC San Diego BW 99.1
249
110.7
333
.2184 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.7 1.96 85
304 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.3
220
112.4
352
.2135 8-10 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 149
305 Coppin St. MEAC 94.7
318
106.1
259
.2130 6-15 4-8 42.2% 29.4% 0 1.74 107
306 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 96.1
299
107.7
287
.2121 6-17 5-13 27.4% 25.1% 15.6 2.36 54
307 Holy Cross Pat 97.3
281
109.2
312
.2100 5-11 5-11 71.5% 65.3% 0 1.53 22
308 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
340
103.2
201
.2098 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.72 0
309 Brown Ivy 91.3
344
102.5
187
.2088 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 7.8 1.39 25
310 Niagara MAAC 97.6
276
109.8
322
.2042 5-13 4-12 38.2% 40.7% 3.8 2.31 83
311 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 96.8
289
109.3
313
.1997 9-15 8-8 49.2% 52.2% -0 2.28 163
312 Delaware St. MEAC 99.8
234
112.7
354
.1976 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
313 Samford SC 94.2
324
106.4
266
.1973 4-12 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 13.1 1.55 115
314 Northern Arizona BSky 97.5
277
110.3
327
.1956 6-14 5-9 68.7% 58.4% 14.3 1.94 142
315 FIU CUSA 93.1
335
105.2
243
.1956 5-17 4-13 47.2% 35.5% 15 1.98 122
316 Houston Baptist Slnd 99.2
243
112.3
351
.1944 7-15 7-8 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.85 43
317 Northern Illinois MAC 93.6
328
106.0
258
.1923 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.38 148
318 Sacramento St. BSky 96.6
293
109.6
318
.1896 4-13 4-10 36.6% 18.6% 2.4 2.33 54
319 Alabama St. SWAC 96.1
298
109.1
311
.1878 9-9 9-9 62.2% 54.4% 13.3 2.22 147
320 New Orleans Slnd 95.2
312
108.3
298
.1853 10-12 8-7 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
321 Green Bay Horz 96.9
287
110.4
328
.1835 6-18 5-15 42.5% 31.6% 1.4 1.26 76
322 Alcorn St. SWAC 96.5
294
110.1
325
.1804 6-12 6-7 41.4% 38.3% 9.6 2.36 139
323 Nicholls St. Slnd 95.0
316
108.3
300
.1801 8-14 7-9 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.45 139
324 Grambling St. SWAC 94.1
325
107.4
283
.1792 8-13 7-8 33.2% 32.1% 4.5 2.21 221
325 Air Force MWC 94.7
319
108.1
294
.1785 5-19 4-16 52.0% 50.6% 0 1.94 0
326 Western Michigan MAC 94.7
320
108.8
308
.1675 5-15 4-12 39.1% 36.0% 3.6 2.12 112
327 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
296
111.2
341
.1590 6-15 5-15 41.9% 31.7% 9.4 1.3 111
328 Denver Sum 95.9
305
110.9
337
.1580 6-14 4-10 34.1% 25.6% 7.3 2.61 170
329 McNeese St. Slnd 95.1
314
110.4
329
.1519 6-11 6-8 40.1% 25.7% 11.4 2.08 214
330 North Alabama ASun 93.6
329
108.7
306
.1514 4-13 3-12 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.72 9
331 Northwestern St. Slnd 95.4
311
110.9
336
.1510 8-18 7-9 40.6% 40.5% 0 1.86 0
332 Central Arkansas ASun 95.5
310
111.0
338
.1507 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 89
333 San Jose St. MWC 93.4
331
108.7
305
.1494 3-16 2-15 64.7% 48.8% 14.9 2.15 73
334 Hampton BSth 93.7
327
109.5
316
.1437 5-18 4-14 62.6% 53.4% 13.2 2.44 99
335 IUPUI Horz 92.7
336
108.4
302
.1414 4-13 3-13 52.2% 38.5% -0 2.1 34
336 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.2
339
107.9
291
.1408 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.41 75
337 North Dakota Sum 93.9
326
109.9
323
.1401 5-20 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.88 32
338 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
346
107.1
276
.1347 0-0 0-0 29.8% 23.2% 4.6 1.46 0
339 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 96.0
301
113.2
356
.1314 7-18 7-10 71.0% 63.7% 0 2.11 63
340 Stephen F. Austin WAC 88.2
354
104.0
218
.1301 6-12 5-10 35.3% 28.3% 12.8 1.75 67
341 Central Michigan MAC 92.6
338
109.7
320
.1252 5-15 4-12 51.6% 35.3% 0.4 2.13 33
342 Cornell Ivy 93.2
334
111.5
344
.1133 0-0 0-0 38.4% 27.9% 0 1.37 0
343 Idaho BSky 93.5
330
112.8
355
.1032 4-19 4-16 32.0% 29.2% 0 1.68 86
344 Columbia Ivy 91.5
343
110.5
330
.1028 0-0 0-0 26.4% 18.6% 9.9 1.04 0
345 South Carolina St. MEAC 92.6
337
112.0
349
.1013 4-14 3-5 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.74 31
346 Bethune Cookman SWAC 90.1
350
109.4
315
.0973 0-0 0-0 22.1% 16.9% 0 0.75 0
347 St. Thomas Sum 91.1
347
110.6
332
.0962 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 9.4 1.12 95
348 Wagner NEC 91.2
345
111.3
343
.0914 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.28 89
349 Western Carolina SC 91.0
348
111.2
342
.0907 3-21 2-15 26.9% 18.4% 13.4 2.26 117
350 Eastern Michigan MAC 88.7
352
108.8
307
.0871 2-13 2-12 23.1% 21.2% -0 1.46 32
351 Central Connecticut NEC 90.5
349
111.6
345
.0825 4-17 3-15 23.5% 19.9% 0 1.38 0
352 Eastern Illinois OVC 89.2
351
110.6
331
.0775 5-22 4-16 31.2% 14.9% 0 1.32 0
353 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 87.8
356
109.5
317
.0733 4-17 3-12 26.4% 20.5% 0 1.38 0
354 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
341
114.6
357
.0728 1-8 0-0 56.8% 47.6% 0 2.11 29
355 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 88.6
353
111.0
339
.0696 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% -0 1.6 196
356 North Carolina Central MEAC 88.2
355
111.8
347
.0610 2-10 2-6 23.2% 16.4% 6 2.18 96
357 Tennessee Martin OVC 85.7
357
115.4
358
.0315 2-21 1-19 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 2.13 215
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 83.0
358
112.6
353
.0291 2-23 1-15 44.2% 37.3% 0 2.32 14

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.