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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
240 Georgia SEC 99.8
231
104.8
234
.3637 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 36.6 1.56 137
239 Long Beach St. BW 99.5
238
104.4
225
.3671 6-10 5-7 51.7% 42.1% 12 1.91 72
238 Lehigh Pat 99.7
233
104.5
229
.3676 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
237 Tennessee Tech OVC 102.3
168
107.0
274
.3755 11-16 9-11 74.3% 69.4% 17.9 2.05 154
241 UMKC Sum 97.6
274
102.6
189
.3622 9-10 7-7 51.0% 33.3% 0 1.62 49
242 Hofstra CAA 101.1
204
106.4
264
.3590 9-12 6-8 52.4% 48.8% 9 2.18 250
246 Kent St. MAC 99.6
237
105.2
242
.3477 8-14 7-12 41.7% 34.9% 0 1.66 81
245 East Tennessee St. SC 96.8
291
102.3
183
.3482 9-12 7-8 29.2% 32.8% 4.7 1.86 132
244 George Washington A10 102.1
176
107.8
289
.3489 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 41.1 2.28 270
243 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
115
110.8
335
.3501 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 8.9 2.11 479
236 La Salle A10 99.1
248
103.6
208
.3759 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.6 1.82 63
235 St. Francis NY NEC 101.3
199
105.8
253
.3773 11-8 10-8 49.5% 45.5% 0 2.69 219
229 Sacred Heart NEC 104.4
131
108.5
303
.3918 10-7 10-6 83.3% 85.8% -0 1.7 22
228 Fairfield MAAC 99.0
251
102.8
193
.3920 11-12 9-9 73.1% 66.7% 1.8 2.12 0
227 Texas St. SB 96.1
302
99.8
134
.3922 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.92 52
226 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.3
151
107.1
277
.3964 8-6 6-3 68.6% 63.7% 3.9 2.37 187
230 New Mexico St. WAC 100.7
213
104.6
230
.3917 5-8 4-8 25.2% 23.6% 15.6 2.33 211
231 Norfolk St. MEAC 100.3
220
104.2
222
.3914 11-8 7-5 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 2.45 73
234 Coastal Carolina SB 99.9
230
104.1
219
.3832 9-8 7-7 62.5% 50.3% 5.5 2.52 134
233 High Point BSth 101.8
185
106.0
257
.3857 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 70
232 Stetson ASun 102.2
172
106.2
262
.3894 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.41 0
247 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 100.1
221
105.8
252
.3471 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.46 36
248 Presbyterian BSth 100.5
217
106.3
263
.3423 9-11 8-9 97.4% 96.7% 0 1.86 25
263 Albany AE 97.4
280
104.5
228
.3080 6-8 5-7 32.5% 25.0% 15.4 2.68 182
262 Cal Poly BW 100.7
212
107.7
288
.3157 7-14 5-11 45.8% 50.0% 1.5 1.81 250
261 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
197
108.4
301
.3165 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 2.27 0
260 Idaho St. BSky 97.7
273
104.4
226
.3174 8-10 7-7 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 43
264 Boston University Pat 99.4
240
106.8
271
.3063 7-9 7-9 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 45
265 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 104.0
138
111.7
346
.3061 10-14 9-9 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.29 51
268 New Mexico MWC 95.7
312
103.0
197
.2989 5-14 4-13 60.6% 57.7% 35.9 1.93 253
267 Illinois Chicago Horz 95.0
317
102.3
184
.2991 9-12 7-9 56.5% 52.5% 13.3 2.63 127
266 Tennessee St. OVC 100.4
218
107.9
292
.3034 9-13 8-12 28.8% 19.6% 21.1 2.19 362
259 Cal St. Northridge BW 103.2
152
110.2
327
.3179 7-13 5-9 74.6% 74.4% 11 2.28 0
258 North Florida ASun 102.0
179
108.9
310
.3205 7-13 5-7 81.4% 84.1% 0 1.75 30
252 Jacksonville ASun 100.6
215
106.6
269
.3388 10-12 6-8 46.3% 43.9% 11.7 2.34 221
251 UTSA CUSA 99.7
235
105.6
249
.3399 7-13 5-11 58.5% 41.2% 22.3 2.02 58
250 Kennesaw St. ASun 98.3
266
104.2
221
.3400 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 19.1 1.96 84
249 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
296
102.4
185
.3411 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19.8 2.93 157
253 Radford BSth 99.3
241
105.4
245
.3353 9-14 8-10 62.1% 58.1% 14.1 2.35 37
254 Western Illinois Sum 102.1
177
108.6
305
.3284 9-11 7-7 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.74 161
257 The Citadel SC 102.5
162
109.3
315
.3229 8-11 7-9 66.9% 59.7% 2.7 1.85 0
256 Dixie St. WAC 98.1
267
104.6
231
.3241 8-11 5-9 76.7% 69.1% 3.7 2.17 59
255 Lafayette Pat 102.8
153
109.6
318
.3245 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.4 2.15 0
225 South Alabama SB 104.2
133
108.1
295
.3971 9-13 8-9 15.5% 8.5% 31.9 2.62 580
224 Canisius MAAC 102.1
174
105.9
254
.3980 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 2.3 2.3 0
195 East Carolina Amer 98.6
260
100.4
146
.4492 7-10 3-9 46.8% 45.1% 10.7 2.16 106
194 Rider MAAC 105.2
109
106.9
273
.4536 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 236
193 Prairie View A&M SWAC 98.7
259
100.3
142
.4548 12-6 10-3 59.6% 57.4% 8.8 2.71 125
192 UTEP CUSA 97.1
286
98.6
112
.4556 8-12 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 26 2.37 0
196 North Texas CUSA 96.9
290
98.7
114
.4466 9-12 6-8 40.4% 35.9% 11.8 1.39 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
197 Mercer SC 100.0
225
102.0
178
.4445 11-11 10-7 68.4% 62.3% 10.3 2.13 0
201 Lipscomb ASun 103.9
139
106.2
260
.4391 11-11 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
200 NJIT AE 101.6
191
103.8
212
.4397 10-8 9-7 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.54 101
199 UNC Asheville BSth 105.4
99
107.6
285
.4412 11-8 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 124
198 Illinois St. MVC 98.9
253
100.8
154
.4438 9-14 6-12 63.6% 54.6% 4.8 1.85 118
191 Towson CAA 106.7
74
108.2
297
.4590 9-8 7-5 60.4% 55.6% 6.9 2.4 285
190 Valparaiso MVC 102.0
180
103.3
203
.4621 9-16 6-12 35.0% 32.0% 12.8 1.91 120
184 UC Davis BW 101.6
190
102.6
190
.4719 9-6 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.12 43
183 Princeton Ivy 101.2
202
102.2
182
.4723 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 18 1.52 0
182 Cal St. Fullerton BW 106.3
80
107.2
280
.4739 8-6 8-6 81.2% 79.7% 12.3 2.11 65
181 Oakland Horz 105.3
101
106.2
261
.4765 12-15 11-9 61.4% 60.7% 13.6 2.06 94
185 North Dakota St. Sum 100.0
226
101.2
162
.4662 12-12 10-6 79.2% 73.8% 1.6 2.07 34
186 New Hampshire AE 103.9
142
105.2
241
.4645 11-6 10-5 80.5% 81.2% 0 2.13 45
189 VMI SC 104.2
134
105.5
247
.4629 10-10 8-6 72.7% 63.3% 0 1.87 0
188 Siena MAAC 101.8
184
103.1
199
.4633 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.58 271
187 Morgan St. MEAC 105.7
90
107.0
275
.4645 9-5 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 11.4 2.63 46
202 Iowa St. B12 98.7
258
101.1
160
.4324 5-18 3-15 40.8% 33.2% 51.3 2.24 286
203 Abilene Christian WAC 97.5
277
99.8
135
.4323 14-7 11-4 38.6% 31.0% 0 1.84 0
218 Arkansas St. SB 101.5
193
104.8
235
.4097 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 0 1.82 0
217 Hartford AE 99.8
232
102.9
195
.4120 10-9 8-6 52.5% 41.5% -0 2.51 137
216 Penn Ivy 96.7
295
99.7
132
.4128 0-0 0-0 35.3% 33.8% 11.9 1.24 32
215 Pittsburgh ACC 97.1
285
100.1
140
.4134 5-16 3-13 40.5% 30.4% 39.9 1.67 86
219 Quinnipiac MAAC 97.6
276
100.9
156
.4055 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 4.8 1.86 50
220 Chattanooga SC 99.1
244
102.5
187
.4055 11-12 8-8 59.6% 48.0% 3.2 2.22 40
223 Louisiana Monroe SB 100.8
211
104.5
227
.3984 14-11 10-8 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 123
222 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.4
196
104.9
237
.4029 8-13 6-10 57.7% 53.6% 8.1 2.67 152
221 Portland St. BSky 101.3
201
104.7
232
.4051 8-9 7-7 51.3% 38.8% 6.3 2.66 230
214 Georgia Southern SB 97.8
271
100.8
153
.4153 10-11 8-8 71.8% 62.0% 15.1 2.34 0
213 Western Kentucky CUSA 98.4
264
101.4
166
.4163 9-15 6-8 22.7% 20.2% 28.3 1.46 57
207 Fordham A10 96.6
297
99.1
121
.4268 5-8 5-8 57.7% 52.1% 2.2 2.33 250
206 Cal Baptist WAC 103.9
141
106.6
268
.4270 10-8 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 244
205 Milwaukee Horz 101.7
186
104.3
223
.4288 9-10 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 30.4 1.59 117
204 Louisiana Lafayette SB 102.5
163
104.9
238
.4321 13-9 10-7 53.8% 40.3% 23.8 2.17 120
208 Pacific WCC 98.9
252
101.6
169
.4253 5-11 4-9 41.9% 38.9% 1.9 2.26 72
209 South Florida Amer 96.9
289
99.7
133
.4192 5-14 3-11 29.6% 30.6% 30.8 1.93 207
212 Ball St. MAC 97.7
272
100.6
151
.4164 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 8.5 2.22 104
211 Bowling Green MAC 102.5
161
105.6
248
.4176 10-14 8-11 51.2% 42.5% 13.1 1.95 198
210 Detroit Horz 108.0
57
111.1
340
.4179 10-10 9-7 38.9% 44.2% 19 2.5 186
269 Texas Southern SWAC 99.1
249
106.7
270
.2987 10-11 9-5 46.2% 45.1% 5.4 2.68 174
270 Southern SWAC 98.8
255
106.5
267
.2969 10-8 9-5 44.7% 34.6% 7.2 2.52 157
330 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
299
111.2
341
.1589 6-15 5-15 41.9% 31.7% 9.4 1.3 111
329 McNeese St. Slnd 96.0
304
110.7
333
.1625 7-10 6-8 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 291
328 Lamar WAC 93.6
328
107.6
286
.1673 9-16 8-9 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.93 78
327 Air Force MWC 94.6
322
108.2
296
.1756 5-19 3-17 52.0% 50.6% 0 1.94 0
331 Denver Sum 95.8
309
110.9
337
.1562 6-14 4-10 34.1% 25.6% 7.3 2.61 170
332 Northwestern St. Slnd 95.3
315
110.9
336
.1492 8-18 7-9 40.6% 40.5% 0 1.86 0
336 North Dakota Sum 93.8
327
110.0
324
.1381 5-20 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.88 32
335 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.1
339
107.9
291
.1391 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.41 75
334 Central Arkansas ASun 95.3
314
111.0
339
.1479 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 89
333 North Alabama ASun 93.5
329
108.8
308
.1488 4-13 3-12 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.72 9
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
326 Nicholls St. Slnd 94.9
319
108.4
302
.1771 8-14 7-9 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.45 139
325 Alcorn St. SWAC 96.1
300
109.8
322
.1782 6-12 6-7 41.4% 38.3% 8.9 2.41 207
319 Northern Illinois MAC 93.5
330
106.0
258
.1897 5-14 3-11 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.38 148
318 Houston Baptist Slnd 99.1
245
112.3
351
.1923 8-14 7-8 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.85 43
317 Northern Arizona BSky 97.4
279
110.3
328
.1924 6-14 5-9 68.7% 58.4% 14.3 1.94 142
316 FIU CUSA 93.0
334
105.2
243
.1934 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 15 1.98 122
320 Sacramento St. BSky 96.4
298
109.5
317
.1871 4-13 4-10 36.6% 18.6% 2.4 2.33 54
321 San Jose St. MWC 95.4
313
108.7
307
.1828 3-16 3-14 64.7% 48.8% 21.8 2.06 127
324 Grambling St. SWAC 94.6
320
108.0
293
.1789 8-13 7-8 37.6% 37.4% 4.7 2.33 136
323 New Orleans Slnd 95.1
316
108.3
300
.1822 9-13 8-7 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
322 Green Bay Horz 96.9
288
110.4
329
.1828 6-18 5-15 42.5% 31.6% 1.4 1.26 76
337 IUPUI Horz 92.7
335
108.8
309
.1367 4-13 3-13 51.5% 37.9% -0 2.02 34
338 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
347
107.1
276
.1346 0-0 0-0 29.8% 23.2% 4.6 1.46 0
353 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 88.9
354
110.1
325
.0792 4-17 4-11 26.4% 20.5% 4.2 1.66 40
352 Central Connecticut NEC 90.4
350
111.6
345
.0815 3-18 3-15 23.5% 19.9% 0 1.38 0
351 Eastern Illinois OVC 89.2
353
109.7
319
.0847 5-22 4-16 31.2% 14.9% 0 1.52 44
350 Western Carolina SC 90.9
349
111.3
342
.0891 3-21 2-15 26.9% 18.4% 13.4 2.26 117
354 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
341
114.6
358
.0727 1-8 0-0 56.8% 47.6% 0 2.11 29
355 North Carolina Central MEAC 88.2
355
111.8
347
.0609 2-10 2-6 23.2% 16.4% 6 2.18 96
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 82.9
358
112.7
354
.0285 2-23 1-15 44.2% 37.3% 0 2.32 14
357 Tennessee Martin OVC 89.3
352
114.5
357
.0543 3-20 2-18 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 2.31 265
356 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 88.1
356
111.9
348
.0601 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% 0 1.09 43
349 St. Thomas Sum 91.0
348
110.6
332
.0952 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 9.4 1.12 95
348 Idaho BSky 92.5
337
112.5
353
.0954 4-19 4-16 32.0% 29.2% 0 1.97 91
342 Central Michigan MAC 92.5
338
109.7
320
.1231 4-16 3-13 51.6% 35.3% 0.4 2.13 33
341 Eastern Michigan MAC 91.3
345
108.0
294
.1253 3-12 3-11 23.1% 21.2% 0 1.89 118
340 Stephen F. Austin WAC 88.1
357
104.0
218
.1284 6-12 6-9 35.3% 28.3% 12.8 1.75 67
339 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 95.9
306
113.2
356
.1301 7-18 7-10 71.0% 63.7% 0 2.11 63
343 Cornell Ivy 93.1
333
111.4
343
.1122 0-0 0-0 38.4% 27.9% 0 1.37 0
344 Wagner NEC 91.7
342
110.6
331
.1046 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.63 125
347 Bethune Cookman SWAC 90.0
351
109.4
316
.0957 0-0 0-0 22.1% 16.9% 0 0.75 0
346 South Carolina St. MEAC 92.5
336
112.0
350
.0997 4-14 3-5 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.74 31
345 Columbia Ivy 91.4
344
110.5
330
.1015 0-0 0-0 26.4% 18.6% 9.9 1.04 0
315 Delaware St. MEAC 99.7
236
112.7
355
.1950 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
314 Hampton BSth 96.1
301
108.7
306
.1954 7-16 5-13 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.6 181
285 LIU Brooklyn NEC 95.0
318
103.6
209
.2701 8-10 8-10 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 2.04 68
284 Portland WCC 102.3
167
111.5
344
.2722 4-13 2-9 14.9% 9.5% 13.6 2.06 254
283 Austin Peay OVC 98.8
257
107.4
283
.2770 11-13 8-12 52.9% 43.9% 6.2 2.24 82
282 Saint Joseph's A10 96.7
294
105.0
239
.2785 3-15 2-10 73.0% 65.6% 31.2 2.13 48
286 Florida A&M SWAC 94.5
324
103.1
198
.2683 9-10 8-4 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.89 76
287 UMBC AE 95.9
307
104.9
236
.2633 7-12 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.8 2.41 147
291 Howard MEAC 102.0
178
112.0
349
.2557 2-2 0-0 73.6% 70.9% 9.3 1.96 199
290 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 94.5
323
103.7
210
.2558 5-8 2-4 73.5% 64.6% 6 2.71 0
289 Jackson St. SWAC 91.5
343
100.4
145
.2572 8-8 7-4 37.2% 30.0% 0 2.27 124
288 Montana St. BSky 98.4
262
107.8
290
.2596 7-11 7-7 44.7% 38.2% 13.5 1.73 71
281 Troy SB 95.8
308
104.0
217
.2802 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.4 2.28 105
280 UMass Lowell AE 99.1
247
107.5
284
.2822 6-13 5-10 75.3% 64.6% 7.3 1.97 48
274 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
246
107.2
279
.2890 8-11 5-3 30.8% 29.2% 23.6 2.38 224
273 Little Rock SB 97.2
282
105.1
240
.2893 9-15 7-11 56.5% 51.1% -0 2 46
272 UT Arlington SB 95.7
311
103.4
205
.2903 8-14 7-10 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.28 69
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
271 Charleston Southern BSth 98.0
270
105.7
251
.2951 7-13 6-11 69.4% 64.3% 0 1.83 62
275 William & Mary CAA 96.0
303
103.9
215
.2868 5-10 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 35
276 Bucknell Pat 98.4
265
106.5
266
.2865 4-6 4-6 62.1% 53.6% 3.6 2.01 0
279 Monmouth MAAC 97.1
284
105.3
244
.2823 7-12 6-12 40.5% 34.0% 0 2.14 91
278 American Pat 95.8
310
103.7
211
.2851 2-7 2-7 69.2% 61.2% 0 1.78 21
277 Western Michigan MAC 99.1
243
107.4
282
.2855 7-13 6-10 49.3% 46.6% 3.2 2.28 163
292 Eastern Washington BSky 97.3
281
106.8
272
.2549 6-13 6-9 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.83 123
293 College of Charleston CAA 99.9
229
109.7
321
.2527 6-10 4-6 4.7% 3.1% 14.3 1.88 320
308 Holy Cross Pat 97.2
283
109.2
312
.2078 5-11 5-11 71.5% 65.3% 0 1.53 22
307 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
340
103.3
202
.2091 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.72 0
306 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 96.0
305
107.7
287
.2098 6-17 5-13 27.4% 25.1% 15.6 2.36 54
305 Coppin St. MEAC 94.6
321
106.1
259
.2107 6-15 4-8 42.2% 29.4% 0 1.74 107
309 Brown Ivy 91.2
346
102.5
188
.2059 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 7.8 1.39 25
310 Niagara MAAC 97.4
278
109.8
323
.2015 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.8 2.31 83
313 Samford SC 94.1
326
106.4
265
.1957 4-12 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 13.1 1.55 115
312 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 96.7
293
109.3
314
.1974 9-15 8-8 49.2% 52.2% -0 2.28 163
311 Alabama St. SWAC 96.8
292
109.3
313
.1997 9-9 9-9 62.2% 54.4% 13.8 2.11 83
304 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.3
219
112.4
352
.2134 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 149
303 UC San Diego BW 99.0
250
110.8
334
.2156 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.7 1.96 85
297 SIU Edwardsville OVC 98.1
269
108.3
299
.2430 9-15 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 2 2.3 82
296 USC Upstate BSth 98.1
268
108.3
298
.2439 6-15 5-11 56.0% 39.7% 13.2 2.47 70
295 Delaware CAA 94.4
325
103.8
214
.2501 6-7 4-5 52.8% 40.9% 0 1.6 103
294 Binghamton AE 99.2
242
109.0
311
.2526 6-11 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.17 114
298 St. Francis PA NEC 97.1
287
107.2
278
.2425 9-13 8-10 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
299 Maine AE 93.1
332
103.0
196
.2393 2-7 2-6 70.7% 68.3% 0 1.78 73
302 Evansville MVC 98.8
256
110.1
326
.2232 6-18 3-15 44.5% 54.1% 0 2.23 0
301 Army Pat 93.2
331
103.8
213
.2245 6-12 4-10 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.53 12
300 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.1
224
111.0
338
.2333 6-9 3-4 39.5% 30.5% 4.5 2.18 168
180 Northern Colorado BSky 102.7
157
103.5
207
.4773 11-7 10-5 88.4% 90.4% 7 2.68 76
179 Marist MAAC 98.5
261
99.3
125
.4778 12-8 10-8 76.2% 71.2% 2.8 2.32 50
61 Nebraska B10 105.2
108
94.4
45
.7769 13-13 9-11 65.9% 63.6% 56 2.06 68
60 Butler BE 106.7
75
95.6
61
.7781 12-11 10-10 94.1% 93.1% 44.1 2.3 53
59 Colorado P12 105.1
112
94.2
43
.7785 14-13 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 56 1.57 47
58 Buffalo MAC 108.6
51
97.1
85
.7834 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 33.7 2.44 30
62 Saint Louis A10 106.8
72
95.9
63
.7759 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.41 98
63 Wisconsin B10 102.6
160
92.1
14
.7745 14-13 9-11 42.1% 35.9% 68.7 1.32 22
67 Northern Iowa MVC 109.8
35
98.9
117
.7689 14-8 12-6 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
66 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.3
40
98.3
107
.7710 13-7 8-4 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.33 174
65 Nevada MWC 107.8
58
96.9
82
.7718 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 29.9 2.08 213
64 West Virginia B12 107.3
63
96.4
73
.7739 13-13 8-9 37.2% 27.6% 34.3 2.03 96
57 Murray St. OVC 108.9
46
97.4
89
.7837 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.5 212
56 Colorado St. MWC 109.1
43
97.4
90
.7858 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 24.3 1.99 23
50 Stanford P12 104.3
132
92.5
16
.8004 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
49 Oregon P12 109.3
41
96.6
76
.8057 15-9 10-8 39.3% 27.1% 65.3 1.75 66
48 LSU SEC 112.0
17
98.8
115
.8085 15-9 9-8 28.7% 14.7% 77 1.47 209
47 Clemson ACC 105.3
104
92.9
23
.8092 12-10 9-7 51.2% 49.1% 51.8 2.21 106
51 Oklahoma St. B12 104.6
123
92.9
24
.7970 13-12 9-9 70.1% 64.2% 67.4 1.79 43
52 TCU B12 109.0
44
97.0
83
.7939 15-10 8-8 53.0% 56.6% 61.5 2.26 351
55 Missouri St. MVC 109.6
38
97.8
98
.7872 14-6 12-6 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 110
54 Oklahoma B12 105.1
114
93.7
37
.7884 12-11 8-9 35.5% 28.5% 28.2 2.4 183
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
53 Providence BE 106.6
77
94.9
52
.7914 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 101
68 VCU A10 101.9
181
91.8
8
.7683 15-8 9-5 63.7% 58.8% 39.9 1.91 79
69 UCF Amer 105.1
111
94.7
49
.7682 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 51.4 2.08 40
84 Mississippi St. SEC 103.9
140
95.1
55
.7340 15-12 8-10 49.5% 48.6% 54.6 1.62 128
83 Vanderbilt SEC 106.6
76
97.5
92
.7348 11-11 6-10 56.0% 56.7% 28 1.93 112
82 North Carolina St. ACC 104.7
121
95.7
62
.7360 12-11 8-10 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.77 77
81 Penn St. B10 105.3
103
96.3
70
.7373 10-14 8-12 46.9% 47.8% 22.6 2.47 74
85 Virginia ACC 101.3
200
92.8
22
.7318 12-11 7-10 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 134
86 Southern Utah BSky 110.9
24
101.7
172
.7310 13-4 12-2 92.5% 93.1% 11.2 2.95 0
89 UAB CUSA 106.2
82
98.2
105
.7089 18-7 12-6 33.8% 32.3% 36.7 2.45 212
88 Kansas St. B12 102.2
170
94.2
44
.7173 13-13 7-11 74.0% 70.7% 57.6 1.95 183
87 Wake Forest ACC 105.7
89
97.1
86
.7261 10-10 8-10 44.5% 42.3% 36.1 1.84 176
80 Boise St. MWC 106.2
81
97.0
84
.7393 15-9 13-7 61.0% 52.8% 34.6 2.51 0
79 Iowa B10 107.0
67
97.7
94
.7415 13-14 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
73 SMU Amer 108.9
45
98.8
116
.7537 10-7 7-6 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 235
72 Marquette BE 105.3
105
95.5
60
.7541 13-13 9-10 34.2% 33.4% 57.8 1.34 112
71 Mississippi SEC 103.4
147
93.6
35
.7574 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 118
70 Wichita St. Amer 104.8
118
94.6
48
.7658 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 27 2.14 40
74 Colgate Pat 110.2
31
100.0
138
.7535 11-1 11-1 70.5% 62.5% 0 2.27 0
75 UC Irvine BW 104.7
122
95.0
54
.7523 15-7 12-4 79.1% 80.1% 3.3 1.64 24
78 San Francisco WCC 105.4
100
96.0
66
.7442 13-10 7-6 59.0% 58.1% 3.2 2.43 208
77 Rhode Island A10 105.5
95
96.1
68
.7451 14-10 10-7 79.6% 75.1% 38.2 2.53 77
76 Utah St. MWC 103.3
150
93.9
39
.7500 16-8 13-6 44.6% 39.9% 29.9 2.04 103
46 Liberty ASun 111.0
23
97.6
93
.8139 17-4 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
45 Arizona P12 107.5
60
94.1
40
.8225 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 79.6 0.88 32
16 Texas B12 109.8
37
92.0
11
.8840 16-8 11-6 37.8% 38.8% 79.1 2.23 279
15 Michigan St. B10 110.8
26
92.6
18
.8875 17-9 12-8 47.7% 42.8% 75.3 1.75 68
14 Villanova BE 114.0
8
95.2
56
.8886 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2 0
13 Maryland B10 111.1
22
92.0
12
.8969 18-8 13-7 62.1% 66.0% 69.5 2.17 151
17 Connecticut BE 111.4
19
93.6
34
.8808 14-6 12-5 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
18 Kentucky SEC 113.3
12
95.5
59
.8770 14-10 10-7 30.3% 25.4% 81.7 1.5 267
22 Virginia Tech ACC 111.2
21
94.8
51
.8623 15-7 10-5 74.1% 76.3% 16.8 2.22 70
21 Arkansas SEC 108.9
48
92.5
17
.8666 19-7 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 42.9 2.37 306
20 Florida SEC 110.5
28
93.4
31
.8732 14-7 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 43.8 2.38 203
19 St. Bonaventure A10 110.2
32
93.0
25
.8757 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.59 36
12 Xavier BE 114.0
7
94.4
46
.8972 16-4 10-3 81.1% 82.7% 50.8 2.27 60
11 Ohio St. B10 113.5
10
93.5
33
.9027 18-8 13-7 78.9% 81.6% 68.1 2.58 89
5 Alabama SEC 113.4
11
92.0
10
.9177 21-6 13-5 56.5% 56.6% 73.1 1.43 111
4 UCLA P12 115.8
2
92.7
21
.9279 20-5 15-4 79.5% 74.9% 80.7 2.01 52
3 Kansas B12 114.3
6
91.3
4
.9303 20-6 13-5 71.0% 72.0% 67.1 2.2 201
2 Michigan B10 114.8
3
90.6
2
.9378 20-5 15-5 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.52 49
6 Memphis Amer 110.7
27
89.8
1
.9175 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 144
7 Duke ACC 114.4
5
93.2
28
.9132 17-5 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 59
10 Purdue B10 112.1
16
92.1
13
.9052 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
9 Baylor B12 113.9
9
93.3
29
.9084 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 58.7 1.59 127
8 Tennessee SEC 111.9
18
91.5
6
.9103 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.4 1.48 62
23 Auburn SEC 110.4
29
94.1
41
.8622 17-10 11-7 71.3% 67.0% 61.8 1.51 193
24 Indiana B10 109.9
34
93.9
38
.8599 16-11 11-9 64.7% 65.1% 74.3 2.12 188
39 Syracuse ACC 110.9
25
96.5
74
.8323 16-7 10-6 48.1% 53.8% 56.8 2.43 153
38 Belmont OVC 112.6
15
98.0
100
.8326 22-4 17-3 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
37 Illinois B10 107.6
59
93.4
32
.8353 14-12 10-10 50.2% 40.9% 59.2 2.02 88
36 Richmond A10 111.3
20
96.5
75
.8381 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 77
40 Washington St. P12 107.1
65
93.3
30
.8290 18-9 11-9 77.7% 70.6% 28.8 1.86 116
41 Northwestern B10 106.8
73
93.2
27
.8274 13-10 10-10 73.9% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
44 Arizona St. P12 109.8
36
96.1
67
.8226 15-9 11-7 24.6% 19.2% 51.6 2.09 318
43 Seton Hall BE 108.4
54
94.8
50
.8242 15-10 11-8 54.5% 48.0% 68.1 2.44 144
42 Drake MVC 112.8
13
98.5
111
.8256 19-6 13-5 88.5% 83.5% 2.8 2.77 34
35 Florida St. ACC 107.0
66
92.6
19
.8406 13-7 9-6 30.1% 22.4% 56.9 1.69 145
34 San Diego St. MWC 107.0
68
92.4
15
.8442 17-6 13-4 61.0% 57.0% 31.6 2.82 174
28 Ohio MAC 112.8
14
96.7
79
.8543 17-4 14-2 96.0% 96.0% 6 2.38 54
27 Saint Mary's WCC 106.9
70
91.6
7
.8544 15-6 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
26 Notre Dame ACC 114.5
4
98.1
103
.8547 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 142
25 Houston Amer 107.0
69
91.4
5
.8590 17-6 12-5 40.4% 39.5% 56 1.8 129
29 North Carolina ACC 109.2
42
93.7
36
.8534 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 87.9 1.54 57
30 Louisville ACC 110.3
30
95.0
53
.8480 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 65.2 1.92 237
33 Loyola Chicago MVC 107.5
62
92.7
20
.8451 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
32 Texas Tech B12 106.5
78
91.9
9
.8452 17-9 10-7 36.2% 35.5% 19 2.29 266
31 USC P12 108.1
55
93.1
26
.8478 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 66.1 2.03 50
90 Creighton BE 102.8
156
95.3
57
.7050 12-13 8-12 20.8% 19.2% 80.3 0.76 0
91 Georgia Tech ACC 101.9
182
94.5
47
.7041 11-12 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 51
150 Jacksonville St. ASun 102.4
164
100.9
155
.5421 13-10 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.38 96
149 Texas A&M SEC 100.1
222
98.4
108
.5497 7-10 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 51.9 1.05 217
148 Rice CUSA 109.3
39
107.3
281
.5527 12-10 8-8 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 171
147 Furman SC 101.0
208
99.1
120
.5549 13-8 9-6 57.1% 51.4% 1 2.2 32
151 Gardner Webb BSth 105.8
87
104.3
224
.5413 15-10 13-7 70.2% 65.1% 10.3 1.46 0
152 Davidson A10 101.7
189
100.2
141
.5408 8-10 4-7 63.5% 60.3% 30 1.96 0
156 Pepperdine WCC 101.6
192
100.3
144
.5344 8-12 5-8 44.0% 35.1% 21.7 2.26 134
155 Fort Wayne Horz 109.9
33
108.6
304
.5359 13-8 12-8 56.8% 56.9% 0 2.13 104
154 James Madison CAA 106.1
84
104.7
233
.5365 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
153 Yale Ivy 102.4
165
101.1
159
.5368 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 7.6 2.16 0
146 DePaul BE 100.5
216
98.5
110
.5569 6-11 5-10 33.7% 29.5% 55.5 1.6 95
145 Cleveland St. Horz 105.4
98
103.2
201
.5607 13-10 12-8 55.2% 53.3% 1.8 2.53 86
139 Georgia St. SB 106.0
86
102.8
192
.5879 10-7 8-4 61.1% 55.2% 40.8 1.98 138
138 Sam Houston St. WAC 104.5
128
101.3
164
.5893 16-7 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 17.2 2.44 118
137 Missouri SEC 101.0
209
97.8
97
.5899 7-16 4-12 19.7% 19.2% 42.6 1.58 173
136 Minnesota B10 101.1
205
97.9
99
.5918 10-17 5-15 7.0% 4.6% 20.9 2.33 257
140 Saint Peter's MAAC 98.4
263
95.9
64
.5737 14-8 12-5 75.7% 72.4% 0 1.97 49
141 Grand Canyon WAC 104.7
119
102.1
180
.5732 11-7 7-5 40.2% 38.5% 34.1 2.27 247
144 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
166
99.9
136
.5699 13-10 9-7 53.2% 52.9% 40.2 2.32 299
143 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
120
102.2
181
.5708 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.5 2.48 212
142 Boston College ACC 102.6
159
100.1
139
.5714 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 37.8 2.02 119
157 Merrimack NEC 98.9
254
97.7
95
.5339 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 2.09 0
158 California P12 100.1
223
99.2
122
.5266 8-18 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.4 1.96 53
173 Tarleton St. WAC 100.9
210
101.3
165
.4896 7-8 6-6 80.9% 70.5% 0 1.98 32
172 Weber St. BSky 105.6
93
106.0
256
.4906 11-9 10-6 52.2% 48.9% 10.4 2.29 178
171 Drexel CAA 105.5
97
105.6
250
.4956 10-6 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.42 85
170 Marshall CUSA 101.7
188
101.7
173
.4978 11-10 8-6 56.5% 57.1% 6.8 1.71 0
174 Stony Brook AE 101.3
198
101.8
174
.4881 12-9 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4.1 2.82 292
175 Duquesne A10 97.6
275
98.1
102
.4874 7-9 6-8 37.9% 25.8% 13.6 1.94 213
178 Mount St. Mary's NEC 101.0
207
101.8
175
.4786 13-9 12-6 79.3% 71.0% 0.4 2.25 93
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
177 UNLV MWC 102.8
155
103.4
204
.4835 9-14 8-10 26.0% 14.5% 37.8 2.3 314
176 Utah Valley WAC 102.1
173
102.7
191
.4839 10-9 8-5 69.8% 64.1% 19.4 2.56 63
169 Bradley MVC 101.7
187
101.7
171
.5004 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 4.7 1.94 43
168 Bryant NEC 106.1
85
105.9
255
.5042 12-8 11-5 65.8% 62.8% 8.6 2.43 121
162 San Diego WCC 102.1
175
101.5
168
.5175 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.7 2.45 214
161 Oral Roberts Sum 106.1
83
105.4
246
.5177 11-9 10-5 66.8% 58.9% 16.7 2 127
160 Hawaii BW 104.2
135
103.5
206
.5189 10-8 10-8 55.6% 52.1% 11.5 2.51 181
159 Longwood BSth 102.8
154
101.9
176
.5261 15-10 12-8 61.0% 58.3% 7.4 2.11 148
163 Indiana St. MVC 99.5
239
99.0
118
.5160 9-13 7-11 40.1% 41.5% 12.2 1.64 100
164 Elon CAA 103.7
145
103.1
200
.5148 8-6 6-5 77.0% 74.4% 6.4 2.19 88
167 Harvard Ivy 101.1
206
100.7
152
.5105 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 63.3 0.7 0
166 George Mason A10 99.9
228
99.5
127
.5119 9-10 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 25.5 2.2 176
165 Campbell BSth 104.5
129
104.0
216
.5141 13-9 10-7 76.7% 74.2% 0 2.06 0
135 Appalachian St. SB 104.6
127
101.2
163
.5929 12-8 10-5 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.36 0
134 Loyola MD Pat 105.0
117
101.6
170
.5930 9-5 9-5 74.3% 75.2% 22.9 2.19 0
106 Vermont AE 105.6
94
99.6
131
.6602 11-3 11-3 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
105 South Carolina SEC 102.6
158
96.7
80
.6636 8-12 7-9 45.7% 41.1% 31.4 2.38 207
104 Santa Clara WCC 105.5
96
99.2
124
.6684 9-7 4-5 62.2% 55.1% 18.1 2.39 115
103 Fresno St. MWC 106.8
71
100.5
147
.6696 11-9 11-9 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 105
107 Old Dominion CUSA 105.1
113
99.2
123
.6598 13-8 10-6 43.4% 39.7% 30.1 1.99 111
108 Miami OH MAC 108.5
52
102.4
186
.6592 15-7 12-6 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.51 27
111 Montana BSky 105.3
102
99.6
129
.6569 15-7 13-5 89.6% 85.6% 0.4 1.88 73
110 Rutgers B10 99.7
234
94.2
42
.6578 9-15 6-14 49.4% 41.7% 56.6 1.69 26
109 Winthrop BSth 105.3
106
99.4
126
.6585 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 8.3 2.33 144
102 Northern Kentucky Horz 108.6
50
101.9
177
.6761 17-6 14-4 87.5% 92.4% 3.9 2.48 68
101 Northeastern CAA 103.4
148
96.8
81
.6803 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 221
95 Wright St. Horz 103.3
149
96.0
65
.7011 17-6 15-5 74.2% 68.3% 8.5 1.79 20
94 BYU WCC 103.7
144
96.3
71
.7014 13-10 6-7 47.5% 40.5% 31.9 2.03 0
93 Washington P12 105.0
116
97.5
91
.7019 10-15 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 49.3 2.41 287
92 Tulane Amer 104.1
136
96.6
77
.7027 13-9 8-9 87.5% 87.9% 23.1 2.03 109
96 UC Riverside BW 105.7
91
98.2
104
.7001 15-5 11-3 54.4% 51.8% 20.3 2.2 133
97 Miami FL ACC 108.0
56
100.6
150
.6938 11-13 7-12 49.1% 50.3% 68.1 1.86 158
100 Florida Atlantic CUSA 104.4
130
97.7
96
.6816 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 14.1 1.87 79
99 Massachusetts A10 107.5
61
100.5
149
.6841 8-5 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 18.8 1.95 206
98 UC Santa Barbara BW 108.4
53
101.0
158
.6930 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 76
112 South Dakota St. Sum 108.8
49
102.9
194
.6567 13-7 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.9 2.32 0
113 Akron MAC 105.2
107
99.6
130
.6523 13-7 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.3 2.44 125
128 St. John's BE 101.5
195
97.3
87
.6201 11-15 6-13 24.4% 24.8% 46.9 1.93 166
127 South Dakota Sum 108.9
47
104.1
220
.6260 14-8 11-4 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.22 62
126 Iona MAAC 104.6
126
100.0
137
.6281 9-4 6-3 46.2% 37.9% 22.7 2.2 174
125 Cincinnati Amer 99.9
227
95.3
58
.6324 9-11 6-9 58.4% 49.6% 36.5 2.02 119
129 Georgetown BE 102.2
171
98.0
101
.6174 8-13 5-11 21.6% 19.7% 44.6 1.12 83
130 UNC Greensboro SC 102.3
169
98.3
106
.6118 18-8 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 25.5 2.4 115
133 Louisiana Tech CUSA 100.6
214
97.3
88
.5947 16-9 9-7 39.7% 45.2% 15.1 1.45 66
132 Wofford SC 104.6
125
100.9
157
.6016 14-7 12-5 68.3% 60.2% 4.2 1.63 38
131 Seattle WAC 105.1
110
101.1
161
.6103 11-6 6-3 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 88
124 Navy Pat 106.3
79
101.4
167
.6325 12-5 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.31 0
123 Southern Illinois MVC 103.5
146
98.6
113
.6340 12-11 9-9 89.7% 88.0% 0 1.78 0
117 Toledo MAC 105.6
92
100.3
143
.6439 17-10 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 2.06 86
116 Tulsa Amer 101.8
183
96.7
78
.6458 9-12 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 40.8 2.22 132
115 Temple Amer 101.5
194
96.4
72
.6458 8-8 7-8 64.9% 70.5% 32.7 1.79 15
114 Southern Miss CUSA 103.8
143
98.4
109
.6481 14-8 11-6 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.49 72
118 Morehead St. OVC 105.8
88
100.5
148
.6434 15-10 14-6 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.28 191
119 Dayton A10 101.2
203
96.2
69
.6414 11-10 8-8 46.4% 34.0% 56 1.12 69
122 Wyoming MWC 107.2
64
102.0
179
.6376 15-9 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 9.4 1.96 19
121 Oregon St. P12 104.1
137
99.0
119
.6389 11-14 7-13 53.9% 53.8% 23.7 2.39 129
120 Utah P12 104.6
124
99.5
128
.6405 10-13 7-12 40.3% 31.7% 42.3 2.05 150
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.7
1
91.1
3
.9652 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.5 1.36 66

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.