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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
244 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
292
102.3
185
.3423 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19 2.93 160
117 Southern Utah BSky 107.3
62
102.1
180
.6391 12-5 11-3 92.5% 93.1% 11.1 2.86 27
261 Illinois Chicago Horz 96.4
302
103.2
201
.3130 10-11 8-8 51.9% 49.5% 7.9 2.85 252
144 Cleveland St. Horz 107.7
52
104.9
237
.5731 14-9 13-7 70.9% 73.8% 0 2.85 154
268 Western Illinois Sum 100.4
224
108.5
303
.2892 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.83 160
131 Vermont AE 103.2
143
99.6
130
.6005 11-3 11-3 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
178 Stony Brook AE 101.2
198
101.7
172
.4862 12-9 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4.1 2.83 292
201 Morgan St. MEAC 104.5
117
107.6
285
.4178 9-5 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 10.4 2.8 93
245 Louisiana Monroe SB 98.6
258
104.4
226
.3408 12-13 8-10 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 121
36 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.9
74
92.7
19
.8383 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
59 Drake MVC 110.7
21
98.5
111
.7916 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 4.7 2.74 34
43 Richmond A10 110.2
29
96.4
73
.8223 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
230 Portland St. BSky 101.2
201
105.8
252
.3754 8-9 7-7 51.3% 38.8% 4.6 2.71 303
219 Prairie View A&M SWAC 96.4
301
100.3
145
.3866 12-6 10-3 59.6% 57.4% 8.8 2.71 126
321 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 92.2
340
104.7
233
.1868 4-9 2-4 51.2% 41.4% 8 2.7 136
241 St. Francis NY NEC 100.1
229
105.7
250
.3487 11-8 10-8 49.5% 45.5% 0 2.69 217
283 Texas Southern SWAC 97.6
274
106.7
271
.2631 10-11 9-5 46.2% 45.1% 5.4 2.69 171
195 Northern Colorado BSky 101.2
199
103.5
208
.4355 10-8 9-6 88.4% 90.4% 7 2.69 75
154 UNLV MWC 105.4
108
103.4
206
.5537 10-13 8-10 32.0% 28.6% 37.8 2.69 340
27 Notre Dame ACC 114.5
7
98.0
102
.8566 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
88 UAB CUSA 107.8
50
98.9
119
.7278 19-6 12-6 33.8% 32.3% 33 2.65 300
71 Boise St. MWC 106.7
81
96.2
69
.7679 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
156 Bryant NEC 106.2
90
104.8
234
.5381 13-7 12-4 77.4% 73.7% 8.4 2.63 121
243 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 102.8
156
108.7
306
.3470 8-6 5-4 68.6% 63.7% 2.9 2.62 297
246 Albany AE 98.7
256
104.6
230
.3404 7-7 6-6 32.5% 25.0% 15.4 2.62 216
192 South Alabama SB 106.1
95
108.1
294
.4475 11-11 9-8 15.5% 8.5% 31.9 2.62 597
73 Penn St. B10 106.9
77
96.3
72
.7673 10-14 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 19.8 2.62 110
324 Denver Sum 97.4
279
110.9
335
.1829 7-13 5-9 34.1% 25.6% 7.3 2.61 171
326 Hampton BSth 95.2
319
108.6
305
.1798 7-16 6-12 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.6 176
183 Utah Valley WAC 101.6
190
102.7
191
.4689 10-9 8-5 69.8% 64.1% 19.1 2.6 92
31 San Diego St. MWC 107.4
58
92.3
13
.8513 17-6 13-4 61.0% 57.0% 27.7 2.6 183
17 St. Bonaventure A10 110.3
27
92.9
23
.8781 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.59 38
3 Ohio St. B10 116.5
2
93.6
34
.9254 19-7 14-6 78.9% 81.6% 67.5 2.58 94
337 Central Connecticut NEC 95.0
320
111.5
344
.1374 6-15 5-13 46.6% 43.1% 0 2.57 31
282 Nicholls St. Slnd 98.1
265
107.2
280
.2633 10-12 9-7 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.57 231
129 Louisiana Lafayette SB 107.3
64
103.4
204
.6049 16-6 12-5 64.1% 56.8% 41 2.57 349
202 Coastal Carolina SB 101.2
197
104.2
221
.4176 9-8 7-7 61.3% 49.2% 5.5 2.56 174
194 Siena MAAC 101.7
185
103.8
213
.4399 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.56 278
91 SMU Amer 107.5
57
99.0
121
.7198 9-8 6-7 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 236
191 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
298
98.1
104
.4501 10-6 9-2 37.2% 30.0% -0 2.55 231
218 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.1
205
105.2
240
.3874 8-13 5-11 47.4% 44.9% 8.6 2.55 184
54 San Francisco WCC 107.6
53
95.5
60
.7984 14-9 8-5 75.8% 80.6% 2.6 2.55 210
250 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
246
105.4
244
.3309 9-10 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
47 Providence BE 107.5
54
94.9
53
.8080 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
213 NJIT AE 100.1
232
103.8
212
.3970 9-9 9-7 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 100
135 UNC Greensboro SC 101.6
186
98.6
112
.5863 17-9 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 25.4 2.53 110
292 Southern SWAC 96.9
288
106.6
269
.2499 9-9 8-6 44.7% 34.6% 7.2 2.53 156
87 Rhode Island A10 104.9
113
96.2
70
.7297 14-10 10-7 79.6% 75.1% 37.9 2.53 77
44 Oklahoma B12 106.2
89
93.2
29
.8174 13-10 8-9 35.0% 28.3% 26.3 2.51 226
126 Miami OH MAC 106.5
84
102.4
186
.6107 14-8 11-7 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.51 27
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
223 Hartford AE 98.8
255
102.9
195
.3836 9-10 7-7 52.2% 41.3% 0 2.51 135
181 Hawaii BW 102.7
159
103.5
207
.4780 10-8 10-8 55.6% 52.1% 11.5 2.51 180
225 Detroit Horz 106.5
86
111.1
339
.3804 10-10 8-8 38.9% 44.2% 19 2.5 188
80 Murray St. OVC 107.1
69
97.4
89
.7484 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.5 216
139 Winthrop BSth 103.0
150
100.1
141
.5820 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
127 Southern Miss CUSA 102.4
168
98.4
110
.6105 13-9 10-7 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.49 75
226 UNC Asheville BSth 103.0
148
107.5
284
.3802 10-9 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 128
145 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
114
102.2
181
.5712 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.7 2.49 218
24 Arkansas SEC 108.6
43
92.5
16
.8635 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
258 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 99.0
249
105.6
249
.3213 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.48 36
141 Northern Kentucky Horz 104.7
116
102.0
177
.5754 15-8 13-5 87.6% 92.3% 3.9 2.48 68
93 Washington P12 107.0
72
98.7
114
.7162 11-14 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 54.1 2.47 357
86 Buffalo MAC 106.3
87
97.5
91
.7303 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 29.8 2.47 89
303 Sacramento St. BSky 97.8
269
109.0
311
.2224 5-12 5-9 47.4% 29.4% 2.3 2.47 24
302 Grambling St. SWAC 96.4
299
107.1
276
.2308 9-12 8-7 43.5% 42.3% 4 2.46 137
247 Norfolk St. MEAC 98.2
263
104.2
222
.3351 10-9 7-5 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 2.45 72
199 Cal Baptist WAC 103.6
134
106.5
267
.4215 10-8 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 246
150 Sam Houston St. WAC 103.5
137
101.2
163
.5630 15-8 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 17.3 2.45 121
182 San Diego WCC 100.6
217
101.5
168
.4752 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.7 2.45 216
42 Seton Hall BE 108.3
46
94.7
50
.8225 14-11 10-9 54.5% 48.0% 67.8 2.44 147
81 Missouri St. MVC 107.2
67
97.8
98
.7407 14-6 12-6 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
120 Akron MAC 104.5
120
99.7
132
.6321 12-8 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.2 2.44 126
72 Belmont OVC 108.7
42
97.9
100
.7673 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
38 Saint Mary's WCC 105.4
107
91.6
6
.8346 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
185 Drexel CAA 104.1
127
105.6
248
.4598 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.42 84
327 Alcorn St. SWAC 95.8
313
109.8
320
.1725 6-12 6-7 41.4% 38.3% 8.9 2.41 207
196 Rider MAAC 104.5
118
106.9
274
.4346 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 235
264 UMBC AE 97.7
270
104.8
235
.3092 8-11 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.8 2.41 151
76 Saint Louis A10 106.3
88
96.0
68
.7624 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.41 99
105 Santa Clara WCC 105.4
109
99.2
124
.6676 9-7 4-5 66.1% 65.7% 19.3 2.41 117
335 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.8
337
107.9
292
.1502 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.41 80
164 Iowa St. B12 102.3
170
101.5
167
.5226 6-17 4-14 40.8% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
234 Fort Wayne Horz 103.1
146
108.0
293
.3700 11-10 10-10 56.8% 56.9% 0 2.4 146
270 Boston University Pat 98.6
257
106.8
272
.2859 8-8 8-8 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 44
118 Furman SC 102.9
153
98.0
101
.6365 14-7 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
312 New Orleans Slnd 96.4
300
108.4
301
.2061 10-12 9-6 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
242 Towson CAA 102.8
157
108.6
304
.3473 7-10 6-6 52.3% 49.1% 5.7 2.39 282
333 Central Michigan MAC 95.7
315
110.9
336
.1539 5-15 4-12 35.0% 24.8% 3.5 2.38 173
334 IUPUI Horz 93.6
331
108.7
307
.1524 4-13 4-12 51.5% 37.9% 1.8 2.38 57
153 Pepperdine WCC 102.4
165
100.4
147
.5549 8-12 4-9 48.0% 37.3% 17.7 2.38 134
169 Jacksonville St. ASun 101.1
203
100.8
153
.5094 13-10 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.38 94
34 Ohio MAC 111.7
15
96.7
79
.8403 17-4 13-3 94.8% 94.6% 6 2.38 56
298 Northern Illinois MAC 95.7
314
106.0
256
.2370 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.38 155
168 Rice CUSA 107.7
51
107.3
281
.5108 11-11 7-9 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 173
99 Utah P12 106.1
93
99.4
128
.6796 10-13 7-12 40.3% 31.7% 44.4 2.36 227
166 Appalachian St. SB 101.6
187
101.1
160
.5152 11-9 9-6 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.36 0
5 Kansas B12 114.1
8
92.1
12
.9212 19-7 13-5 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
157 UTEP CUSA 100.1
230
98.9
118
.5354 9-11 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 31.6 2.36 74
21 Florida SEC 110.1
30
93.4
32
.8690 13-8 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 45.6 2.36 208
165 Campbell BSth 103.9
132
103.1
200
.5222 14-8 11-6 93.0% 94.7% 0 2.35 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
309 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 96.2
307
107.7
288
.2138 6-17 5-13 27.4% 25.1% 16.4 2.35 57
294 USC Upstate BSth 97.7
272
107.8
290
.2428 7-14 6-10 61.7% 44.9% 13.2 2.35 102
98 Oregon St. P12 105.8
101
99.1
122
.6813 12-13 8-12 53.9% 53.8% 27.5 2.34 139
251 Jacksonville ASun 100.2
227
106.6
270
.3292 10-12 6-8 46.3% 43.9% 11.7 2.34 223
228 Georgia Southern SB 96.5
297
100.8
154
.3768 9-12 7-9 71.8% 62.0% 15.1 2.34 0
108 UC Santa Barbara BW 107.2
68
101.0
157
.6645 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 77
343 Idaho BSky 94.9
322
112.6
353
.1227 5-18 5-15 32.0% 29.2% 0 2.34 211
211 Pacific WCC 99.0
250
102.3
183
.4073 4-12 3-10 23.6% 20.7% 12.1 2.33 187
133 Minnesota B10 101.1
202
97.7
94
.5989 9-18 5-15 7.0% 4.6% 22.8 2.33 267
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 84.5
358
112.7
354
.0353 2-23 2-14 44.2% 37.3% 0 2.33 13
314 Niagara MAAC 97.3
282
109.8
321
.1984 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.8 2.33 81
355 Tennessee Martin OVC 91.6
350
114.4
357
.0716 3-20 3-17 2.0% 1.9% 6 2.33 264
349 North Carolina Central MEAC 91.8
346
111.4
342
.0979 3-9 3-5 18.7% 14.3% 6.3 2.32 184
122 South Dakota St. Sum 107.5
55
102.8
194
.6251 13-7 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.9 2.32 0
146 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
167
99.9
137
.5699 13-10 8-8 53.2% 52.9% 40.2 2.32 307
317 McNeese St. Slnd 97.7
271
110.5
329
.1956 8-9 7-7 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
161 Mercer SC 102.2
171
101.2
162
.5278 13-9 11-6 68.4% 62.3% 19 2.32 39
138 Navy Pat 104.4
123
101.4
165
.5839 11-6 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.31 0
92 UC Riverside BW 106.1
94
97.8
97
.7193 15-5 11-3 68.8% 61.3% 18.2 2.31 132
267 Idaho St. BSky 96.7
294
104.4
225
.2925 8-10 6-8 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 44
14 Texas B12 110.9
20
91.9
8
.8971 17-7 11-6 37.8% 38.8% 78.7 2.3 301
210 UT Arlington SB 98.0
266
101.3
164
.4081 11-11 9-8 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.3 104
205 Marist MAAC 96.3
304
99.3
126
.4121 11-9 9-9 76.2% 71.2% 2.8 2.3 47
103 Western Kentucky CUSA 104.5
121
98.1
103
.6737 14-10 10-4 35.7% 31.7% 47.4 2.3 198
238 Canisius MAAC 100.6
218
105.7
251
.3602 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 2.3 2.3 0
308 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.6
296
108.2
297
.2138 8-16 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 2 2.3 80
69 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.2
39
98.4
109
.7684 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.3 173
180 Weber St. BSky 105.2
110
105.9
254
.4812 11-9 10-6 52.2% 48.9% 10.5 2.29 182
116 South Carolina SEC 101.6
188
96.6
76
.6421 8-12 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
20 Xavier BE 112.4
12
94.8
52
.8761 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
269 Troy SB 96.0
308
104.0
216
.2860 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.4 2.28 107
325 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 95.8
312
109.2
313
.1812 8-16 7-9 49.2% 52.2% -0 2.28 161
260 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
195
108.4
302
.3158 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 2.27 0
132 Grand Canyon WAC 105.7
103
102.0
179
.5996 11-7 8-4 40.2% 38.5% 33.6 2.27 252
274 Western Michigan MAC 99.0
248
107.4
283
.2826 7-13 5-11 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
100 Colgate Pat 106.8
78
100.2
142
.6777 10-2 10-2 70.5% 62.5% 0 2.27 0
287 Cal St. Northridge BW 101.0
208
110.6
331
.2598 6-14 4-10 67.6% 67.3% 11.1 2.27 0
140 South Dakota Sum 107.3
65
104.3
224
.5792 14-8 11-4 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.27 65
16 Connecticut BE 111.6
16
93.6
35
.8833 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
101 Iona MAAC 106.6
83
99.9
138
.6762 9-4 7-2 46.2% 37.9% 25 2.27 248
231 Hofstra CAA 101.8
180
106.4
266
.3750 9-12 7-7 52.4% 48.8% 8.2 2.26 285
235 George Washington A10 102.7
158
107.8
289
.3652 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
35 BYU WCC 109.6
34
95.0
54
.8392 15-8 8-5 62.0% 58.2% 39.6 2.26 53
57 Syracuse ACC 109.5
37
97.5
90
.7917 14-9 9-7 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
262 Austin Peay OVC 99.9
234
107.0
275
.3125 12-12 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 9.6 2.26 108
64 Butler BE 106.9
75
95.7
63
.7813 12-11 9-11 94.1% 93.1% 46 2.25 53
125 Morehead St. OVC 105.6
105
101.4
166
.6139 15-10 14-6 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.25 220
249 Robert Morris Horz 105.1
112
111.6
345
.3328 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 8.4 2.25 539
193 Mount St. Mary's NEC 99.8
237
101.8
174
.4435 13-9 12-6 79.3% 71.0% 0.4 2.25 92
148 George Mason A10 102.0
176
99.6
131
.5682 10-9 7-7 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.25 184
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
83 Cincinnati Amer 103.2
141
94.4
45
.7371 11-9 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
104 Tulsa Amer 102.7
162
96.6
77
.6678 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 40.8 2.22 136
236 Fordham A10 95.0
321
99.8
134
.3619 4-9 4-9 40.2% 36.2% 4.1 2.22 253
208 Chattanooga SC 99.3
242
102.5
188
.4085 11-12 8-8 59.6% 48.0% 3.2 2.22 41
256 Radford BSth 99.2
243
105.8
253
.3219 10-13 9-9 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 111
48 Clemson ACC 105.2
111
92.8
22
.8077 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
167 Tarleton St. WAC 101.1
204
100.7
152
.5109 8-7 7-5 78.7% 68.5% 0 2.21 31
137 Seattle WAC 104.0
129
101.0
158
.5842 10-7 6-3 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 92
30 Virginia Tech ACC 110.3
26
94.8
51
.8517 15-7 9-6 74.1% 76.3% 17.2 2.21 92
82 Northern Iowa MVC 108.4
45
99.0
120
.7407 13-9 12-6 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
112 Fresno St. MWC 106.0
96
100.4
146
.6522 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
200 Ball St. MAC 98.8
254
101.6
170
.4194 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
32 West Virginia B12 111.2
18
95.6
61
.8513 16-10 10-7 48.8% 42.4% 29 2.2 97
271 UMass Lowell AE 99.9
235
108.2
296
.2850 6-13 6-9 75.3% 64.6% 6.2 2.2 125
329 Central Arkansas ASun 96.7
293
111.0
337
.1700 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 91
255 Tennessee Tech OVC 101.5
192
108.3
299
.3223 10-17 8-12 74.3% 69.4% 17.4 2.2 233
89 Wake Forest ACC 106.9
76
98.2
105
.7263 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
110 Northeastern CAA 102.5
163
96.7
80
.6616 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
155 Loyola MD Pat 103.5
136
101.6
169
.5536 10-4 10-4 74.3% 75.2% 22.9 2.19 0
46 Wichita St. Amer 107.3
63
94.6
48
.8096 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 25 2.19 81
300 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.0
233
110.8
333
.2348 6-9 3-4 39.5% 30.5% 4.5 2.18 166
189 Kent St. MAC 100.7
214
102.4
187
.4519 10-12 9-10 41.7% 34.9% 1.7 2.18 200
159 Yale Ivy 102.4
166
101.1
161
.5348 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 7.3 2.18 0
257 Dixie St. WAC 98.0
267
104.5
229
.3214 8-11 6-8 76.7% 69.1% 3.7 2.17 62
160 James Madison CAA 105.7
102
104.7
232
.5281 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
68 Mississippi SEC 104.0
130
93.7
36
.7698 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
289 Binghamton AE 99.3
241
109.0
310
.2561 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.17 115
11 Maryland B10 111.8
14
91.9
9
.9049 18-8 12-8 62.1% 66.0% 69.5 2.17 157
221 Bowling Green MAC 102.1
173
106.3
263
.3860 10-14 8-11 51.2% 42.5% 17.1 2.16 279
227 Fairfield MAAC 98.5
261
102.8
193
.3791 11-12 9-9 73.5% 66.9% 1.8 2.16 0
284 Portland WCC 102.4
169
112.0
349
.2621 4-13 2-9 9.1% 5.4% 14.3 2.16 257
184 East Carolina Amer 99.2
245
100.5
149
.4605 7-10 3-9 46.8% 45.1% 10.7 2.16 108
28 Indiana B10 109.6
35
94.0
39
.8542 15-12 10-10 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
276 Evansville MVC 100.9
212
109.5
317
.2804 7-17 4-14 48.5% 56.1% 0 2.14 0
253 Tennessee St. OVC 101.0
210
107.7
287
.3233 10-12 9-11 28.8% 19.6% 23.8 2.14 373
55 Texas Tech B12 105.7
104
94.0
40
.7931 15-11 8-9 20.2% 14.7% 13.7 2.14 194
286 Lafayette Pat 100.2
228
109.7
319
.2599 5-9 5-9 59.7% 53.9% 5.4 2.13 0
248 Saint Joseph's A10 98.8
252
105.0
238
.3329 4-14 3-9 73.0% 65.6% 31.2 2.13 50
214 New Hampshire AE 101.2
200
105.1
239
.3940 10-7 9-6 80.5% 81.2% 0 2.13 45
346 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 94.0
327
113.2
356
.1046 6-19 6-11 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.13 71
233 New Mexico St. WAC 100.7
215
105.3
243
.3723 5-8 4-8 24.2% 22.3% 9.3 2.12 220
322 Little Rock SB 92.7
338
105.4
245
.1849 6-18 5-13 56.5% 51.1% 0 2.12 38
90 Miami FL ACC 108.5
44
99.7
133
.7254 12-12 8-11 49.5% 50.6% 67.8 2.12 161
175 Longwood BSth 101.3
196
101.7
171
.4895 15-10 13-7 61.7% 58.9% 7.4 2.11 148
353 Western Carolina SC 90.1
354
111.2
340
.0812 3-21 2-15 25.6% 16.8% 6.9 2.11 89
354 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
345
114.7
358
.0726 1-8 0-0 56.8% 47.6% 0 2.11 30
198 UC Davis BW 100.1
231
102.6
189
.4311 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
212 Cal St. Fullerton BW 104.0
131
107.6
286
.4031 7-7 7-7 74.7% 73.0% 12.3 2.11 128
279 Monmouth MAAC 97.3
281
106.0
257
.2727 7-12 6-12 36.1% 29.4% -0 2.1 95
45 Colorado St. MWC 110.4
24
97.0
83
.8159 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
240 High Point BSth 100.5
221
105.9
255
.3526 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 73
40 Oregon P12 110.3
25
96.2
71
.8282 15-9 10-8 39.3% 27.1% 72.1 2.09 232
172 Merrimack NEC 97.6
273
97.6
93
.4988 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 2.09 0
63 Nevada MWC 107.3
61
96.0
67
.7829 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
121 Davidson A10 106.7
80
101.9
176
.6297 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40.1 2.08 47
109 Massachusetts A10 106.7
79
100.6
150
.6642 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
60 UCF Amer 106.2
91
94.7
49
.7885 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 51.4 2.08 41
171 Elon CAA 103.2
140
103.1
199
.5039 8-6 6-5 77.0% 74.4% 6.4 2.08 90
12 Houston Amer 110.6
22
91.2
4
.9017 19-4 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
187 North Dakota St. Sum 99.5
239
101.1
159
.4557 12-12 10-6 79.2% 73.8% 1.6 2.07 32
113 Toledo MAC 106.0
97
100.5
148
.6488 18-9 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 2.06 88
58 Nebraska B10 105.9
98
94.3
44
.7916 13-13 8-12 65.9% 63.6% 56 2.06 76
345 Alabama St. SWAC 91.9
344
109.6
318
.1161 7-11 7-11 46.8% 38.2% 15 2.06 138
33 USC P12 108.2
47
93.1
25
.8498 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 65.1 2.06 51
188 Oakland Horz 104.5
119
106.2
260
.4542 12-15 11-9 61.4% 60.7% 13.5 2.05 98
299 LIU Brooklyn NEC 93.6
332
103.6
210
.2363 8-10 8-10 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 2.04 65
2 UCLA P12 115.8
3
92.6
18
.9290 19-6 15-4 79.5% 74.9% 80.7 2.04 55
147 North Texas CUSA 98.8
251
96.5
74
.5699 11-10 7-7 40.4% 35.9% 18.8 2.03 73
13 Villanova BE 115.1
4
95.2
57
.8985 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
293 Charleston Southern BSth 96.6
295
106.4
265
.2489 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% -0 2.02 95
22 Illinois B10 109.9
32
93.4
31
.8667 15-11 11-9 50.2% 40.9% 59.1 2.02 92
136 Boston College ACC 103.2
142
100.2
143
.5843 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 37.8 2.02 119
190 Arkansas St. SB 102.9
155
104.6
231
.4505 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 7.8 2.02 88
288 William & Mary CAA 94.8
324
103.9
215
.2577 4-11 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
229 UTSA CUSA 101.0
209
105.6
247
.3757 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 22.2 2.02 59
272 College of Charleston CAA 100.6
216
109.1
312
.2837 7-9 4-6 17.0% 18.6% 17.8 2.01 318
74 Georgia Tech ACC 104.7
115
94.4
46
.7661 12-11 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
285 Bucknell Pat 97.4
280
106.6
268
.2611 4-6 4-6 62.1% 53.6% 3.6 2.01 0
67 Utah St. MWC 104.3
125
93.9
38
.7701 16-8 12-7 44.6% 39.9% 31.2 2.01 105
39 Northwestern B10 107.0
73
93.1
27
.8304 13-10 10-10 73.9% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
162 Oral Roberts Sum 106.1
92
105.3
242
.5233 11-9 10-5 66.8% 58.9% 16.7 2 131
313 FIU CUSA 93.6
333
105.2
241
.2055 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 16.1 1.99 124
10 Memphis Amer 109.3
38
89.7
1
.9062 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
174 Duquesne A10 98.1
264
98.3
107
.4948 7-9 6-8 33.0% 20.2% 13.4 1.99 216
119 Old Dominion CUSA 104.3
124
99.4
127
.6358 12-9 9-7 43.4% 39.7% 30.1 1.99 113
114 Florida Atlantic CUSA 104.2
126
98.8
116
.6476 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 12.5 1.98 106
142 Georgia St. SB 105.4
106
102.7
192
.5737 10-7 8-4 61.1% 55.2% 40.8 1.98 140
306 Northern Arizona BSky 98.5
260
110.2
326
.2145 6-14 5-9 68.7% 58.4% 14.1 1.97 169
266 Kennesaw St. ASun 96.9
289
104.1
219
.3040 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 19.1 1.96 82
304 Howard MEAC 100.4
223
111.9
348
.2223 1-3 0-0 72.9% 70.3% 9.3 1.96 197
111 Wyoming MWC 107.8
48
102.0
178
.6534 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 9.4 1.96 20
301 UC San Diego BW 99.8
238
110.7
332
.2320 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.7 1.96 86
85 Kansas St. B12 102.7
160
94.1
41
.7313 13-13 7-11 74.0% 70.7% 57.6 1.95 187
66 VCU A10 103.1
145
92.8
21
.7719 15-8 9-5 49.4% 45.3% 39 1.95 83
149 California P12 101.5
193
99.3
125
.5631 9-17 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.7 1.95 52
216 Lipscomb ASun 102.2
172
106.1
259
.3925 11-11 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
75 Arizona St. P12 107.2
66
96.8
81
.7645 13-11 9-9 24.6% 19.2% 57.8 1.94 272
173 Bradley MVC 101.7
184
101.7
173
.4974 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 4.7 1.94 44
79 Liberty ASun 107.5
56
97.6
92
.7526 16-5 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
319 Air Force MWC 95.4
316
108.2
298
.1897 4-20 3-17 52.0% 50.6% 0 1.94 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
50 Oklahoma St. B12 105.9
100
93.5
33
.8068 13-12 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 62.8 1.94 69
265 Lehigh Pat 97.4
277
104.5
228
.3078 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
123 St. John's BE 101.5
191
97.3
88
.6193 10-16 6-13 24.4% 24.8% 46.8 1.93 170
26 Louisville ACC 111.2
19
95.0
55
.8590 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 63.3 1.93 250
217 UMKC Sum 99.0
247
103.0
196
.3905 9-10 8-6 51.0% 33.3% 4.6 1.92 115
332 Delaware St. MEAC 97.4
278
112.8
355
.1560 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
222 Texas St. SB 96.0
310
100.0
139
.3842 11-11 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.92 52
84 TCU B12 107.4
60
98.2
106
.7355 13-12 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.2 1.92 396
316 Lamar WAC 94.0
326
106.3
262
.1960 9-16 8-9 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.91 140
177 Valparaiso MVC 103.0
151
103.4
205
.4880 10-15 7-11 35.0% 32.0% 12.8 1.91 128
41 Washington St. P12 106.7
82
93.1
26
.8269 18-9 11-9 76.2% 70.1% 26.5 1.91 115
254 Long Beach St. BW 97.9
268
104.4
227
.3224 6-10 5-7 46.5% 39.5% 7.7 1.91 173
220 Quinnipiac MAAC 96.9
287
100.9
155
.3865 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 6.7 1.91 50
215 Abilene Christian WAC 96.3
303
100.0
140
.3930 13-8 11-4 39.1% 31.2% -0 1.9 0
339 North Dakota Sum 93.5
334
110.0
322
.1346 4-21 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.9 31
263 San Jose St. MWC 101.9
178
109.3
314
.3099 4-15 4-13 64.7% 48.8% 26.6 1.9 272
291 Florida A&M SWAC 93.9
328
103.2
203
.2508 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.89 82
158 Saint Peter's MAAC 97.1
284
95.9
66
.5351 14-8 12-5 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
307 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.4
225
112.4
352
.2140 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 148
124 Southern Illinois MVC 102.9
154
98.7
115
.6153 12-11 9-9 89.7% 88.0% 0 1.89 46
341 Eastern Michigan MAC 91.7
348
108.1
295
.1312 3-12 3-11 23.1% 21.2% 0 1.88 116
239 East Tennessee St. SC 97.3
283
102.3
184
.3583 9-12 7-8 29.2% 32.8% 4.7 1.88 132
78 Vanderbilt SEC 107.8
49
97.7
95
.7554 11-11 7-9 51.5% 55.3% 30.6 1.87 117
232 New Mexico MWC 98.5
259
103.0
198
.3743 5-14 4-13 60.4% 57.4% 38.2 1.87 267
197 VMI SC 103.1
147
105.5
246
.4337 10-10 8-6 72.7% 63.3% 0 1.87 0
204 South Florida Amer 96.8
290
99.8
135
.4131 5-14 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 35.4 1.87 235
275 The Citadel SC 100.8
213
109.4
315
.2813 7-12 6-10 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.87 0
280 Presbyterian BSth 97.5
276
106.3
264
.2699 8-12 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
97 DePaul BE 104.1
128
97.1
85
.6896 8-9 6-9 33.7% 29.5% 49.2 1.85 165
259 Cal Poly BW 100.5
220
107.3
282
.3188 7-14 6-10 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
6 Purdue B10 113.2
9
92.0
10
.9161 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
277 Eastern Washington BSky 98.3
262
106.8
273
.2781 7-12 7-8 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.83 121
106 Wright St. Horz 102.5
164
96.5
75
.6668 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
203 La Salle A10 100.5
219
103.6
209
.4150 8-15 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.6 1.82 65
130 Montana BSky 103.2
144
99.5
129
.6025 14-8 13-5 89.6% 85.6% 0 1.82 45
336 Houston Baptist Slnd 95.8
311
112.3
351
.1390 6-16 6-9 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.82 41
77 North Carolina St. ACC 105.9
99
95.7
64
.7610 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
65 Mississippi St. SEC 107.1
70
95.9
65
.7805 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
61 Iowa B10 109.5
36
97.7
96
.7877 14-13 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
224 Georgia SEC 99.8
236
104.1
218
.3825 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 33.7 1.8 173
186 Illinois St. MVC 98.8
253
100.3
144
.4571 9-14 7-11 69.5% 59.4% 9 1.79 149
278 American Pat 95.4
317
103.7
211
.2755 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% 0 1.78 21
297 Maine AE 93.1
335
103.0
197
.2381 2-7 2-6 70.6% 68.1% 0 1.78 73
70 Virginia ACC 102.9
152
92.7
20
.7679 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
163 Pittsburgh ACC 99.4
240
98.6
113
.5228 7-14 4-12 40.5% 30.4% 37.8 1.76 113
315 St. Francis PA NEC 94.9
323
107.1
278
.1977 8-14 7-11 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
115 Temple Amer 102.1
174
97.0
84
.6426 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
320 Stephen F. Austin WAC 91.6
349
104.0
217
.1878 8-10 7-8 35.3% 28.3% 12.8 1.75 72
273 North Florida ASun 100.4
222
108.9
309
.2835 7-13 5-7 81.4% 84.1% 0 1.75 30
318 Coppin St. MEAC 93.7
329
106.1
258
.1942 6-15 5-7 42.2% 29.4% -0 1.74 105
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
311 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
341
103.2
202
.2103 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
296 Montana St. BSky 97.5
275
107.9
291
.2385 7-11 6-8 44.7% 38.2% 13.6 1.74 71
351 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.9
342
112.0
350
.0932 3-15 2-6 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.74 30
338 North Alabama ASun 92.7
339
108.8
308
.1363 4-13 4-11 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.72 9
170 Marshall CUSA 101.9
177
101.8
175
.5043 11-10 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.8 1.71 0
23 Florida St. ACC 108.7
41
92.6
17
.8638 14-6 10-5 30.1% 22.4% 56 1.71 155
252 Sacred Heart NEC 101.7
182
108.4
300
.3255 9-8 9-7 83.3% 85.8% -0 1.7 21
107 Tulane Amer 103.2
139
97.2
87
.6654 12-10 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
344 Northwestern St. Slnd 93.7
330
111.7
346
.1166 7-19 6-10 35.8% 38.0% -0 1.7 0
347 Wagner NEC 91.8
347
110.8
334
.1025 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.7 124
19 Michigan St. B10 109.6
33
92.5
15
.8763 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 77.7 1.7 66
94 Rutgers B10 102.1
175
94.2
42
.7157 10-14 6-14 49.4% 41.7% 56.6 1.69 29
356 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 88.0
356
110.0
323
.0707 4-17 3-12 26.4% 20.5% 4.2 1.67 39
8 Baylor B12 114.8
5
93.3
30
.9154 17-5 10-4 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
295 Samford SC 96.9
286
107.1
277
.2412 5-11 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 9.6 1.65 165
152 Indiana St. MVC 101.0
207
99.1
123
.5550 10-12 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 12.2 1.64 104
95 UC Irvine BW 102.7
161
95.1
56
.7085 15-7 12-4 79.1% 80.1% 3.3 1.64 25
51 Stanford P12 104.4
122
92.4
14
.8034 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
143 Wofford SC 103.6
135
100.9
156
.5733 13-8 11-6 68.3% 60.2% 4.2 1.63 38
52 Colorado P12 106.5
85
94.3
43
.8023 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
310 Army Pat 93.1
336
104.3
223
.2128 6-12 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.61 11
281 Delaware CAA 95.2
318
103.9
214
.2691 6-7 4-5 52.8% 40.9% 0 1.6 104
357 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 87.1
357
111.0
338
.0579 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% -0 1.6 182
207 Milwaukee Horz 100.9
211
104.1
220
.4102 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 30.4 1.59 117
128 Missouri SEC 101.8
181
97.9
99
.6097 8-15 5-11 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
25 North Carolina ACC 109.9
31
93.7
37
.8628 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 87.8 1.57 60
352 Bethune Cookman SWAC 88.9
355
109.4
316
.0836 0-0 0-0 5.2% 6.1% 4.2 1.56 129
29 Kentucky SEC 111.3
17
95.5
59
.8537 13-11 9-8 30.3% 25.4% 79.4 1.55 280
206 Gardner Webb BSth 101.7
183
104.9
236
.4114 13-12 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 7.3 1.53 30
4 Michigan B10 112.7
10
90.6
2
.9244 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
179 Princeton Ivy 101.6
189
102.2
182
.4816 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 18 1.52 0
15 Tennessee SEC 110.4
23
91.5
5
.8968 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.4 1.48 66
49 LSU SEC 112.0
13
98.8
117
.8076 15-9 9-8 28.7% 14.7% 76.9 1.48 218
340 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
352
107.2
279
.1332 0-0 0-0 29.8% 23.2% 4.6 1.46 0
96 Georgetown BE 103.9
133
96.9
82
.6904 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
328 Holy Cross Pat 96.0
309
110.1
325
.1703 5-11 5-11 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.45 23
9 Alabama SEC 112.6
11
91.8
7
.9128 20-7 13-5 56.5% 56.6% 73 1.45 112
151 Louisiana Tech CUSA 99.2
244
97.2
86
.5588 14-11 8-8 39.7% 45.2% 14.8 1.43 79
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 90.6
353
110.1
324
.0961 5-22 4-16 23.3% 11.5% 2.6 1.42 136
237 Stetson ASun 101.1
206
106.2
261
.3616 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.41 0
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.4
1
91.1
3
.9646 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70
305 Brown Ivy 91.9
343
102.6
190
.2200 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 7.8 1.39 26
342 Cornell Ivy 94.5
325
111.4
343
.1309 0-0 0-0 38.4% 27.9% 0 1.37 0
18 Auburn SEC 110.2
28
93.0
24
.8765 18-9 12-6 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
62 Marquette BE 107.0
71
95.6
62
.7854 13-13 9-10 34.2% 33.4% 58 1.35 116
209 Penn Ivy 96.7
291
99.9
136
.4084 0-0 0-0 35.3% 33.8% 12 1.32 31
331 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
306
111.2
341
.1589 6-15 6-14 41.9% 31.7% 9.4 1.3 110
290 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 101.9
179
111.8
347
.2560 9-15 8-10 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.3 51
323 Green Bay Horz 97.0
285
110.4
327
.1834 7-17 6-14 42.5% 31.6% 1.4 1.29 78
56 Wisconsin B10 103.4
138
92.1
11
.7919 14-13 9-11 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
102 Dayton A10 103.0
149
96.7
78
.6750 12-9 9-7 46.4% 34.0% 54.6 1.25 114
37 Arizona P12 108.9
40
94.5
47
.8367 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.21 107
330 St. Thomas Sum 96.2
305
110.5
328
.1696 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 9.4 1.12 98
348 Columbia Ivy 91.3
351
110.6
330
.0995 0-0 0-0 26.4% 18.6% 10 1.06 0
134 Texas A&M SEC 101.4
194
98.3
108
.5867 8-9 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 52 1.05 227
7 Duke ACC 114.7
6
93.2
28
.9160 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
53 Creighton BE 107.4
59
95.3
58
.7988 14-11 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 50
176 Harvard Ivy 100.3
226
100.7
151
.4893 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 63.3 0.7 0

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.