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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
240 Fort Wayne Horz 102.4
166
108.0
294
.3503 10-11 9-11 56.8% 56.9% -0 2.33 146
239 George Washington A10 102.6
163
108.1
295
.3544 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
238 UNC Asheville BSth 102.7
154
107.8
291
.3643 10-9 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 128
237 Georgia Southern SB 96.3
301
100.9
156
.3666 9-12 7-9 71.8% 62.0% 12.5 2.41 63
241 Air Force MWC 100.4
225
105.9
256
.3494 7-17 5-15 52.0% 50.6% 0 0.86 0
242 Stetson ASun 100.9
212
106.5
268
.3494 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.36 0
246 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
292
102.5
189
.3368 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19 2.93 160
245 High Point BSth 100.3
227
106.3
265
.3387 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 73
244 Illinois Chicago Horz 96.3
300
101.7
173
.3466 11-10 8-8 51.9% 49.5% 7.3 2.9 282
243 Canisius MAAC 100.5
222
106.1
260
.3478 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 1.4 2.22 33
236 Hartford AE 98.4
265
103.1
199
.3687 9-10 7-7 52.3% 41.5% 0 2.49 135
235 Bowling Green MAC 101.9
180
106.7
272
.3724 9-15 7-12 51.2% 42.5% 17.1 2.16 279
229 NJIT AE 99.9
238
104.3
222
.3783 9-9 8-8 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 131
228 Detroit Horz 106.4
86
110.9
337
.3822 10-10 9-7 38.5% 43.7% 20 2.54 271
227 Georgia SEC 99.8
240
104.1
218
.3825 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 24.5 1.61 191
226 New Hampshire AE 101.1
203
105.3
244
.3834 9-8 9-6 80.5% 81.2% 0 2.13 45
230 Lipscomb ASun 102.0
179
106.5
269
.3780 10-12 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
231 UMKC Sum 98.8
257
103.2
201
.3775 9-10 8-6 51.0% 33.3% 4.5 1.91 144
234 New Mexico MWC 99.0
253
103.6
209
.3724 5-14 4-13 49.0% 46.9% 37.4 1.7 342
233 Fairfield MAAC 98.3
266
102.8
193
.3732 11-12 9-9 73.5% 66.9% 1.8 2.09 0
232 Quinnipiac MAAC 96.8
289
101.1
159
.3768 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 6.6 1.87 83
247 Louisiana Monroe SB 98.6
259
104.6
230
.3356 12-13 8-10 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 182
248 St. Francis NY NEC 100.0
234
106.1
261
.3340 11-8 10-8 49.4% 45.5% 0 2.69 217
263 San Jose St. MWC 102.1
177
109.6
319
.3075 4-15 4-13 57.2% 45.2% 28.3 1.86 353
262 Western Illinois Sum 100.1
233
107.4
283
.3075 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.87 202
261 Evansville MVC 101.1
199
108.5
303
.3077 7-17 4-14 48.5% 56.1% -0 1.78 34
260 Tennessee Tech OVC 101.3
195
108.6
304
.3102 10-17 8-12 74.3% 69.4% 16.1 2.17 238
264 Radford BSth 99.0
254
106.2
262
.3074 10-13 9-9 62.2% 58.2% 12.8 2.21 140
265 Grambling St. SWAC 98.4
264
105.8
254
.3028 11-10 9-6 43.5% 42.3% 4.6 2.53 184
268 Long Beach St. BW 97.7
275
105.2
242
.2996 5-11 5-7 46.5% 39.5% 12 1.86 109
267 UMBC AE 97.6
277
105.0
238
.3008 7-12 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.2 2.36 181
266 Cal Poly BW 100.1
231
107.7
290
.3012 7-14 5-11 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
259 Sacred Heart NEC 101.2
197
108.4
301
.3126 9-8 9-7 83.3% 85.8% 0 1.68 21
258 Texas Southern SWAC 98.5
261
105.4
245
.3151 11-10 10-4 46.2% 45.1% 12.3 2.77 223
252 East Tennessee St. SC 96.7
294
103.0
197
.3248 8-13 6-9 29.2% 32.8% 6.2 1.64 65
251 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
112
111.8
347
.3290 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 7.8 2.23 547
250 Towson CAA 102.2
175
108.7
305
.3313 7-10 6-6 52.3% 49.1% 5.7 2.39 282
249 Fordham A10 95.5
314
101.5
168
.3326 4-9 4-9 32.6% 30.8% 2.2 2.13 359
253 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
194
108.3
299
.3193 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 1.99 0
254 Dixie St. WAC 97.9
271
104.7
231
.3165 7-12 5-9 76.7% 69.1% 3.4 2.11 93
257 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 98.7
258
105.6
251
.3153 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.1 2.2 36
256 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
251
106.0
258
.3159 9-10 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
255 Tennessee St. OVC 101.0
208
108.0
293
.3163 10-12 9-11 28.8% 19.6% 22.8 2.16 403
225 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.4
193
105.6
250
.3855 8-13 5-11 47.4% 44.9% 5.2 2.37 219
224 Texas St. SB 95.9
308
99.8
133
.3865 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.71 82
195 Arkansas St. SB 102.7
158
104.9
235
.4404 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 7.8 2.02 88
194 Kent St. MAC 100.5
217
102.4
187
.4457 10-12 9-10 41.7% 34.9% 1.7 2.15 200
193 Hofstra CAA 103.8
136
105.7
253
.4463 10-11 7-7 70.3% 72.8% 6.1 2.39 260
192 Utah Valley WAC 101.0
205
102.9
195
.4463 9-10 7-6 69.8% 64.1% 19 2.49 122
196 North Dakota St. Sum 99.1
250
101.3
163
.4387 11-13 9-7 79.2% 73.8% 1.5 2.06 65
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
197 Drexel CAA 104.1
129
106.4
267
.4374 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.43 118
201 Mount St. Mary's NEC 99.6
244
102.0
178
.4312 13-9 12-6 79.3% 70.9% 0.4 2.25 92
200 Harvard Ivy 98.0
269
100.4
146
.4314 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 49.5 1.01 0
199 UT Arlington SB 98.5
262
100.7
151
.4354 11-11 10-7 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.1 138
198 Cal St. Fullerton BW 105.1
111
107.5
284
.4364 8-6 8-6 76.8% 73.7% 10.3 2.19 154
191 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.9
131
105.9
255
.4469 9-5 6-3 68.6% 63.7% 14.5 2.75 402
190 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
298
98.2
103
.4492 10-6 9-2 38.9% 31.4% 0 2.58 231
184 Hawaii BW 102.7
160
103.8
213
.4686 10-8 10-8 55.6% 52.1% 11.4 2.47 213
183 Longwood BSth 100.9
211
101.9
177
.4707 15-10 13-7 61.7% 58.9% 7.4 2.11 148
182 Stony Brook AE 101.0
204
102.0
179
.4711 11-10 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4 2.7 322
181 Portland St. BSky 102.7
156
103.7
211
.4717 9-8 8-6 55.6% 41.2% -0 2.66 330
185 Princeton Ivy 99.6
241
101.0
157
.4607 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 14 1.26 0
186 Chattanooga SC 99.8
239
101.2
162
.4601 13-10 9-7 59.6% 48.0% 9.3 2.18 78
189 VMI SC 103.4
143
105.0
239
.4551 11-9 8-6 72.7% 63.3% -0 1.61 0
188 San Diego WCC 100.2
229
101.8
174
.4559 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.6 2.44 216
187 Illinois St. MVC 98.9
255
100.3
143
.4596 9-14 6-12 69.5% 59.4% 7.3 1.74 186
202 Siena MAAC 101.5
189
104.0
217
.4298 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.56 278
203 Oakland Horz 103.8
137
106.3
266
.4294 11-16 10-10 61.4% 60.7% 13.3 1.88 98
218 Pacific WCC 98.6
260
102.1
180
.4003 4-12 3-10 23.6% 20.7% 12.7 2.05 189
217 Marist MAAC 95.9
307
99.3
125
.4015 11-9 9-9 76.2% 71.2% 2.7 2.28 47
216 Coastal Carolina SB 100.9
210
104.5
227
.4019 9-8 7-7 61.3% 49.2% 5.5 2.51 205
215 South Florida Amer 96.7
293
100.0
138
.4035 5-14 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 31.1 1.78 235
219 Gardner Webb BSth 101.7
187
105.5
247
.3979 13-12 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 6.6 1.35 0
220 Abilene Christian WAC 94.3
324
97.7
94
.3972 13-8 11-4 39.1% 31.2% 0 1.71 88
223 Milwaukee Horz 100.4
224
104.3
223
.3911 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 29.8 1.54 117
222 UTSA CUSA 101.8
184
105.7
252
.3929 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 20.7 1.86 131
221 Ball St. MAC 98.5
263
102.1
181
.3957 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
214 La Salle A10 100.3
226
103.7
210
.4073 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.5 1.79 65
213 Cal Baptist WAC 103.5
141
106.8
275
.4084 9-9 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 246
207 South Alabama SB 103.7
138
106.7
273
.4194 10-12 8-9 15.5% 8.5% 28.1 2.58 566
206 UC Davis BW 99.9
235
102.7
192
.4217 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
205 Rider MAAC 104.3
125
107.2
280
.4220 10-11 9-9 66.2% 64.4% 4.4 2.41 258
204 Montana St. BSky 102.2
176
104.8
234
.4279 10-8 8-6 86.7% 89.0% 10.8 2.44 102
208 Albany AE 100.5
216
103.6
208
.4159 8-6 7-5 45.4% 40.7% 15.2 2.7 216
209 Northern Colorado BSky 100.8
213
103.8
214
.4150 9-9 9-6 88.4% 90.4% 7 2.68 107
212 Saint Joseph's A10 101.0
206
104.2
221
.4112 5-13 3-9 86.4% 83.0% 25.7 2.04 50
211 Mercer SC 100.2
230
103.3
203
.4130 11-11 9-8 54.1% 51.8% 19.7 2.01 72
210 Morgan St. MEAC 104.7
121
107.9
292
.4146 8-6 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 17.4 2.85 163
269 Lehigh Pat 97.1
282
104.7
232
.2951 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
270 Troy SB 96.5
296
104.4
225
.2893 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.1 1.96 124
330 St. Thomas Sum 96.1
304
110.8
335
.1627 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 7.9 2.23 321
329 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 95.7
310
110.3
329
.1628 8-16 7-9 49.2% 52.2% 0 2.33 195
328 Central Michigan MAC 96.1
303
110.6
333
.1659 5-15 4-12 35.0% 24.8% 6.4 2.43 197
327 Lamar WAC 93.0
338
107.0
277
.1659 8-17 7-10 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.67 109
331 Holy Cross Pat 95.6
313
110.4
330
.1610 5-11 5-11 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.37 23
332 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
302
111.3
343
.1579 6-15 6-14 41.9% 31.7% 9.2 1.4 134
336 North Dakota Sum 93.6
332
108.8
308
.1500 5-20 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.82 92
335 Western Carolina SC 94.6
321
109.8
322
.1531 5-19 4-13 25.6% 16.8% 6 1.75 230
334 Central Arkansas ASun 96.0
306
111.4
345
.1537 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 91
333 North Alabama ASun 92.9
339
107.7
289
.1541 5-12 4-11 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.65 30
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
326 Hampton BSth 95.0
317
109.0
312
.1714 7-16 6-12 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.63 204
325 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 91.2
351
104.5
228
.1718 4-9 2-4 51.2% 41.4% 7.7 2.55 161
319 St. Francis PA NEC 94.6
320
107.3
282
.1902 8-14 7-11 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
318 Stephen F. Austin WAC 91.8
345
104.1
219
.1903 8-10 7-8 35.3% 28.3% 10.7 1.67 95
317 Green Bay Horz 97.2
281
110.2
328
.1909 7-17 6-14 42.5% 31.6% 1.1 1.2 134
316 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
352
103.2
202
.1912 0-0 0-0 29.9% 23.3% 4 1.14 60
320 Niagara MAAC 97.0
286
110.1
326
.1884 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.6 2.16 81
321 McNeese St. Slnd 97.6
276
110.8
336
.1878 8-9 7-7 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
324 Eastern Michigan MAC 93.5
334
106.9
276
.1751 4-11 4-10 23.1% 21.2% 6.9 1.56 154
323 Denver Sum 97.0
285
110.7
334
.1789 7-13 5-9 34.1% 25.6% 6.1 2.4 203
322 Little Rock SB 92.1
341
105.1
241
.1796 6-18 4-14 56.5% 51.1% -0 1.85 61
337 Delaware St. MEAC 97.0
283
112.9
354
.1490 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
338 IUPUI Horz 93.2
336
108.7
306
.1449 4-13 4-12 53.0% 38.7% 1.8 2.45 57
353 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 89.8
356
109.4
316
.0938 5-16 4-11 26.4% 20.5% 3.7 1.7 191
352 Wagner NEC 91.3
349
110.9
338
.0957 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.65 124
351 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.8
330
113.4
356
.1009 6-19 6-11 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.07 92
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 91.0
353
110.0
325
.1020 6-21 4-16 23.3% 11.5% 2 1.26 199
354 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.7
346
112.0
348
.0917 3-15 2-6 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.46 90
355 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
344
114.5
358
.0733 1-8 0-0 55.9% 44.8% -0 2.09 90
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 85.9
358
113.0
355
.0413 2-23 2-14 15.0% 9.4% 5.8 1.67 198
357 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 86.8
357
111.3
344
.0540 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% -0 1.47 182
356 Tennessee Martin OVC 91.2
350
114.4
357
.0691 3-20 3-17 3.4% 2.7% 6 2.1 264
349 Alabama St. SWAC 91.9
343
109.8
323
.1139 6-12 6-12 46.8% 38.2% 15.3 1.8 111
348 Idaho BSky 94.5
323
112.7
353
.1164 4-19 4-16 32.0% 29.2% 0 2.21 200
342 Cornell Ivy 93.1
337
109.5
318
.1331 0-0 0-0 38.5% 27.9% 0 0.71 31
341 Alcorn St. SWAC 93.9
327
110.1
327
.1376 5-13 5-8 26.3% 25.9% 8.9 2.35 285
340 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.6
340
108.4
300
.1407 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.37 112
339 North Carolina Central MEAC 94.0
326
109.7
321
.1438 4-8 4-4 18.7% 14.3% 5.2 2.42 360
343 Houston Baptist Slnd 95.3
316
112.5
352
.1294 6-16 5-10 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.84 69
344 Northwestern St. Slnd 93.4
335
110.5
332
.1260 7-19 6-10 35.8% 38.0% -0 1.39 85
347 Columbia Ivy 90.7
355
108.2
297
.1166 0-0 0-0 26.7% 18.8% 5.8 0.85 30
346 Bethune Cookman SWAC 91.6
348
108.9
311
.1203 0-0 0-0 14.5% 13.2% 3.6 1.92 239
345 Central Connecticut NEC 93.8
329
111.2
342
.1235 5-16 5-13 46.6% 43.1% 0 2.26 31
315 Bucknell Pat 95.0
318
107.5
286
.1928 4-6 4-6 53.1% 47.1% 3.9 1.68 0
314 New Orleans Slnd 96.1
305
108.8
307
.1935 9-13 8-7 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
285 Nicholls St. Slnd 97.7
274
107.1
279
.2580 11-11 9-7 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.43 257
284 Southern SWAC 97.0
284
106.3
264
.2589 9-9 8-6 41.7% 33.7% 7.2 2.4 166
283 Monmouth MAAC 96.9
287
106.1
259
.2619 7-12 6-12 36.1% 29.4% 0 1.92 95
282 American Pat 95.7
311
104.4
226
.2672 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% -0 2 60
286 Presbyterian BSth 97.4
279
106.7
274
.2579 8-12 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
287 Maine AE 94.0
325
103.1
200
.2563 2-7 2-6 70.6% 68.1% 0 1.59 105
291 Binghamton AE 99.2
249
109.2
314
.2494 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.16 146
290 William & Mary CAA 94.7
319
104.1
220
.2501 4-11 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
289 LIU Brooklyn NEC 93.9
328
103.1
198
.2542 9-9 9-9 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 1.82 54
288 Portland WCC 102.3
172
112.4
350
.2547 4-13 2-9 14.8% 8.5% 11.6 2.04 358
281 The Citadel SC 100.5
220
109.6
320
.2680 7-12 6-10 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.8 0
280 Boston University Pat 98.3
267
107.3
281
.2682 8-8 8-8 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 44
274 Norfolk St. MEAC 95.5
315
103.9
216
.2751 9-10 6-6 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 1.97 100
273 Idaho St. BSky 96.5
297
104.6
229
.2838 7-11 6-8 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 44
272 Kennesaw St. ASun 97.4
278
105.5
249
.2841 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 22.4 2.02 121
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
271 Austin Peay OVC 99.4
246
107.6
287
.2871 11-13 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 7.3 2.19 108
275 Eastern Washington BSky 97.9
270
106.6
270
.2737 7-12 6-9 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.88 173
276 Western Michigan MAC 98.9
256
107.6
288
.2737 6-14 5-11 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
279 Jacksonville ASun 99.2
248
108.1
296
.2710 9-13 6-8 28.3% 24.3% 11.7 2.35 302
278 College of Charleston CAA 100.5
218
109.5
317
.2718 6-10 4-6 17.0% 18.6% 15.3 2.03 396
277 UMass Lowell AE 99.6
243
108.5
302
.2721 6-13 5-10 75.3% 64.6% 5.6 2.27 158
292 North Florida ASun 99.1
252
109.1
313
.2488 6-14 4-8 81.4% 84.1% -0 1.75 60
293 Lafayette Pat 99.6
242
109.9
324
.2440 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.2 1.94 0
308 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 95.6
312
107.0
278
.2153 7-16 6-12 27.4% 25.1% 15.1 1.81 118
307 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.7
290
108.2
298
.2159 8-16 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 1.9 2.28 80
306 Sacramento St. BSky 97.7
273
109.3
315
.2164 5-12 4-10 47.4% 29.4% 2.3 2.52 55
305 UC San Diego BW 99.4
245
111.1
340
.2184 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.6 1.86 86
309 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.3
228
112.4
351
.2119 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 148
310 FIU CUSA 93.7
331
105.1
240
.2116 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 14.3 1.81 188
313 Northern Arizona BSky 98.1
268
110.5
331
.2034 5-15 5-9 68.7% 58.4% 14.1 1.97 169
312 Samford SC 96.7
295
108.8
309
.2039 4-12 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 8.7 1.61 175
311 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
342
103.4
206
.2063 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
304 Army Pat 91.6
347
102.3
185
.2192 6-12 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.36 40
303 Coppin St. MEAC 94.5
322
105.4
246
.2213 7-14 5-7 33.4% 24.7% 0 1.62 227
297 Charleston Southern BSth 96.3
299
106.6
271
.2367 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% 0 1.99 95
296 Howard MEAC 101.2
196
112.1
349
.2370 2-2 0-0 62.4% 62.3% 7.7 2.19 302
295 Florida A&M SWAC 93.5
333
103.5
207
.2385 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.84 82
294 Cal St. Northridge BW 100.7
215
111.1
341
.2430 5-15 4-10 67.6% 67.3% 11.1 2.27 0
298 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 100.7
214
111.6
346
.2355 9-15 8-10 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.12 51
299 Brown Ivy 90.7
354
100.5
148
.2345 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 0.6 1.14 61
302 USC Upstate BSth 97.9
272
108.9
310
.2274 7-14 6-10 61.7% 44.9% 13.1 2.26 135
301 UNC Wilmington CAA 99.9
236
111.0
339
.2291 5-10 2-5 39.5% 30.5% 4.4 2.1 166
300 Northern Illinois MAC 95.8
309
106.2
263
.2330 6-13 4-10 66.5% 61.9% 13 2.32 180
180 Prairie View A&M SWAC 100.4
223
100.9
155
.4861 13-5 11-2 59.6% 57.4% 8.6 2.73 256
179 Merrimack NEC 97.3
280
97.7
93
.4883 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 1.99 0
61 Wisconsin B10 103.1
145
92.3
13
.7807 14-13 8-12 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
60 UAB CUSA 108.5
42
97.1
85
.7818 20-5 13-5 61.3% 62.5% 26.7 2.96 340
59 Ohio MAC 108.9
39
97.4
89
.7831 16-5 13-3 80.9% 77.3% 6.7 2.22 56
58 Drake MVC 110.5
22
98.8
117
.7835 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 4.7 2.74 34
62 Nebraska B10 106.0
92
94.9
51
.7807 13-13 8-12 52.8% 47.8% 38.9 2.14 162
63 Rutgers B10 104.8
118
93.9
38
.7803 11-13 8-12 62.7% 55.4% 47.9 2.23 52
67 Iowa B10 109.2
34
98.1
102
.7743 13-14 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
66 Mississippi St. SEC 106.9
68
96.0
66
.7751 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
65 Nevada MWC 107.1
65
96.1
67
.7783 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
64 Syracuse ACC 109.1
35
97.8
96
.7785 14-9 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
57 Creighton BE 107.0
67
95.5
60
.7873 13-12 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 0
56 Arizona St. P12 108.4
45
96.6
76
.7904 14-10 10-8 36.1% 26.0% 65.1 1.87 326
50 Providence BE 107.4
56
95.0
53
.8037 13-12 9-10 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
49 Utah St. MWC 105.4
104
93.0
25
.8070 17-7 13-6 44.6% 39.9% 25.3 2.15 153
48 Virginia Tech ACC 107.8
52
95.1
54
.8084 14-8 8-7 60.4% 64.4% 24.1 2.13 92
47 Oklahoma B12 105.8
96
93.3
30
.8094 12-11 8-9 35.5% 28.5% 23.6 2.5 262
51 Stanford P12 104.3
127
92.6
17
.7970 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
52 Clemson ACC 104.9
116
93.2
28
.7947 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
55 Colorado P12 106.1
91
94.5
45
.7918 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
54 San Francisco WCC 107.5
55
95.7
62
.7924 14-9 8-5 74.8% 79.2% 2.6 2.55 210
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
53 UCF Amer 106.4
81
94.7
47
.7938 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 48.1 1.98 41
68 Penn St. B10 107.1
66
96.4
71
.7705 11-13 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 18.7 2.47 149
69 Saint Louis A10 105.9
93
95.6
61
.7651 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.42 127
84 Missouri St. MVC 106.9
70
97.9
98
.7322 13-7 11-7 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
83 TCU B12 107.6
53
98.6
112
.7327 13-12 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.7 1.9 436
82 Northern Iowa MVC 108.3
47
99.0
120
.7355 13-9 11-7 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
81 Liberty ASun 107.2
62
98.0
100
.7362 16-5 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
85 Cincinnati Amer 102.8
149
94.4
43
.7283 10-10 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
86 Buffalo MAC 106.2
90
97.5
90
.7276 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 29.8 2.34 55
89 Rhode Island A10 104.6
122
96.3
70
.7213 13-11 10-7 74.1% 70.2% 37.1 2.45 77
88 DePaul BE 105.2
108
96.8
81
.7219 8-9 7-8 33.7% 29.5% 42.2 1.88 211
87 Marquette BE 105.3
106
96.8
80
.7239 12-14 7-12 19.8% 17.3% 57.4 1.65 195
80 Vanderbilt SEC 107.4
57
98.0
99
.7412 11-11 6-10 51.5% 55.3% 28.9 1.89 139
79 Murray St. OVC 106.9
69
97.5
91
.7413 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.49 249
73 Virginia ACC 102.7
153
92.9
23
.7607 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
72 Belmont OVC 108.5
41
98.1
101
.7619 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
71 Boise St. MWC 106.5
76
96.2
69
.7630 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
70 Mississippi SEC 103.9
133
93.7
36
.7648 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
74 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.0
36
98.6
113
.7600 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.3 173
75 Georgia Tech ACC 104.4
124
94.5
44
.7594 12-11 8-9 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
78 Butler BE 105.7
97
95.9
65
.7555 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
77 North Carolina St. ACC 105.7
98
95.8
64
.7559 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
76 VCU A10 102.8
151
93.1
26
.7577 14-9 8-6 49.4% 45.3% 39 1.95 83
46 Colorado St. MWC 110.2
25
97.1
86
.8101 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
45 Washington St. P12 106.6
74
93.8
37
.8121 17-10 11-9 61.4% 58.2% 22.8 1.94 115
16 St. Bonaventure A10 110.7
20
92.8
21
.8841 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.55 68
15 Tennessee SEC 110.2
26
91.7
7
.8923 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.2 1.53 66
14 Villanova BE 114.9
4
95.3
58
.8957 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
13 Houston Amer 110.3
24
91.4
4
.8965 18-5 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
17 Kentucky SEC 112.9
12
94.9
50
.8815 15-9 10-7 44.9% 40.8% 72.4 1.91 283
18 Connecticut BE 111.4
18
93.7
35
.8800 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
22 Auburn SEC 110.1
27
93.1
27
.8723 18-9 11-7 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
21 Maryland B10 109.4
32
92.4
14
.8739 16-10 11-9 45.5% 45.1% 66.2 1.85 157
20 Xavier BE 112.3
14
94.8
49
.8745 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
19 Texas Tech B12 108.7
40
91.5
6
.8785 18-8 10-7 43.6% 42.6% 27.7 2.41 276
12 Ohio St. B10 115.0
3
95.1
55
.8987 17-9 13-7 63.3% 60.8% 63.3 2.56 146
11 Memphis Amer 109.0
37
89.9
1
.9010 17-5 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
5 Kansas B12 113.9
9
92.2
11
.9195 18-8 12-6 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
4 Illinois B10 114.4
7
92.2
12
.9227 18-8 13-7 63.4% 59.4% 63.9 2.12 92
3 Texas B12 113.8
10
91.4
5
.9252 18-6 12-5 37.8% 38.8% 81.3 2.52 479
2 UCLA P12 117.5
2
92.5
16
.9401 20-5 15-4 92.9% 91.4% 84.7 2.05 55
6 Michigan B10 112.3
13
90.9
2
.9192 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
7 Purdue B10 113.1
11
92.0
9
.9144 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
10 Alabama SEC 111.8
16
92.1
10
.9023 20-7 12-6 46.3% 47.9% 71.4 1.43 112
9 Baylor B12 114.5
6
93.6
34
.9105 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
8 Duke ACC 114.6
5
93.4
31
.9130 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
23 Michigan St. B10 109.4
33
93.0
24
.8663 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 73.7 1.79 107
24 Florida SEC 109.9
29
93.5
33
.8655 13-8 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 45.6 2.36 208
39 Northwestern B10 106.7
73
93.5
32
.8202 12-11 9-11 73.8% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
38 Oregon P12 110.6
21
96.4
72
.8294 15-9 11-7 39.3% 27.1% 68.3 2.08 273
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
37 Saint Mary's WCC 105.2
107
91.7
8
.8296 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
36 BYU WCC 109.4
31
95.2
56
.8324 15-8 8-5 62.5% 58.7% 37.7 2.41 96
40 Seton Hall BE 108.1
48
94.8
48
.8197 14-11 10-9 54.5% 48.0% 67.8 2.44 147
41 Oklahoma St. B12 105.6
100
92.6
18
.8183 14-11 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 65.6 1.89 115
44 Wichita St. Amer 107.1
63
94.3
42
.8125 10-7 8-5 64.2% 66.1% 24.7 2.04 81
43 LSU SEC 112.0
15
98.5
111
.8142 15-9 9-8 33.4% 22.6% 82 1.43 181
42 Richmond A10 110.0
28
96.5
74
.8178 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
35 San Diego St. MWC 106.3
88
92.5
15
.8325 16-7 12-5 61.0% 57.0% 30.7 2.72 145
34 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.8
72
92.8
22
.8329 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
28 Arkansas SEC 108.5
43
92.7
20
.8583 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
27 Florida St. ACC 108.4
44
92.7
19
.8587 14-6 10-5 39.0% 30.1% 48.5 1.94 155
26 Louisville ACC 111.6
17
94.9
52
.8646 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 60.2 1.99 304
25 North Carolina ACC 110.5
23
94.0
39
.8653 16-9 9-7 65.3% 63.2% 89 1.53 141
29 Notre Dame ACC 114.4
8
98.3
106
.8515 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
30 Indiana B10 109.4
30
94.1
40
.8503 15-12 11-9 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
33 Arizona P12 108.9
38
94.5
46
.8362 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.24 141
32 USC P12 108.0
50
93.3
29
.8430 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 65.1 2.06 51
31 West Virginia B12 110.9
19
95.8
63
.8430 15-11 9-8 48.7% 42.3% 29 2.2 97
90 Miami FL ACC 108.3
46
99.8
132
.7208 12-12 8-11 49.5% 50.6% 67.8 2.12 161
91 Washington P12 107.3
59
98.9
118
.7191 11-14 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 50.3 2.41 357
150 South Dakota Sum 106.6
75
104.7
233
.5496 13-9 10-5 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.17 97
149 Texas A&M SEC 101.0
207
99.2
123
.5508 7-10 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 54.5 1.05 208
148 UTEP CUSA 100.5
219
98.7
114
.5517 9-11 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 30.1 2.23 110
147 UNC Greensboro SC 101.1
201
99.2
122
.5546 17-9 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 24.1 2.53 146
151 East Carolina Amer 102.4
171
100.6
150
.5490 8-9 4-8 46.8% 45.1% 20.8 2.46 193
152 Wofford SC 102.9
148
101.2
161
.5488 13-8 11-6 68.3% 60.2% 4.1 1.61 38
156 Delaware CAA 102.4
170
100.8
152
.5446 9-4 7-2 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
155 George Mason A10 101.8
183
100.2
141
.5453 10-9 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.27 201
154 California P12 101.2
198
99.5
128
.5464 9-17 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.7 1.95 52
153 Duquesne A10 99.9
237
98.2
105
.5484 8-8 6-8 42.4% 29.0% 14.1 1.78 216
146 Navy Pat 103.8
134
101.6
170
.5614 12-5 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.22 0
145 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
120
102.5
188
.5618 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.7 2.44 251
139 Indiana St. MVC 101.4
192
99.0
119
.5696 10-12 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 10.2 1.55 129
138 Seattle WAC 103.9
132
101.2
160
.5758 10-7 5-4 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 92
137 Vermont AE 102.7
161
99.7
131
.5831 10-4 10-4 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
136 North Texas CUSA 99.4
247
96.5
73
.5835 10-11 7-7 40.4% 35.9% 17.5 1.9 107
140 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
168
99.9
136
.5682 12-11 8-8 53.2% 52.9% 40.2 2.32 307
141 Minnesota B10 101.1
200
98.8
116
.5671 9-18 4-16 7.8% 5.8% 16.7 2.41 252
144 Yale Ivy 102.4
167
100.1
140
.5626 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 3.1 1.63 31
143 Northern Kentucky Horz 104.5
123
102.2
182
.5644 15-8 12-6 87.6% 92.3% 3.9 2.48 68
142 Winthrop BSth 102.7
157
100.3
144
.5665 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
157 Oral Roberts Sum 107.3
58
106.0
257
.5368 11-9 11-4 69.5% 65.3% 16.8 1.8 131
158 Valparaiso MVC 104.9
115
103.8
212
.5315 10-15 7-11 35.0% 32.0% 16.8 1.93 274
173 Rice CUSA 107.5
54
107.5
285
.5009 10-12 6-10 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 173
172 Iowa St. B12 101.7
186
101.7
172
.5012 6-17 3-15 40.8% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
171 Appalachian St. SB 101.5
190
101.3
164
.5045 11-9 9-6 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.34 0
170 Loyola MD Pat 103.3
144
102.9
196
.5104 9-5 9-5 74.3% 75.2% 33.3 1.97 70
174 Penn Ivy 96.7
291
96.8
79
.4978 0-0 0-0 35.4% 33.8% 0 1.5 155
175 Jacksonville St. ASun 100.9
209
101.1
158
.4965 13-10 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.35 154
178 Marshall CUSA 101.6
188
101.9
176
.4908 10-11 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.7 1.58 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
177 Bryant NEC 104.9
114
105.2
243
.4912 13-7 11-5 76.1% 73.2% 3.7 2.44 151
176 Elon CAA 103.1
146
103.3
204
.4927 7-7 5-6 77.0% 74.4% 6.4 2.08 90
169 Campbell BSth 103.8
135
103.4
205
.5110 14-8 11-6 93.0% 94.7% 0 2.35 0
168 Tarleton St. WAC 100.5
221
100.0
137
.5138 8-7 6-6 76.9% 67.6% 0 1.76 97
162 Louisiana Lafayette SB 105.4
103
104.3
224
.5290 14-8 11-6 49.6% 36.6% 37.8 2.47 349
161 Pepperdine WCC 101.8
181
100.8
153
.5294 8-12 4-9 48.0% 37.3% 17.7 2.38 134
160 Bradley MVC 102.4
164
101.3
165
.5296 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 3 1.8 114
159 Sam Houston St. WAC 102.7
155
101.6
171
.5306 15-8 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 16.3 2.42 154
163 Pittsburgh ACC 100.1
232
99.1
121
.5289 7-14 4-12 40.5% 30.4% 32.2 1.77 151
164 Weber St. BSky 106.5
78
105.5
248
.5270 12-8 10-6 61.9% 59.0% 14.9 2.41 182
167 UNLV MWC 105.5
102
104.9
237
.5141 9-14 7-11 32.0% 28.6% 36.9 2.6 360
166 James Madison CAA 105.6
99
104.9
236
.5180 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
165 Saint Peter's MAAC 96.8
288
96.1
68
.5210 14-8 12-5 75.7% 72.4% 0 1.97 50
135 Missouri SEC 101.4
191
98.4
109
.5868 7-16 4-12 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
134 Montana BSky 102.8
152
99.7
130
.5872 14-8 13-5 89.6% 85.6% -0 1.78 77
106 Santa Clara WCC 105.2
109
99.3
124
.6615 9-7 4-5 66.1% 65.7% 19.3 2.41 117
105 Colgate Pat 106.5
79
100.4
145
.6630 10-2 10-2 70.5% 62.5% -0 2.16 0
104 New Mexico St. WAC 107.9
51
101.4
166
.6718 8-5 7-5 63.4% 62.2% 16.7 2.52 257
103 Georgetown BE 103.6
140
97.2
87
.6738 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
107 Oregon St. P12 105.3
105
99.4
127
.6610 11-14 7-13 53.9% 53.8% 27.5 2.34 139
108 Wright St. Horz 102.3
173
96.6
77
.6589 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
111 Massachusetts A10 106.4
85
100.8
154
.6485 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
110 Wyoming MWC 108.0
49
102.4
186
.6490 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 7.8 1.95 55
109 Northeastern CAA 102.4
165
96.9
82
.6536 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
102 Iona MAAC 106.4
82
99.9
135
.6738 9-4 7-2 46.2% 37.9% 25 2.22 248
101 Western Kentucky CUSA 104.3
126
97.9
97
.6744 14-10 10-4 35.7% 31.7% 45.6 2.2 198
95 Wake Forest ACC 106.4
83
98.4
110
.7099 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
94 St. John's BE 104.8
117
96.9
83
.7112 13-13 7-12 39.4% 44.5% 33.4 2.06 206
93 UC Riverside BW 105.9
95
97.8
95
.7133 15-5 11-3 68.8% 61.3% 18.2 2.31 132
92 Kansas St. B12 102.1
178
94.2
41
.7156 13-13 6-12 71.8% 70.1% 55.4 1.89 187
96 SMU Amer 107.1
64
99.3
126
.7045 9-8 6-7 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 236
97 Tulsa Amer 104.0
130
96.6
75
.7013 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 35.4 2.29 209
100 Utah P12 106.2
89
99.6
129
.6774 10-13 7-12 40.3% 31.7% 42.6 2.35 267
99 Louisiana Tech CUSA 101.8
182
95.4
59
.6790 16-9 10-6 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
98 UC Irvine BW 102.4
169
95.3
57
.6956 15-7 12-4 79.3% 80.3% 3.3 1.64 25
112 Dayton A10 102.3
174
97.0
84
.6478 11-10 8-8 46.4% 34.0% 54.6 1.25 114
113 Tulane Amer 102.8
150
97.6
92
.6459 11-11 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
128 Georgia St. SB 106.5
77
102.6
190
.6055 11-6 8-4 75.8% 72.3% 35.4 2.25 140
127 Southern Miss CUSA 102.7
159
98.7
115
.6116 13-9 10-7 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.42 110
126 Davidson A10 106.4
84
102.2
183
.6123 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40 1.97 47
125 Akron MAC 104.1
128
100.1
139
.6127 12-8 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.2 2.44 126
129 Miami OH MAC 106.3
87
102.6
191
.5998 14-8 11-7 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.49 27
130 Boston College ACC 103.6
139
100.2
142
.5938 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 36.2 1.8 119
133 Grand Canyon WAC 105.5
101
102.3
184
.5889 10-8 7-5 40.2% 38.5% 33.6 2.27 252
132 Morehead St. OVC 105.2
110
101.9
175
.5908 15-10 13-7 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.15 252
131 Cleveland St. Horz 107.3
60
103.9
215
.5919 15-8 14-6 70.9% 73.8% 0 2.72 166
124 South Dakota St. Sum 107.2
61
102.9
194
.6162 12-8 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.8 2.27 0
123 Furman SC 102.6
162
98.3
108
.6202 14-7 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
117 Old Dominion CUSA 104.8
119
99.8
134
.6354 12-9 9-7 43.4% 39.7% 31.2 2.26 197
116 UC Santa Barbara BW 106.8
71
101.5
169
.6408 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 77
115 Fresno St. MWC 105.9
94
100.6
149
.6436 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
114 Florida Atlantic CUSA 103.4
142
98.2
104
.6450 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 12.5 1.98 116
118 Southern Utah BSky 106.5
80
101.4
167
.6352 12-5 11-3 91.4% 92.1% 11.1 2.77 79
119 Southern Illinois MVC 103.0
147
98.3
107
.6322 12-11 9-9 98.9% 99.1% 0 1.94 46
122 South Carolina SEC 101.1
202
96.7
78
.6241 8-12 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
121 Toledo MAC 105.0
113
100.5
147
.6243 17-10 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 1.94 55
120 Temple Amer 101.8
185
97.3
88
.6260 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.3
1
91.2
3
.9637 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.