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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
240 Fort Wayne Horz 102.4
164
108.0
293
.3524 10-11 9-11 56.8% 56.9% -0 2.33 146
239 Air Force MWC 100.4
224
105.8
254
.3526 7-17 5-15 52.0% 50.6% 0 0.86 0
238 George Washington A10 102.6
161
108.0
294
.3565 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
237 UNC Asheville BSth 102.8
153
107.8
290
.3664 10-9 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 128
241 Stetson ASun 100.9
209
106.4
266
.3523 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.36 0
242 Canisius MAAC 100.5
221
106.0
258
.3507 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 1.4 2.22 33
246 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
293
102.5
189
.3371 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19 2.93 160
245 High Point BSth 100.3
226
106.2
261
.3431 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 73
244 Illinois Chicago Horz 96.3
299
101.7
173
.3483 11-10 8-8 51.9% 49.5% 7.3 2.9 282
243 Loyola MD Pat 99.0
253
104.5
228
.3485 7-7 7-7 59.5% 50.3% 20.9 1.91 70
236 Georgia Southern SB 96.3
300
100.9
156
.3684 10-11 7-9 71.8% 62.0% 12.5 2.41 63
235 Hartford AE 98.4
263
103.0
198
.3709 9-10 7-7 52.3% 41.5% 0 2.49 135
229 UMKC Sum 98.8
256
103.1
200
.3797 9-10 8-6 51.0% 33.3% 4.5 1.91 144
228 Lipscomb ASun 102.0
177
106.4
267
.3809 10-12 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
227 NJIT AE 99.9
236
104.2
220
.3818 9-9 8-8 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 131
226 South Alabama SB 103.7
137
108.1
295
.3829 9-13 8-9 15.5% 8.5% 32.6 2.5 550
230 Quinnipiac MAAC 96.8
288
101.1
159
.3786 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 6.6 1.87 83
231 New Hampshire AE 100.9
208
105.4
246
.3779 9-8 8-7 77.9% 79.1% -0 2.07 45
234 Fairfield MAAC 98.3
265
102.9
194
.3736 11-12 9-9 73.1% 66.7% 1.8 2.09 0
233 New Mexico MWC 99.0
252
103.5
207
.3754 5-14 4-13 49.0% 46.9% 37.4 1.7 342
232 Bowling Green MAC 102.0
178
106.6
269
.3761 9-15 7-12 51.2% 42.5% 17.1 2.16 279
247 Louisiana Monroe SB 98.6
259
104.6
230
.3370 12-13 8-10 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 182
248 Fordham A10 95.6
314
101.5
168
.3340 4-9 4-9 32.6% 30.8% 2.2 2.13 359
263 Dixie St. WAC 97.9
269
105.2
242
.3059 7-12 5-9 70.7% 66.2% 3.1 2.13 93
262 Western Illinois Sum 100.1
232
107.4
282
.3098 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.87 202
261 San Jose St. MWC 102.2
175
109.5
317
.3101 4-15 4-13 57.2% 45.2% 28.3 1.86 353
260 Radford BSth 99.0
254
106.1
259
.3108 10-13 9-9 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 140
264 Cal Poly BW 100.2
230
107.7
289
.3034 7-14 6-10 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
265 UMBC AE 97.6
275
105.0
237
.3028 7-12 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.2 2.36 181
268 Troy SB 96.6
295
104.3
223
.2923 8-15 6-10 60.6% 54.0% 0.1 1.96 124
267 Lehigh Pat 97.1
280
104.6
231
.2971 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
266 Long Beach St. BW 97.7
273
105.1
241
.3020 5-11 5-7 46.5% 39.5% 12 1.86 109
259 Tennessee Tech OVC 101.4
193
108.6
303
.3122 10-17 8-12 74.3% 69.4% 16.1 2.17 238
258 Sacred Heart NEC 101.3
196
108.4
301
.3139 9-8 9-7 83.3% 85.8% 0 1.68 21
252 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
192
108.2
298
.3204 7-10 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 1.99 0
251 East Tennessee St. SC 96.7
294
103.0
197
.3252 8-13 6-9 29.2% 32.8% 6.2 1.64 65
250 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
112
111.7
347
.3293 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 7.8 2.23 547
249 Towson CAA 102.3
173
108.7
305
.3326 7-10 6-6 52.3% 49.1% 5.7 2.39 282
253 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
251
105.9
256
.3179 9-10 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
254 Tennessee St. OVC 101.0
207
107.9
292
.3174 10-12 9-11 28.8% 19.6% 22.8 2.16 403
257 St. Francis NY NEC 99.7
239
106.7
271
.3141 10-9 10-8 41.5% 37.0% 0 2.61 246
256 Texas Southern SWAC 98.5
260
105.4
245
.3164 11-10 10-4 46.2% 45.1% 12.3 2.77 223
255 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 98.8
257
105.6
251
.3168 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.39 36
225 Detroit Horz 106.4
86
110.9
337
.3835 10-10 9-7 38.5% 43.7% 20 2.54 271
224 Georgia SEC 99.8
238
104.0
216
.3847 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 24.5 1.61 191
195 UT Arlington SB 98.5
261
100.7
150
.4377 11-11 10-7 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.1 138
194 Cal St. Fullerton BW 105.1
111
107.4
283
.4387 8-6 8-6 76.8% 73.7% 10.3 2.19 154
193 North Dakota St. Sum 99.2
249
101.3
163
.4402 11-13 9-7 79.2% 73.8% 1.5 2.06 65
192 Drexel CAA 104.1
129
106.2
263
.4426 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.43 118
196 Harvard Ivy 98.1
267
100.4
144
.4351 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 49.5 1.01 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
197 Oakland Horz 103.8
136
106.2
262
.4342 11-16 11-9 61.4% 60.7% 13.3 1.88 98
201 Rider MAAC 104.3
124
107.2
279
.4241 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 258
200 Montana St. BSky 102.2
174
104.7
233
.4299 10-8 9-5 86.3% 88.6% 10.8 2.44 102
199 Siena MAAC 101.5
187
103.9
215
.4329 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.56 278
198 Mount St. Mary's NEC 99.7
240
102.0
178
.4341 13-9 12-6 79.3% 70.9% 0.4 2.25 92
191 Arkansas St. SB 102.7
157
104.8
234
.4427 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 7.8 2.02 88
190 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
297
98.4
109
.4432 10-6 9-2 37.2% 30.0% -0 2.55 231
184 Chattanooga SC 99.9
237
101.2
162
.4616 13-10 9-7 59.6% 48.0% 9.3 2.18 78
183 Princeton Ivy 99.7
241
101.0
157
.4622 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 14 1.26 0
182 Stony Brook AE 101.1
201
102.0
179
.4726 12-9 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4 2.7 322
181 Portland St. BSky 102.7
156
103.7
211
.4731 9-8 8-6 55.6% 41.2% -0 2.66 330
185 San Diego WCC 100.3
228
101.8
174
.4582 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.6 2.44 216
186 VMI SC 103.5
142
105.0
238
.4574 11-9 8-6 72.7% 63.3% -0 1.61 0
189 Kent St. MAC 100.5
216
102.4
187
.4471 10-12 9-10 41.7% 34.9% 1.7 2.15 200
188 Utah Valley WAC 101.0
202
102.9
195
.4478 9-10 7-6 69.8% 64.1% 19 2.49 122
187 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.9
132
105.8
253
.4490 9-5 6-3 68.6% 63.7% 14.5 2.75 402
202 UC Davis BW 100.0
233
102.7
192
.4231 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
203 Albany AE 100.6
215
103.5
206
.4194 8-6 7-5 45.4% 40.7% 15.2 2.7 216
218 Abilene Christian WAC 94.3
324
97.7
94
.3989 13-8 11-4 38.6% 31.0% 0 1.71 88
217 Gardner Webb BSth 101.8
184
105.5
247
.3997 13-12 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 6.6 1.35 0
216 Hofstra CAA 103.1
144
106.8
273
.3999 9-12 7-7 55.0% 56.3% 2.3 2.32 285
215 Pacific WCC 98.6
258
102.1
180
.4020 4-12 3-10 23.6% 20.7% 12.7 2.05 189
219 Ball St. MAC 98.5
262
102.1
181
.3976 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
220 UTSA CUSA 101.8
182
105.7
252
.3947 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 20.7 1.86 131
223 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.4
191
105.6
250
.3860 8-13 5-11 47.4% 44.9% 5.2 2.37 219
222 Texas St. SB 95.9
307
99.7
131
.3901 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.71 82
221 Milwaukee Horz 100.4
223
104.2
221
.3946 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 29.8 1.54 117
214 Marist MAAC 96.0
306
99.3
126
.4021 11-9 9-9 76.2% 71.2% 2.7 2.28 47
213 Coastal Carolina SB 101.0
206
104.4
226
.4042 9-8 7-7 61.3% 49.2% 5.5 2.51 205
207 Hawaii BW 101.3
194
104.4
225
.4149 9-9 9-9 45.0% 41.9% 11.7 2.53 213
206 Saint Joseph's A10 101.0
204
104.1
218
.4152 5-13 3-9 86.4% 83.0% 25.7 2.04 50
205 Mercer SC 100.2
229
103.2
202
.4157 11-11 9-8 54.1% 51.8% 19.7 2.01 72
204 Morgan St. MEAC 104.7
120
107.8
291
.4168 8-6 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 17.4 2.85 163
208 Illinois St. MVC 97.8
271
100.8
154
.4135 8-15 6-12 55.6% 42.3% 9.1 1.67 186
209 Cal Baptist WAC 103.5
140
106.7
272
.4122 9-9 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 246
212 South Florida Amer 96.7
291
100.0
137
.4063 5-14 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 31.1 1.78 235
211 La Salle A10 100.4
225
103.6
208
.4105 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.5 1.79 65
210 Northern Colorado BSky 100.6
214
103.8
214
.4115 9-9 9-6 83.5% 86.2% 7.6 2.55 107
269 Evansville MVC 100.8
211
108.8
310
.2917 7-17 4-14 44.5% 54.1% -0 1.77 34
270 Austin Peay OVC 99.5
245
107.5
286
.2892 11-13 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 7.3 2.19 108
330 St. Thomas Sum 96.1
303
110.8
335
.1634 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 7.9 2.23 321
329 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 95.7
309
110.3
329
.1636 8-16 7-9 49.2% 52.2% 0 2.33 195
328 Central Michigan MAC 96.2
302
110.6
333
.1669 5-15 4-12 35.0% 24.8% 6.4 2.43 197
327 Lamar WAC 93.0
338
106.9
275
.1680 8-17 7-10 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.67 109
331 Holy Cross Pat 95.7
312
110.4
330
.1620 5-11 5-11 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.37 23
332 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
301
111.3
343
.1582 6-15 6-14 41.9% 31.7% 9.2 1.4 134
336 North Dakota Sum 93.6
332
108.7
307
.1515 5-20 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.82 92
335 Western Carolina SC 94.7
321
109.7
321
.1545 5-19 4-13 25.6% 16.8% 6 1.75 230
334 Central Arkansas ASun 96.1
305
111.4
345
.1548 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 91
333 North Alabama ASun 92.9
339
107.7
288
.1556 5-12 4-11 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.65 30
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
326 Hampton BSth 95.1
317
108.9
312
.1723 7-16 6-12 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.63 204
325 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 91.3
349
104.5
227
.1742 4-9 2-4 51.2% 41.4% 7.7 2.55 161
319 Niagara MAAC 97.0
285
110.0
325
.1900 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.6 2.16 81
318 Stephen F. Austin WAC 91.8
345
104.1
219
.1911 8-10 7-8 35.3% 28.3% 10.7 1.71 95
317 St. Francis PA NEC 94.7
320
107.3
281
.1917 8-14 7-11 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
316 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
351
103.2
201
.1920 0-0 0-0 29.9% 23.3% 4 1.14 60
320 McNeese St. Slnd 97.6
274
110.8
336
.1887 8-9 7-7 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
321 Sacramento St. BSky 97.1
281
110.2
328
.1884 4-13 4-10 39.9% 26.1% 2.4 2.61 55
324 Eastern Michigan MAC 93.5
334
106.9
274
.1772 4-11 4-10 23.1% 21.2% 6.9 1.56 154
323 Denver Sum 97.0
284
110.7
334
.1800 7-13 4-10 34.1% 25.6% 6.1 2.4 203
322 Little Rock SB 92.2
341
105.1
240
.1814 6-18 5-13 56.5% 51.1% -0 1.85 61
337 Delaware St. MEAC 97.1
282
112.9
354
.1500 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
338 IUPUI Horz 93.2
336
108.6
304
.1470 4-13 4-12 51.5% 37.9% 1.8 2.37 57
353 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 89.9
356
109.4
315
.0948 5-16 4-11 26.4% 20.5% 3.7 1.7 191
352 Wagner NEC 91.3
348
110.9
338
.0964 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.65 124
351 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.8
331
113.4
356
.1016 6-19 6-11 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.07 92
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 91.1
353
109.9
324
.1030 6-21 4-16 23.3% 11.5% 2 1.26 199
354 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.8
346
112.0
348
.0924 3-15 2-6 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.46 90
355 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
344
114.5
357
.0735 1-8 0-0 55.9% 44.8% -0 2.09 90
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 85.6
358
113.0
355
.0393 2-23 2-14 15.0% 9.4% 5.9 1.68 184
357 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 86.9
357
111.3
344
.0544 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% -0 1.47 182
356 Tennessee Martin OVC 91.1
352
114.5
358
.0669 3-20 3-17 0.0% 0.0% 6 1.98 264
349 Alabama St. SWAC 91.9
343
109.8
322
.1150 6-12 6-12 46.8% 38.2% 15.3 1.8 111
348 Bethune Cookman SWAC 91.2
350
108.9
311
.1157 0-0 0-0 9.2% 7.0% 3.6 1.95 239
342 Cornell Ivy 93.1
337
109.6
319
.1318 0-0 0-0 38.5% 27.9% -0 0.87 31
341 Alcorn St. SWAC 93.9
327
110.1
326
.1389 6-12 6-7 26.3% 25.9% 8.9 2.35 285
340 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.6
340
108.4
300
.1417 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.37 112
339 North Carolina Central MEAC 94.0
326
109.7
320
.1451 4-8 4-4 18.7% 14.3% 5.2 2.42 360
343 Houston Baptist Slnd 95.4
316
112.5
352
.1303 6-16 5-10 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.84 69
344 Northwestern St. Slnd 93.5
335
110.5
331
.1272 7-19 6-10 35.8% 38.0% -0 1.39 85
347 Columbia Ivy 90.7
355
108.2
297
.1168 0-0 0-0 26.7% 18.8% 5.8 0.85 30
346 Idaho BSky 94.5
323
112.7
353
.1170 4-19 4-16 31.2% 28.6% 0 2.21 200
345 Central Connecticut NEC 93.8
330
111.2
342
.1243 5-16 5-13 46.6% 43.1% 0 2.26 31
315 Green Bay Horz 97.2
279
110.1
327
.1925 7-17 6-14 42.2% 31.1% 1.1 1.2 134
314 Bucknell Pat 95.0
318
107.5
285
.1945 4-6 4-6 53.1% 47.1% 3.9 1.68 0
285 Nicholls St. Slnd 97.8
272
107.1
278
.2601 11-11 9-7 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.43 257
284 Presbyterian BSth 97.4
277
106.6
270
.2617 9-11 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
283 Southern SWAC 97.0
283
106.1
260
.2631 9-9 9-5 41.7% 33.7% 7.2 2.4 166
282 Monmouth MAAC 97.0
287
106.0
257
.2648 7-12 6-12 36.1% 29.4% 0 1.92 95
286 Maine AE 94.1
325
103.1
199
.2582 2-7 2-6 70.6% 68.1% 0 1.59 105
287 LIU Brooklyn NEC 93.9
328
103.0
196
.2571 9-9 9-9 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 1.82 54
291 North Florida ASun 99.2
250
109.1
313
.2500 6-14 4-8 81.4% 84.1% -0 1.75 60
290 Binghamton AE 99.2
248
109.1
314
.2505 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.16 146
289 Portland WCC 102.3
172
112.4
351
.2530 4-13 2-9 1.2% 0.8% 12 1.85 358
288 William & Mary CAA 94.7
319
104.0
217
.2533 4-11 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
281 American Pat 95.7
310
104.3
224
.2701 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% -0 2 60
280 Boston University Pat 98.3
264
107.2
280
.2703 8-8 8-8 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 44
274 Norfolk St. MEAC 95.6
315
103.8
213
.2788 9-10 6-6 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 1.97 100
273 Eastern Washington BSky 97.9
268
106.4
265
.2793 7-12 7-8 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.88 173
272 Idaho St. BSky 96.5
296
104.6
229
.2851 7-11 6-8 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 44
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
271 Kennesaw St. ASun 97.4
276
105.5
249
.2853 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 22.4 2.02 121
275 Western Michigan MAC 98.9
255
107.6
287
.2755 6-14 5-11 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
276 College of Charleston CAA 100.5
217
109.4
316
.2739 6-10 4-6 17.0% 18.6% 15.3 2.03 396
279 The Citadel SC 100.5
218
109.6
318
.2708 7-12 6-10 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.8 0
278 Jacksonville ASun 99.2
247
108.1
296
.2722 9-13 6-8 28.3% 24.3% 11.7 2.35 302
277 UMass Lowell AE 99.6
243
108.5
302
.2733 6-13 5-10 75.3% 64.6% 5.6 2.27 158
292 Lafayette Pat 99.7
242
109.9
323
.2460 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.2 1.94 0
293 Cal St. Northridge BW 100.7
212
111.1
341
.2444 6-14 4-10 67.6% 67.3% 11.1 2.27 0
308 FIU CUSA 93.8
329
105.0
239
.2146 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 14.3 1.81 188
307 Grambling St. SWAC 95.7
313
107.0
277
.2159 9-12 8-7 33.2% 32.1% 4.8 2.3 184
306 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.8
290
108.2
299
.2164 8-16 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 1.9 2.28 80
305 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 95.7
311
106.9
276
.2178 7-16 6-12 27.4% 25.1% 15.1 1.81 118
309 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.3
227
112.4
350
.2135 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 148
310 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
342
103.3
204
.2077 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
313 New Orleans Slnd 96.1
304
108.7
306
.1953 9-13 8-7 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
312 Northern Arizona BSky 98.2
266
110.5
332
.2030 5-15 4-10 66.7% 56.8% 14.1 1.97 169
311 Samford SC 96.8
289
108.8
309
.2069 4-12 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 8.7 1.61 175
304 UC San Diego BW 99.5
244
111.1
340
.2197 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.6 1.86 86
303 Army Pat 91.7
347
102.3
184
.2212 6-12 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.36 40
297 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 100.8
210
111.6
346
.2368 9-15 8-10 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.12 51
296 Howard MEAC 101.3
195
112.1
349
.2381 2-2 0-0 62.4% 62.3% 7.7 2.19 302
295 Charleston Southern BSth 96.3
298
106.5
268
.2397 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% 0 1.99 95
294 Florida A&M SWAC 93.6
333
103.4
205
.2413 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.84 82
298 Brown Ivy 90.7
354
100.5
147
.2355 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 0.6 1.14 61
299 Northern Illinois MAC 95.9
308
106.3
264
.2339 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.32 180
302 Coppin St. MEAC 94.5
322
105.3
244
.2238 7-14 5-7 33.4% 24.7% 0 1.62 227
301 USC Upstate BSth 97.9
270
108.8
308
.2300 7-14 6-10 61.7% 44.9% 13.1 2.26 135
300 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.0
234
111.0
339
.2304 5-10 2-5 39.5% 30.5% 4.4 2.1 166
180 Longwood BSth 101.0
205
102.0
177
.4735 15-10 13-7 61.0% 58.3% 7.4 2.11 148
179 Elon CAA 102.8
150
103.6
209
.4783 7-7 5-6 72.0% 67.3% 7.7 2.03 90
61 Wisconsin B10 103.2
143
92.3
13
.7820 14-13 8-12 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
60 UAB CUSA 108.5
42
97.1
85
.7828 20-5 13-5 61.3% 62.5% 26.7 2.96 340
59 Ohio MAC 108.9
39
97.4
89
.7840 16-5 13-3 80.9% 77.3% 6.7 2.22 56
58 Drake MVC 110.5
22
98.8
117
.7844 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 4.7 2.74 34
62 Nebraska B10 106.0
91
94.9
51
.7816 13-13 8-12 52.6% 47.8% 38.9 2.14 162
63 Rutgers B10 104.9
117
93.9
38
.7813 11-13 8-12 62.7% 55.4% 47.9 2.23 52
67 Mississippi St. SEC 106.9
68
96.0
67
.7755 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
66 Iowa B10 109.3
34
98.1
102
.7756 13-14 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
65 Nevada MWC 107.2
65
96.1
68
.7786 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
64 Syracuse ACC 109.2
35
97.8
95
.7804 14-9 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
57 Creighton BE 107.1
67
95.5
60
.7885 13-12 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 0
56 Arizona St. P12 108.5
45
96.6
75
.7922 14-10 10-8 36.1% 26.0% 65.1 1.87 326
50 Providence BE 107.4
57
95.0
53
.8046 13-12 9-10 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
49 Utah St. MWC 105.4
103
93.0
25
.8079 17-7 13-6 44.6% 39.9% 25.3 2.15 153
48 Virginia Tech ACC 107.8
52
95.1
54
.8093 14-8 8-7 60.4% 64.4% 24.1 2.13 92
47 Oklahoma B12 105.9
95
93.3
30
.8103 12-11 8-9 35.5% 28.5% 23.6 2.5 262
51 Stanford P12 104.3
126
92.6
17
.7980 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
52 Clemson ACC 104.9
115
93.2
28
.7959 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
55 San Francisco WCC 107.5
55
95.6
62
.7934 14-9 8-5 74.8% 79.2% 2.6 2.55 210
54 Colorado P12 106.2
90
94.4
44
.7936 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
53 UCF Amer 106.5
81
94.6
47
.7948 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 48.1 1.98 41
68 Penn St. B10 107.2
66
96.4
71
.7717 11-13 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 18.7 2.47 149
69 Saint Louis A10 105.9
92
95.5
61
.7664 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.42 127
84 Missouri St. MVC 106.9
70
97.9
98
.7333 13-7 11-7 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
83 TCU B12 107.6
53
98.5
112
.7339 13-12 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.7 1.9 436
82 Northern Iowa MVC 108.3
47
99.0
120
.7366 13-9 11-7 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
81 Liberty ASun 107.2
62
98.0
100
.7377 16-5 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
85 Cincinnati Amer 102.9
147
94.4
43
.7295 10-10 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
86 Buffalo MAC 106.2
89
97.5
90
.7288 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 29.8 2.34 55
89 Rhode Island A10 104.7
121
96.3
70
.7225 13-11 10-7 74.1% 70.2% 37.1 2.45 77
88 DePaul BE 105.3
107
96.8
81
.7233 8-9 7-8 33.7% 29.5% 42.2 1.88 211
87 Marquette BE 105.3
105
96.8
80
.7253 12-14 7-12 19.8% 17.3% 57.4 1.65 195
80 Murray St. OVC 106.9
69
97.5
91
.7424 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.49 249
79 Vanderbilt SEC 107.4
58
98.0
99
.7426 11-11 6-10 51.5% 55.3% 28.9 1.89 139
73 Virginia ACC 102.8
152
92.9
23
.7618 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
72 Belmont OVC 108.5
41
98.0
101
.7629 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
71 Boise St. MWC 106.6
76
96.2
69
.7640 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
70 Mississippi SEC 103.9
133
93.7
36
.7659 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
74 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.0
37
98.6
113
.7610 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.3 173
75 Georgia Tech ACC 104.4
123
94.5
45
.7597 12-11 8-9 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
78 Butler BE 105.8
96
95.9
65
.7565 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
77 North Carolina St. ACC 105.8
97
95.8
64
.7570 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
76 VCU A10 102.9
149
93.1
26
.7591 14-9 8-6 49.4% 45.3% 39 1.95 83
46 Colorado St. MWC 110.2
25
97.1
86
.8110 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
45 Washington St. P12 106.6
74
93.8
37
.8130 17-10 11-9 61.4% 58.2% 22.8 1.94 115
16 St. Bonaventure A10 110.7
20
92.8
21
.8847 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.55 68
15 Tennessee SEC 110.2
26
91.6
7
.8928 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.2 1.53 66
14 Villanova BE 114.9
4
95.3
58
.8963 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
13 Houston Amer 110.3
24
91.4
4
.8972 18-5 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
17 Kentucky SEC 113.0
12
94.8
50
.8821 15-9 10-7 44.9% 40.8% 72.4 1.91 283
18 Connecticut BE 111.4
18
93.7
35
.8806 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
22 Auburn SEC 110.1
27
93.1
27
.8729 18-9 11-7 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
21 Maryland B10 109.4
31
92.5
15
.8741 16-10 11-9 45.5% 45.1% 66.2 1.85 157
20 Xavier BE 112.3
14
94.8
49
.8751 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
19 Texas Tech B12 108.8
40
91.5
6
.8791 18-8 10-7 43.6% 42.6% 27.7 2.41 276
12 Ohio St. B10 115.0
3
95.1
55
.8992 17-9 13-7 63.3% 60.8% 63.3 2.56 146
11 Memphis Amer 109.1
36
89.9
1
.9026 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
5 Kansas B12 114.0
9
92.2
11
.9199 18-8 12-6 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
4 Illinois B10 114.4
7
92.2
12
.9230 18-8 13-7 63.4% 59.4% 63.9 2.12 92
3 Texas B12 113.8
10
91.4
5
.9255 18-6 12-5 37.8% 38.8% 81.3 2.52 479
2 UCLA P12 117.6
2
92.5
16
.9404 20-5 15-4 92.9% 91.4% 84.7 2.05 55
6 Michigan B10 112.4
13
90.9
2
.9197 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
7 Purdue B10 113.1
11
92.0
9
.9148 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
10 Alabama SEC 111.9
16
92.1
10
.9032 20-7 12-6 46.3% 47.9% 71.4 1.43 112
9 Baylor B12 114.5
6
93.6
34
.9111 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
8 Duke ACC 114.6
5
93.4
31
.9135 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
23 Michigan St. B10 109.4
32
92.9
24
.8671 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 73.7 1.79 107
24 Florida SEC 110.0
29
93.5
33
.8659 13-8 10-6 40.2% 42.3% 40.7 2.46 208
39 Northwestern B10 106.7
73
93.4
32
.8213 12-11 9-11 73.8% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
38 Oregon P12 110.7
21
96.4
72
.8302 16-8 11-7 39.3% 27.1% 68.3 2.08 273
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
37 Saint Mary's WCC 105.3
106
91.7
8
.8304 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
36 BYU WCC 109.4
33
95.2
56
.8320 15-8 8-5 61.9% 58.2% 37.3 2.37 96
40 Seton Hall BE 108.1
48
94.7
48
.8205 14-11 10-9 54.5% 48.0% 67.8 2.44 147
41 Oklahoma St. B12 105.6
99
92.6
18
.8192 14-11 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 65.6 1.89 115
44 Wichita St. Amer 107.2
64
94.3
42
.8134 10-7 8-5 64.2% 66.1% 24.7 2.04 81
43 LSU SEC 112.0
15
98.5
111
.8145 15-9 9-8 33.4% 22.6% 82 1.43 181
42 Richmond A10 110.0
28
96.5
74
.8187 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
35 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.8
72
92.8
22
.8337 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
34 San Diego St. MWC 106.4
87
92.4
14
.8340 16-7 12-5 61.0% 57.0% 30.7 2.72 145
28 Arkansas SEC 108.5
43
92.7
20
.8590 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
27 Florida St. ACC 108.5
44
92.7
19
.8596 14-6 10-5 39.0% 30.1% 48.5 1.94 155
26 Louisville ACC 111.6
17
94.9
52
.8653 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 60.2 1.99 304
25 North Carolina ACC 110.5
23
94.0
39
.8659 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 89 1.53 141
29 Notre Dame ACC 114.4
8
98.2
105
.8526 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
30 Indiana B10 109.5
30
94.1
40
.8510 15-12 11-9 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
33 Arizona P12 109.0
38
94.5
46
.8369 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.24 141
32 USC P12 108.0
50
93.3
29
.8439 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 65.1 2.06 51
31 West Virginia B12 110.9
19
95.8
63
.8440 15-11 9-8 48.7% 42.3% 29 2.2 97
90 Miami FL ACC 108.4
46
99.8
132
.7219 12-12 8-11 49.5% 50.6% 67.8 2.12 161
91 Washington P12 107.4
59
98.9
118
.7202 11-14 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 50.3 2.41 357
150 East Carolina Amer 102.4
166
100.5
148
.5526 8-9 4-8 46.8% 45.1% 20.8 2.46 193
149 Texas A&M SEC 101.0
203
99.2
123
.5527 7-10 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 54.5 1.05 208
148 UTEP CUSA 100.5
219
98.7
114
.5531 9-11 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 30.1 2.23 110
147 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
170
100.4
145
.5557 12-11 8-8 46.2% 46.7% 39.3 2.33 336
151 Duquesne A10 99.9
235
98.1
103
.5521 8-8 7-7 42.4% 29.0% 14.1 1.78 216
152 South Dakota Sum 106.6
75
104.7
232
.5518 13-9 10-5 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.17 97
156 Delaware CAA 102.4
167
100.8
152
.5461 9-4 7-2 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
155 George Mason A10 101.8
181
100.2
140
.5479 10-9 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.27 201
154 California P12 101.2
197
99.5
128
.5482 9-17 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.7 1.95 52
153 Wofford SC 103.0
146
101.2
161
.5507 13-8 11-6 68.3% 60.2% 4.1 1.61 38
146 UNC Greensboro SC 101.1
198
99.2
122
.5564 17-9 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 24.1 2.53 146
145 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
119
102.5
188
.5621 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.7 2.44 251
139 Indiana St. MVC 101.4
190
98.9
119
.5713 10-12 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 10.2 1.55 129
138 Seattle WAC 103.9
131
101.1
160
.5772 10-7 5-4 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 92
137 North Texas CUSA 99.4
246
96.5
73
.5853 11-10 7-7 39.9% 35.4% 17.5 1.9 107
136 Vermont AE 102.7
159
99.7
130
.5854 10-4 10-4 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
140 Winthrop BSth 102.7
155
100.3
142
.5700 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
141 Minnesota B10 101.1
199
98.8
116
.5676 9-18 4-16 7.8% 5.8% 16.7 2.41 252
144 Navy Pat 103.8
134
101.6
170
.5632 12-5 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.22 0
143 Northern Kentucky Horz 104.5
122
102.2
183
.5637 15-8 12-6 85.2% 90.8% 3.9 2.48 68
142 Yale Ivy 102.4
169
100.1
139
.5640 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 3.1 1.63 31
157 Oral Roberts Sum 107.4
56
105.9
255
.5413 11-9 11-4 69.5% 65.3% 16.8 1.8 131
158 Valparaiso MVC 105.0
114
103.7
210
.5351 10-15 8-10 35.0% 32.0% 16.8 1.93 274
173 Penn Ivy 96.7
292
96.7
79
.4984 0-0 0-0 35.4% 33.8% 0 1.5 155
172 Iowa St. B12 101.8
185
101.7
172
.5027 6-17 3-15 40.7% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
171 Rice CUSA 107.6
54
107.5
284
.5031 10-12 6-10 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 173
170 Appalachian St. SB 101.5
188
101.3
164
.5060 11-9 9-6 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.34 0
174 Marshall CUSA 101.6
186
101.9
176
.4927 10-11 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.7 1.58 0
175 Bryant NEC 105.0
113
105.2
243
.4927 13-7 12-4 76.1% 73.2% 3.7 2.44 151
178 Prairie View A&M SWAC 100.5
222
100.9
155
.4876 13-5 11-2 59.6% 57.4% 8.6 2.73 256
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
177 Merrimack NEC 97.3
278
97.7
93
.4899 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 1.99 0
176 Jacksonville St. ASun 100.7
213
101.0
158
.4909 12-11 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.33 128
169 Campbell BSth 103.8
135
103.3
203
.5143 14-8 11-6 93.0% 94.7% 0 2.35 0
168 Tarleton St. WAC 100.5
220
99.9
136
.5161 8-7 6-6 76.8% 67.5% 0 1.76 97
162 Pittsburgh ACC 100.2
231
99.1
121
.5308 7-14 4-12 40.5% 30.4% 32.2 1.77 151
161 Bradley MVC 102.5
162
101.3
165
.5315 11-14 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 3 1.8 114
160 Louisiana Lafayette SB 105.4
102
104.3
222
.5322 14-8 11-6 49.6% 36.6% 37.8 2.47 349
159 Sam Houston St. WAC 102.8
154
101.6
171
.5323 15-8 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 16.3 2.42 154
163 Saint Peter's MAAC 97.0
286
95.9
66
.5306 14-8 12-5 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
164 Pepperdine WCC 101.8
180
100.8
153
.5294 8-12 4-9 44.0% 35.1% 21.6 2.26 134
167 UNLV MWC 105.5
101
104.9
236
.5164 9-14 7-11 32.0% 28.6% 36.9 2.6 360
166 James Madison CAA 105.6
98
104.9
235
.5203 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
165 Weber St. BSky 106.5
79
105.5
248
.5284 12-8 10-6 61.9% 59.0% 14.9 2.41 182
135 Grand Canyon WAC 105.6
100
102.3
185
.5894 10-8 7-5 40.2% 38.5% 33.6 2.27 252
134 Montana BSky 102.8
151
99.6
129
.5895 14-8 13-5 89.6% 85.6% -0 1.78 77
106 Oregon St. P12 105.4
104
99.4
127
.6626 11-14 7-13 53.9% 53.8% 27.5 2.34 139
105 Santa Clara WCC 105.3
108
99.3
124
.6628 9-7 4-5 66.1% 65.7% 19.3 2.41 117
104 Colgate Pat 106.6
77
100.3
143
.6675 10-2 10-2 70.5% 62.5% -0 2.16 0
103 New Mexico St. WAC 107.9
51
101.4
166
.6730 8-5 7-5 63.4% 62.2% 16.7 2.52 257
107 Wright St. Horz 102.4
168
96.6
77
.6602 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
108 Northeastern CAA 102.4
163
96.9
82
.6550 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
111 Dayton A10 102.4
171
97.0
84
.6495 11-10 8-8 46.4% 34.0% 54.6 1.25 114
110 Wyoming MWC 108.1
49
102.4
186
.6503 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 7.8 1.95 55
109 Massachusetts A10 106.4
85
100.7
151
.6526 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
102 Georgetown BE 103.6
139
97.2
87
.6755 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
101 Iona MAAC 106.4
83
99.8
134
.6759 9-4 7-2 46.2% 37.9% 25 2.22 248
95 Wake Forest ACC 106.4
84
98.4
110
.7111 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
94 St. John's BE 104.9
116
96.9
83
.7128 13-13 7-12 39.4% 44.5% 33.4 2.06 206
93 UC Riverside BW 105.9
94
97.9
97
.7129 15-5 11-3 68.8% 61.3% 18.2 2.31 132
92 Kansas St. B12 102.1
176
94.2
41
.7168 13-13 6-12 71.8% 70.1% 55.4 1.89 187
96 SMU Amer 107.2
63
99.3
125
.7068 9-8 6-7 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 236
97 Tulsa Amer 104.0
130
96.6
76
.7017 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 35.4 2.29 209
100 Western Kentucky CUSA 104.3
125
97.8
96
.6769 14-10 10-4 35.7% 31.7% 45.6 2.2 198
99 Louisiana Tech CUSA 101.9
179
95.4
59
.6803 16-9 10-6 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
98 UC Irvine BW 102.4
165
95.2
57
.6971 15-7 12-4 79.1% 80.1% 3.3 1.64 25
112 Tulane Amer 102.9
148
97.6
92
.6476 11-11 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
113 Florida Atlantic CUSA 103.5
141
98.2
104
.6464 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 12.5 1.98 116
128 Georgia St. SB 106.5
78
102.6
190
.6068 11-6 8-4 75.8% 72.3% 35.4 2.25 140
127 Southern Miss CUSA 102.7
158
98.7
115
.6130 13-9 10-7 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.42 110
126 Davidson A10 106.4
82
102.2
182
.6149 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40 1.97 47
125 Akron MAC 104.2
128
100.0
138
.6153 12-8 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.2 2.44 126
129 Miami OH MAC 106.4
88
102.6
191
.6011 14-8 11-7 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.49 27
130 Boston College ACC 103.7
138
100.2
141
.5964 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 36.2 1.8 119
133 Missouri SEC 101.5
189
98.3
108
.5895 7-16 5-11 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
132 Morehead St. OVC 105.2
109
101.8
175
.5922 15-10 13-7 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.15 252
131 Cleveland St. Horz 107.3
60
103.8
212
.5958 15-8 14-6 70.9% 73.8% 0 2.72 166
124 South Dakota St. Sum 107.2
61
102.8
193
.6184 12-8 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.8 2.27 0
123 Utah P12 104.3
127
99.9
135
.6201 9-14 6-13 27.3% 22.9% 39.8 2.24 267
117 Southern Utah BSky 106.5
80
101.4
167
.6365 12-5 11-3 91.4% 92.1% 11.1 2.77 79
116 Old Dominion CUSA 104.8
118
99.8
133
.6380 12-9 9-7 43.4% 39.7% 31.2 2.26 197
115 UC Santa Barbara BW 106.8
71
101.5
169
.6425 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 77
114 Fresno St. MWC 105.9
93
100.6
149
.6449 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
118 Southern Illinois MVC 103.1
145
98.3
107
.6334 13-10 9-9 98.4% 98.8% 0 1.94 46
119 Toledo MAC 105.2
110
100.4
146
.6295 17-10 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 1.94 55
122 Furman SC 102.7
160
98.3
106
.6237 14-7 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
121 South Carolina SEC 101.1
200
96.7
78
.6256 8-12 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
120 Temple Amer 101.8
183
97.3
88
.6277 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.3
1
91.2
3
.9639 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.