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#236 - Northern Arizona (16-14)

Shane BurcarBig Sky Conference (10-10)

Tourney ResultsTeam HistoryTrends

Team:

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Note: Historical Teamcast disregards games after Selection Sunday but uses final T-Rank

Projected T-Rank:
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T-Ranketology Forecast

Date Loc Rk Opponent Result Win/loss +/-
Wed 11-06 A 12 (I)Arizona 00
Fri 11-15 H 0 (IV)SAGU American Indian 00
Wed 11-20 H 0 (IV)Benedictine Mesa 00
Sat 11-30 H 180 (IV)South Dakota 00
Wed 12-04 H 234 (IV)UC Davis 00
Sun 12-08 N 223 (IV)Nebraska Omaha 00
Sat 12-14 A 264 (IV)Utah Valley 00
Thu 12-19 A 218 (III)UC Riverside 00
Sat 12-21 A 128 (II)Pepperdine 00
Sat 12-28 A 141 (III)Montana 00
Mon 12-30 A 225 (III)Montana St. 00
Sat 01-04 H 283 (IV)Weber St. 00
Thu 01-09 A 187 (III)Sacramento St. 00
Sat 01-11 H 296 (IV)Idaho St. 00
Thu 01-16 A 184 (III)Southern Utah 00
Sat 01-18 A 93 (II)Northern Colorado 00
Sat 01-25 H 170 (IV)Portland St. 00
Mon 01-27 H 187 (IV)Sacramento St. 00
Sat 02-01 H 319 (IV)Idaho 00
Mon 02-03 H 150 (III)Eastern Washington 00
Thu 02-06 A 296 (IV)Idaho St. 00
Sat 02-08 A 283 (IV)Weber St. 00
Thu 02-13 H 93 (III)Northern Colorado 00
Sat 02-15 H 184 (IV)Southern Utah 00
Thu 02-20 A 319 (IV)Idaho 00
Sat 02-22 A 150 (II)Eastern Washington 00
Thu 02-27 H 141 (III)Montana 00
Sat 02-29 H 225 (IV)Montana St. 00
Thu 03-05 A 170 (III)Portland St. 00
Big Sky Conference Tournament
Wed 03-11 N 296 (IV)Idaho St. 00
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Modified projected record: 16-14 (10-10)

Record in Committee Buckets
Q1Q2Q3Q4
0-11-23-610-5

T-Ranketology Teamcast

SeedTeamConfNETEloResWABPowerChangeBid%
1Kansas*** 1B1221111.00100.0
1Gonzaga*** 1WCC121532.30100.0
1Baylor 1B1255224.30100.0
1San Diego St. 2MWC442587.3099.9
2Dayton*** 1A10332965.0099.9
2Michigan St.*** 3B107127104.7099.9
2Villanova*** 2BE1373714.7099.8
2Creighton 2BE1184917.0099.8
3Florida St.*** 2ACC10616510.7099.8
3Duke 3ACC61322115.0099.8
3Oregon*** 4P121211111315.7099.7
3Maryland 3B10181414412.3099.7
4Seton Hall 3BE151991419.0099.7
4Kentucky*** 4SEC21951221.3099.5
4Ohio St. 5B10162618198.0099.5
4Wisconsin 4B10231661818.7099.4
5Butler 5BE192381625.3099.3
5Louisville 4ACC817401711.7099.3
5West Virginia 6B121733212213.7099.1
5Michigan 6B102448122618.7098.9
6BYU 5WCC918422716.3098.8
6Penn St. 6B103540132132.7097.6
6Auburn 5SEC2720261528.7097.5
6Iowa 6B103436192326.7096.5
7Illinois 7B103930172430.0096.2
7Virginia 7ACC4410202033.0094.3
7Arizona 7P121452504323.0094.2
7Providence 8BE3724104637.3093.8
8Rutgers 9B103049353429.3093.6
8Saint Mary's 8WCC3122372539.0093.2
8Houston 7Amer2021652815.0092.6
8Marquette 9BE2669313634.0090.5
9Colorado 8P122567274449.7087.7
9Oklahoma 10B124642303038.7086.0
9LSU 8SEC2838474235.7082.7
9Florida 9SEC2956444927.7082.0
10Arizona St. 10P125451244064.3079.2
10Indiana 10B105663333234.3068.3
10Utah St.*** 11MWC4027633737.0067.5
10Texas Tech 10B122273565526.3066.0
11Richmond 11A103825583847.3061.3
11USC 9P124531493356.3061.2
11Wichita St. 11Amer4128673136.7059.8
11East Tennessee St.*** 11SC3615892949.0052.1
11Texas F4OB127061323960.3050.9
11Xavier F4OBE4771454747.7042.1
12Cincinnati*** 12Amer5132694842.3031.7
12Stephen F. Austin*** 12Slnd77299735107.001.2
12Yale*** 12Ivy69411105466.000.8
12Liberty*** 12ASun67451375375.000.3
13Vermont*** 13AE79551137066.000.1
13Akron*** 13MAC73391246182.700.1
13Louisiana Tech*** CUSA87651056980.000.1
13New Mexico St.*** 13WAC104351096577.300.0
14Belmont*** 14OVC101441287689.700.0
14Bradley*** 14MVC10276120107103.000.0
14Hofstra*** 14CAA1185415986102.300.0
14Eastern Washington*** 15BSky1356815073118.000.0
15North Dakota St.*** 15Sum1307014790112.300.0
15Texas St.*** SB12090149119100.300.0
15UC Irvine*** 14BW114102186130107.700.0
15Winthrop*** 16BSth148114117120134.300.0
16Northern Kentucky*** 15Horz150110177111132.300.0
16Boston University*** 16Pat160126153179161.000.0
16Siena*** 16MAAC151106196141150.000.0
16Prairie View A&M*** 16SWAC201193197176218.700.0
16Robert Morris*** 16NEC203164233204202.700.0
16North Carolina Central*** 16MEAC256207205187263.700.0
Last Four BYES NET Elo Res WAB Power Chg Bid%
Arizona St. 10P125451244064.3079.2
Indiana 10B105663333234.3068.3
Texas Tech 10B122273565526.3066.0
Richmond 11A103825583847.3061.3
Last Four IN NET Elo Res WAB Power Chg Bid%
USC 9P124531493356.3061.2
Wichita St. 11Amer4128673136.7059.8
Texas F4OB127061323960.3050.9
Xavier F4OBE4771454747.7042.1
First Teams OUT NET Elo Res WAB Power Chg Bid%
1Mississippi St. SEC5050605645.3025.2
2N.C. State ACC5360485745.0023.6
3UCLA 11P127646236276.0019.8
4Stanford F4OP123385516659.7018.6
5Saint Louis A104937735072.0014.9
6Oklahoma St. B126457465249.7014.5
7Northern Iowa F4OMVC4834854167.7014.4
8Arkansas SEC4382626448.7010.3
9Memphis Amer5958715157.0010.1
10Purdue B103274345822.0010.0
11Rhode Island A105743784567.009.8
12Oregon St. P127189288880.704.0
13Notre Dame ACC5264876353.303.0
14Connecticut Amer6059887553.001.7
15South Carolina SEC6687667969.001.0
16Syracuse ACC6180688547.301.0
17St. John's BE6293418068.300.9
18Tennessee SEC6388537462.000.8
19Tulsa Amer7853846082.000.7
20Minnesota B104295526734.000.3
21Furman SC74471155979.000.3
22San Francisco WCC8366917773.700.1
23Clemson ACC8191369366.000.1
24VCU A10681131049778.300.1
25Boise St. MWC9079867879.300.1
26SMU Amer8898838193.300.1
27UNC Greensboro SC8281988388.700.0
28Duquesne A109478926898.300.0
29Alabama SEC551017210264.300.0
30Utah P12851174389110.700.0
31Georgetown BE65132398477.700.0
32Harvard Ivy1077210672102.700.0
33DePaul BE86116388296.300.0
34North Texas 13CUSA95771229690.700.0
35Nevada MWC89921359984.700.0
36Washington P12581425512363.300.0
37Davidson A10759610212466.700.0
38Loyola Chicago MVC9884119110102.300.0
39Pacific WCC1108310787126.300.0
40Colorado St. MWC10610712792114.700.0
41Texas A&M SEC1139959104115.700.0
42TCU B1293134619485.300.0
43Indiana St. MVC105100112109133.000.0
44Virginia Tech ACC921677010697.000.0
45St. Bonaventure A10122109108113125.700.0
46Missouri SEC841207411489.300.0
47Western Kentucky CUSA1238614091109.300.0
48Northern Colorado BSky1007517910080.000.0
49Georgia SEC911287710893.000.0
50Colgate Pat121105132105120.300.0
51Miami FL ACC103119769595.700.0
52UNLV MWC10810399140101.000.0
53Penn Ivy14912994112135.700.0
54Kent St. MAC117139133134127.000.0
55Pittsburgh ACC10916275117108.300.0
56North Carolina ACC801335412272.300.0
57Washington St. P1211514557138131.300.0
58Wright St. Horz1279415698132.300.0
59New Mexico MWC14317495135141.700.0
60Ball St. MAC112122130171115.700.0
61Mississippi SEC971527912999.300.0
62Santa Clara WCC145172100126164.300.0
63UCF Amer124121114127117.000.0
64South Dakota St. Sum126111152115131.700.0
65Little Rock 15SB14097139101145.300.0
66Buffalo MAC146115131136146.700.0
67Murray St. OVC133104167118117.300.0
68Bowling Green MAC159112125103171.300.0
69Western Carolina SC136141138128152.300.0
70Drake MVC156151123146164.000.0
71Chattanooga SC153127148150141.300.0
72Georgia Southern SB147130168155131.300.0
73Georgia St. SB134156181154131.700.0
74Towson CAA154124136160155.000.0
75Montana BSky141137157157154.700.0
76Temple Amer116181103153115.700.0
77Wake Forest ACC11115981143110.000.0
78William & Mary CAA165125155125191.300.0
79Valparaiso MVC138123126174153.000.0
80Austin Peay OVC163138162142164.300.0
81Radford BSth183153134144172.700.0
82South Alabama SB169108178139153.300.0
83North Florida ASun175135175121160.000.0
84Iowa St. B12961838213192.700.0
85UC Santa Barbara BW177136171133157.700.0
86George Mason A10167186111158169.700.0
87Delaware CAA180118160137176.000.0
88South Florida Amer125147101170119.300.0
89Pepperdine WCC131140164149137.000.0
90Northern Illinois MAC174158142168178.700.0
91Charleston CAA152179145173167.700.0
92Wofford SC155157129182145.700.0
93California P1213914480145155.300.0
94Missouri St. MVC119143143198122.300.0
95Toledo MAC137171158196146.300.0
96Charlotte CUSA176161174161174.000.0
97Nicholls St. Slnd192150182116197.700.0
98FIU CUSA170155188148166.000.0
99Massachusetts A10132168121167162.700.0
100Saint Francis NEC178131214132171.300.0
101South Dakota Sum182177198163178.300.0
102Stony Brook AE189192192165188.000.0
103Abilene Christian Slnd194146165152180.000.0
104Rider MAAC185176190175177.000.0
105Ohio MAC158165141184160.000.0
106Oral Roberts Sum144184166164146.300.0
107Marshall CUSA172149161185144.300.0
108Kansas St. B12991879616991.000.0
109La Salle A10171185146162179.000.0
110Portland St. BSky179148185186168.700.0
111UAB CUSA205166187166184.700.0
112Northeastern CAA128170243226139.000.0
113Princeton Ivy166160195172151.000.0
114Boston College ACC15719093159168.300.0
115Mercer SC187169118200197.700.0
116Southern Illinois MVC162182163192186.000.0
117Appalachian St. SB181173199180180.300.0
118Brown Ivy225178173151210.300.0
119Monmouth MAAC209191226183203.700.0
120Sacred Heart NEC190175247191196.700.0
121Hawaii BW215211217181212.300.0
122Saint Peter's MAAC213154254178195.300.0
123Southern Utah BSky184200200205164.700.0
124Sacramento St. BSky186202183202185.300.0
125Lafayette Pat223180259177220.000.0
126Tulane Amer168220116201191.300.0
127UTEP CUSA195204191190194.000.0
128Vanderbilt SEC14222290213157.000.0
129UT Arlington SB129199227219145.700.0
130American Pat197194237217204.700.0
131Florida Atlantic CUSA193198210194201.300.0
132Eastern Michigan MAC191212154203206.300.0
133Arkansas St. SB202238184214231.000.0
134Coastal Carolina SB188206212224190.300.0
135Nebraska Omaha Sum234208176193229.300.0
136Northern Arizona BSky227215218199221.000.0
137Sam Houston St. Slnd228214246188222.300.0
138Youngstown St. Horz232217207216228.000.0
139Montana St. BSky229210202207220.000.0
140Green Bay Horz221197223211209.000.0
141Old Dominion CUSA173213206239179.300.0
142Illinois Chicago Horz217189267247204.000.0
143UC Riverside BW210231255227218.000.0
144Gardner Webb BSth212203249233208.700.0
145Fresno St. MWC161221189234163.000.0
146Northwestern B10164223144197133.000.0
147UMKC WAC252205251189215.300.0
148Hartford AE246209252228247.700.0
149Central Michigan MAC198250172235209.700.0
150Tennessee St. OVC270228232206252.700.0
151Cal St. Northridge BW233196194229227.700.0
152Eastern Illinois OVC241224283222223.700.0
153North Carolina A&T MEAC263225225209281.000.0
154Seattle WAC226226235210222.300.0
155Lipscomb ASun254201241208231.000.0
156Southern SWAC265195215221251.700.0
157Rice CUSA214227274223215.700.0
158Dartmouth Ivy211244224244208.300.0
159Texas Southern SWAC276236220195278.300.0
160Quinnipiac MAAC245247286245249.000.0
161New Hampshire AE238245256230251.000.0
162Miami OH MAC206229204260212.300.0
163Lamar Slnd267216263218242.000.0
164Louisiana SB230230216258228.700.0
165Air Force MWC220241221249201.300.0
166East Carolina Amer208242219251217.300.0
167George Washington A10219256222250242.700.0
168Norfolk St. MEAC247233262241263.700.0
169Army Pat266232273237263.000.0
170UTSA CUSA204251238256217.300.0
171Loyola Marymount WCC207246180243210.300.0
172Navy Pat243263272246263.000.0
173UC Davis BW218234248264229.300.0
174UMBC AE236235250254249.700.0
175North Dakota Sum249219240238228.300.0
176Drexel CAA237264211265248.000.0
177Bryant NEC242262291262240.300.0
178Western Michigan MAC235254209253242.700.0
179Iona MAAC224252289267219.700.0
180Oakland Horz222243257269231.000.0
181Illinois St. MVC196259193278224.300.0
182Bethune Cookman MEAC286255269215286.300.0
183UT Rio Grande Valley WAC260237234225238.700.0
184Loyola MD Pat248260285263263.300.0
185Nebraska B10199270169220169.000.0
186Eastern Kentucky OVC291218244240260.300.0
187Stetson ASun294253266248294.000.0
188Campbell BSth258274314268259.300.0
189Bucknell Pat239249292283236.000.0
190Grand Canyon WAC278257264255266.000.0
191Northwestern St. Slnd301240275231280.700.0
192Grambling St. SWAC300265276232306.700.0
193LIU NEC272261287270268.000.0
194Jackson St. SWAC289239265252277.300.0
195Jacksonville ASun251266294266257.700.0
196UNC Asheville BSth277276309259296.000.0
197Manhattan MAAC269286304282269.700.0
198Albany AE268282300280279.300.0
199San Diego WCC231283201273237.300.0
200Purdue Fort Wayne Sum282269261275265.000.0
201McNeese St. Slnd295281297257272.000.0
202Alcorn St. SWAC324275278236318.700.0
203UMass Lowell AE257277329292267.000.0
204Louisiana Monroe SB255285213279263.300.0
205Weber St. BSky273278236281268.000.0
206Elon CAA259248253296271.000.0
207Canisius MAAC253288330312258.000.0
208Morgan St. MEAC313298303261324.700.0
209Cal St. Fullerton BW261287271286270.000.0
210Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd314280284277305.000.0
211Milwaukee Horz262304315288277.700.0
212Evansville MVC264321170316298.300.0
213Fordham A10244299258307244.300.0
214Jacksonville St. OVC284295308284266.700.0
215Hampton BSth308267299285288.300.0
216Charleston Southern BSth316302312274313.700.0
217Utah Valley WAC250292324291265.000.0
218Cal St. Bakersfield WAC283293293272260.700.0
219St. Francis NY NEC305291316289302.700.0
220Long Beach St. BW306290228271301.700.0
221Saint Joseph's A10240300151313267.000.0
222Fairfield MAAC285294317308301.000.0
223Fairleigh Dickinson NEC281273320295282.000.0
224Wyoming MWC271272208299252.000.0
225Longwood BSth302284326300315.700.0
226Niagara MAAC309268313298294.700.0
227Cleveland St. Horz304296239304314.300.0
228Morehead St. OVC321306311290301.000.0
229Lehigh Pat288271288309287.300.0
230Portland WCC275323230297299.300.0
231Central Arkansas Slnd315289268276293.700.0
232James Madison CAA280320290314303.000.0
233Cornell Ivy293297279287271.000.0
234USC Upstate BSth319301302306325.700.0
235Coppin St. MEAC322307322310328.000.0
236Troy SB274315296322299.700.0
237San Jose St. MWC287317231302309.300.0
238Mount St. Mary's NEC299305334319300.700.0
239Southern Miss CUSA290303277294290.700.0
240South Carolina St. MEAC329333328293340.300.0
241NJIT ASun310312321305295.000.0
242UNC Wilmington CAA297308306315307.700.0
243Idaho St. BSky279314307325288.300.0
244Binghamton AE332316331301331.300.0
245Maine AE318309295317310.300.0
246VMI SC292310280335258.700.0
247Samford SC325318229318315.000.0
248Middle Tennessee CUSA296319260326288.700.0
249Florida Gulf Coast ASun312313323323307.000.0
250Tennessee Martin OVC338328318303330.300.0
251Wagner NEC328324340320331.300.0
252Presbyterian BSth330326345333335.000.0
253Tennessee Tech OVC331322333330329.300.0
254New Orleans Slnd335332319311320.000.0
255Cal Poly BW323325305321318.000.0
256Idaho BSky320327301341326.700.0
257Columbia Ivy317334281329299.300.0
258Alabama A&M SWAC340335338331343.300.0
259Marist MAAC311337351345320.700.0
260Denver Sum326329310336315.300.0
261High Point BSth333331325339338.700.0
262Alabama St. SWAC337330332328335.300.0
263Western Illinois Sum334343327327332.000.0
264SIU Edwardsville OVC336336337338333.300.0
265Incarnate Word Slnd346338341334345.000.0
266IU Indy Horz327340335343330.000.0
267Southeastern Louisiana Slnd341339336340339.000.0
268The Citadel SC339342282332329.300.0
269Southeast Missouri St. OVC342344342342339.000.0
270Houston Christian Slnd344341339337340.300.0
271Delaware St. MEAC345345353351346.000.0
272Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC348349343344348.300.0
273Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC350350347347350.000.0
274Central Connecticut NEC347346348349346.700.0
275Mississippi Valley St. SWAC351347346350351.700.0
276Chicago St. WAC353351349346353.000.0
277Holy Cross Pat343348344352344.000.0
278Howard MEAC349352352353349.000.0
279Kennesaw St. ASun352353350348351.000.0

Compiled by Bart Torvik from secret data and sacred formulas. 339