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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
341 Eastern Michigan MAC 91.7
348
108.1
295
.1305 3-12 3-11 23.1% 21.2% 0 1.88 116
166 UTEP CUSA 99.4
242
98.8
116
.5168 8-12 8-8 75.6% 71.6% 32 2.36 38
60 UCF Amer 106.1
91
94.7
49
.7878 11-10 10-8 83.0% 83.2% 51.4 2.08 41
143 Cleveland St. Horz 107.6
52
104.9
237
.5722 14-9 13-7 70.9% 73.8% 0 2.85 154
278 Eastern Washington BSky 98.3
263
106.8
272
.2777 7-12 7-8 19.9% 14.9% 0 1.83 121
327 Alcorn St. SWAC 95.7
314
109.8
320
.1717 6-12 6-7 41.4% 38.3% 8.9 2.41 207
347 Wagner NEC 91.7
347
110.9
334
.1020 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 1.7 124
190 Oakland Horz 104.4
119
106.2
260
.4532 12-15 11-9 61.4% 60.7% 13.5 2.05 98
329 Central Arkansas ASun 96.7
294
111.0
337
.1693 7-16 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 7.3 2.2 91
121 Akron MAC 104.4
120
99.7
132
.6309 12-8 12-7 61.4% 51.4% 24.2 2.44 126
162 Oral Roberts Sum 106.1
92
105.3
242
.5223 11-9 10-5 66.8% 58.9% 16.7 2 131
126 Morehead St. OVC 105.6
105
101.5
167
.6121 15-10 14-6 56.3% 57.3% 0 2.25 220
250 Saint Joseph's A10 98.8
253
105.0
238
.3319 4-14 3-9 73.0% 65.6% 31.2 2.13 50
282 Texas Southern SWAC 97.5
275
106.7
270
.2627 10-11 9-5 46.2% 45.1% 5.4 2.69 171
344 Northwestern St. Slnd 93.6
330
111.7
346
.1160 7-19 6-10 35.8% 38.0% -0 1.7 0
346 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 93.9
328
113.2
356
.1042 6-19 6-11 68.2% 62.5% 0 2.13 71
131 Montana BSky 103.1
145
99.5
129
.6015 14-8 13-5 89.6% 85.6% 0 1.82 45
27 Notre Dame ACC 114.5
7
98.1
103
.8556 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65 147
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 84.5
358
112.7
354
.0351 2-23 2-14 44.2% 37.3% 0 2.33 13
29 Kentucky SEC 111.2
17
95.5
60
.8527 13-11 9-8 30.3% 25.4% 79.4 1.55 280
307 Northern Arizona BSky 98.4
261
110.2
326
.2138 6-14 5-9 68.7% 58.4% 14.1 1.97 169
272 UMass Lowell AE 99.8
236
108.2
296
.2841 6-13 6-9 75.3% 64.6% 6.2 2.2 125
291 Southern SWAC 96.8
289
106.6
268
.2494 9-9 8-6 44.7% 34.6% 7.2 2.53 156
253 Sacred Heart NEC 101.7
184
108.4
300
.3246 9-8 9-7 83.3% 85.8% -0 1.7 21
71 Boise St. MWC 106.7
81
96.2
70
.7665 15-9 13-7 72.9% 67.2% 43.5 2.65 0
255 Tennessee Tech OVC 101.5
194
108.3
299
.3214 10-17 8-12 74.3% 69.4% 17.4 2.2 233
261 Bellarmine ASun 101.4
196
108.4
302
.3155 8-9 6-7 56.2% 53.5% 0 2.27 0
195 Mount St. Mary's NEC 99.8
238
101.8
175
.4423 13-9 12-6 79.3% 71.0% 0.4 2.25 92
183 San Diego WCC 100.6
219
101.5
169
.4730 4-9 3-6 29.4% 29.6% 18.7 2.45 216
111 Northeastern CAA 102.5
164
96.8
81
.6598 10-7 7-3 81.4% 71.2% 7.1 2.2 223
83 Northern Iowa MVC 108.4
45
99.0
120
.7399 13-9 12-6 99.0% 98.7% 14 2.21 0
104 Western Kentucky CUSA 104.4
121
98.1
104
.6717 14-10 10-4 35.7% 31.7% 47.4 2.3 198
150 Sam Houston St. WAC 103.4
138
101.2
163
.5620 15-8 13-3 64.6% 50.9% 17.3 2.45 121
189 North Dakota St. Sum 99.5
240
101.1
160
.4537 12-12 10-6 79.2% 73.8% 1.6 2.07 32
227 Detroit Horz 106.5
84
111.1
339
.3808 10-10 8-8 38.9% 44.2% 19 2.5 188
48 Clemson ACC 105.2
111
92.9
22
.8069 12-10 8-8 51.2% 49.1% 51.9 2.21 106
167 Appalachian St. SB 101.6
189
101.1
161
.5133 11-9 9-6 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.36 0
198 Northern Colorado BSky 101.2
202
103.6
209
.4336 10-8 9-6 88.4% 90.4% 7 2.69 75
154 UNLV MWC 105.4
108
103.5
207
.5518 10-13 8-10 32.0% 28.6% 37.8 2.69 340
266 San Jose St. MWC 102.1
176
109.5
317
.3068 4-15 4-13 57.2% 45.2% 28.5 1.96 272
354 Chicago St. WAC 91.9
343
114.7
358
.0725 1-8 0-0 56.8% 47.6% 0 2.11 30
41 Seton Hall BE 108.2
46
94.7
50
.8220 14-11 10-9 54.5% 48.0% 67.8 2.44 147
191 Jackson St. SWAC 96.4
299
98.0
102
.4527 10-6 9-2 38.9% 31.4% 0 2.58 231
22 Illinois B10 109.8
32
93.3
30
.8667 15-11 11-9 50.2% 40.9% 59.1 2.02 92
148 North Texas CUSA 98.8
252
96.5
75
.5676 10-11 7-7 40.4% 35.9% 18.8 2.03 73
221 Prairie View A&M SWAC 96.4
301
100.3
145
.3856 12-6 10-3 59.6% 57.4% 8.8 2.71 126
335 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.8
337
107.9
292
.1495 5-19 4-10 62.6% 52.3% 8.4 2.41 80
18 Auburn SEC 110.2
28
93.0
24
.8761 18-9 12-6 59.8% 55.4% 67.4 1.36 231
336 Houston Baptist Slnd 95.8
312
112.3
351
.1383 6-16 6-9 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.82 41
152 Indiana St. MVC 101.0
209
99.1
123
.5537 10-12 8-10 40.1% 41.5% 12.2 1.64 104
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
349 North Carolina Central MEAC 91.8
346
111.4
342
.0974 3-9 3-5 18.7% 14.3% 6.3 2.32 184
238 Stetson ASun 101.0
207
106.2
261
.3606 9-11 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.41 0
28 Indiana B10 109.6
35
94.0
39
.8537 15-12 10-10 64.7% 65.1% 74.2 2.15 191
95 UC Irvine BW 102.7
162
95.1
56
.7075 15-7 12-4 79.3% 80.3% 3.3 1.64 25
338 North Alabama ASun 92.6
339
108.8
308
.1356 4-13 4-11 44.5% 38.6% 0 1.72 9
234 Portland St. BSky 101.3
198
106.1
258
.3701 8-9 7-7 42.9% 27.6% 0 2.66 303
42 Richmond A10 110.1
29
96.5
74
.8212 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 18.4 2.72 78
343 Idaho BSky 94.8
322
112.6
353
.1222 5-18 5-15 32.0% 29.2% 0 2.34 211
117 South Carolina SEC 101.6
190
96.6
77
.6402 8-12 6-10 40.3% 40.3% 33.4 2.29 210
292 Florida A&M SWAC 93.8
329
103.3
204
.2491 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 7 1.89 82
211 UT Arlington SB 98.0
267
101.3
165
.4059 11-11 9-8 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.3 104
322 Green Bay Horz 97.0
286
110.4
327
.1832 7-17 6-14 42.5% 31.6% 1.4 1.29 78
31 San Diego St. MWC 107.4
58
92.3
13
.8506 17-6 13-4 61.0% 57.0% 27.7 2.6 183
139 Navy Pat 104.4
123
101.4
166
.5818 11-6 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.31 0
45 Colorado St. MWC 110.3
24
97.0
84
.8147 14-7 12-6 93.4% 95.1% 20.8 2.1 84
193 Arkansas St. SB 102.8
156
104.7
231
.4495 10-9 8-7 77.4% 70.2% 7.8 2.02 88
5 Kansas B12 114.1
8
92.1
12
.9209 19-7 13-5 71.0% 72.0% 74.3 2.36 221
275 Western Michigan MAC 99.0
249
107.4
283
.2817 7-13 5-11 49.3% 46.6% 3.3 2.27 164
319 Stephen F. Austin WAC 91.6
349
104.0
217
.1869 8-10 7-8 35.3% 28.3% 12.8 1.75 72
309 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 96.2
308
107.7
288
.2129 6-17 5-13 27.4% 25.1% 16.4 2.35 57
314 Niagara MAAC 97.2
283
109.8
321
.1975 5-13 5-11 38.2% 40.7% 3.8 2.33 81
283 Nicholls St. Slnd 98.0
266
107.3
280
.2622 10-12 9-7 25.3% 24.2% 0 2.57 231
257 Long Beach St. BW 97.9
269
104.5
228
.3204 6-10 5-7 46.5% 39.5% 7.7 1.91 173
32 West Virginia B12 111.2
18
95.6
62
.8501 16-10 10-7 48.8% 42.4% 29 2.2 97
302 Grambling St. SWAC 96.4
300
107.1
276
.2298 9-12 8-7 43.5% 42.3% 4 2.46 137
256 Radford BSth 99.2
245
105.8
253
.3210 10-13 9-9 62.1% 58.1% 12.8 2.21 111
170 Jacksonville St. ASun 101.1
205
100.8
154
.5075 13-10 11-8 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.38 94
137 Boston College ACC 103.2
143
100.2
143
.5831 6-13 4-9 35.0% 29.9% 37.8 2.02 119
21 Florida SEC 110.1
30
93.4
31
.8690 13-8 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 45.6 2.36 208
2 UCLA P12 115.8
3
92.6
18
.9288 19-6 15-4 79.5% 74.9% 80.7 2.04 55
110 UC Santa Barbara BW 107.1
68
101.0
158
.6626 13-8 12-6 50.1% 52.8% 47.6 2.34 77
120 Old Dominion CUSA 104.2
124
99.4
127
.6345 12-9 9-7 43.4% 39.7% 30.1 1.99 113
219 UMKC Sum 99.0
248
103.0
197
.3887 9-10 8-6 51.0% 33.3% 4.6 1.92 115
267 Kennesaw St. ASun 96.8
290
104.1
219
.3031 9-11 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 19.1 1.96 82
178 Valparaiso MVC 102.9
152
103.4
206
.4858 10-15 7-11 35.0% 32.0% 12.8 1.91 128
51 Stanford P12 104.4
122
92.4
14
.8027 14-12 10-10 70.6% 60.2% 75.8 1.63 0
304 Sacramento St. BSky 97.7
270
109.0
311
.2215 5-12 5-9 47.4% 29.4% 2.3 2.47 24
321 Coppin St. MEAC 94.0
326
107.0
274
.1837 6-15 5-7 37.1% 26.3% 0 1.8 105
13 Villanova BE 115.0
4
95.2
57
.8981 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 2.03 0
188 Illinois St. MVC 98.8
254
100.3
144
.4560 9-14 7-11 69.5% 59.4% 9 1.79 149
226 Hartford AE 98.7
256
102.9
196
.3817 9-10 7-7 52.2% 41.3% 0 2.51 135
47 Providence BE 107.5
54
94.9
53
.8073 13-12 10-9 66.2% 61.8% 52.8 2.54 107
337 Central Connecticut NEC 95.0
320
111.5
344
.1367 6-15 5-13 46.6% 43.1% 0 2.57 31
93 Washington P12 106.9
72
98.7
114
.7154 11-14 8-12 38.1% 28.4% 54.1 2.47 357
315 St. Francis PA NEC 94.8
323
107.1
278
.1970 8-14 7-11 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76 0
294 USC Upstate BSth 97.6
273
107.8
290
.2418 7-14 6-10 61.7% 44.9% 13.2 2.35 102
87 Rhode Island A10 104.8
113
96.2
71
.7282 14-10 10-7 79.6% 75.1% 37.9 2.53 77
73 Penn St. B10 106.8
77
96.4
73
.7657 10-14 8-12 45.4% 46.5% 19.8 2.62 110
62 Marquette BE 107.0
71
95.6
63
.7839 13-13 9-10 34.2% 33.4% 58 1.35 116
202 Ball St. MAC 98.7
255
101.7
171
.4172 9-13 7-10 51.2% 37.8% 9.3 2.21 124
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
197 Rider MAAC 104.5
118
106.9
273
.4345 10-11 9-9 65.9% 64.3% 4.4 2.41 235
258 Dixie St. WAC 97.9
268
104.5
229
.3204 8-11 6-8 76.7% 69.1% 3.7 2.17 62
185 Hofstra CAA 103.9
133
105.3
243
.4604 10-11 7-7 70.3% 72.8% 6.1 2.39 260
317 McNeese St. Slnd 97.7
272
110.5
329
.1950 8-9 7-7 40.1% 25.7% 10.1 2.32 292
84 Cincinnati Amer 103.2
142
94.4
45
.7363 11-9 8-7 58.4% 49.6% 36.6 2.23 205
184 Utah Valley WAC 101.5
193
102.7
192
.4669 10-9 8-5 69.8% 64.1% 19.1 2.6 92
208 Gardner Webb BSth 101.6
185
104.9
236
.4101 13-12 11-9 60.5% 54.9% 7.3 1.53 30
301 UC San Diego BW 99.7
239
110.7
332
.2310 3-11 3-9 46.8% 45.8% 10.7 1.96 86
3 Ohio St. B10 116.4
2
93.5
33
.9254 19-7 14-6 78.9% 81.6% 67.5 2.58 94
25 North Carolina ACC 109.9
31
93.7
37
.8623 16-9 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 87.8 1.57 60
114 Toledo MAC 106.0
97
100.5
148
.6476 18-9 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 2.06 88
119 Furman SC 102.8
154
98.0
101
.6355 14-7 10-5 72.3% 64.9% 0 2.4 32
159 Saint Peter's MAAC 97.1
285
95.9
67
.5330 14-8 12-5 71.4% 69.1% 0 1.89 50
273 North Florida ASun 100.4
224
108.9
309
.2827 7-13 5-7 81.4% 84.1% 0 1.75 30
1 Gonzaga WCC 121.4
1
91.1
3
.9644 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 89.4 1.39 70
199 VMI SC 103.0
148
105.5
246
.4327 10-10 8-6 72.7% 63.3% 0 1.87 0
153 Pepperdine WCC 102.3
170
100.4
147
.5536 8-12 4-9 48.0% 37.3% 17.7 2.38 134
157 Bryant NEC 106.1
90
104.7
233
.5379 13-7 12-4 77.4% 73.7% 8.4 2.63 121
306 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.4
225
112.4
352
.2139 9-9 8-6 67.0% 53.4% 0 1.89 148
297 Maine AE 93.1
335
103.0
198
.2366 2-7 2-6 70.6% 68.1% 0 1.78 73
52 Colorado P12 106.4
86
94.3
43
.8015 15-12 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 55.4 1.61 46
180 Weber St. BSky 105.2
110
105.9
254
.4802 11-9 10-6 52.2% 48.9% 10.5 2.29 182
325 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 95.8
313
109.2
313
.1806 8-16 7-9 49.2% 52.2% -0 2.28 161
222 Bowling Green MAC 102.1
175
106.3
263
.3850 9-15 8-11 51.2% 42.5% 17.1 2.16 279
296 Montana St. BSky 97.5
277
107.9
291
.2375 7-11 6-8 44.7% 38.2% 13.6 1.74 71
218 Lipscomb ASun 102.1
174
106.1
259
.3915 11-11 8-7 64.3% 59.6% 2.5 1.95 79
129 Missouri SEC 101.7
183
97.9
99
.6084 8-15 5-11 19.7% 19.2% 42.4 1.59 174
75 Arizona St. P12 107.2
66
96.8
82
.7628 13-11 9-9 24.6% 19.2% 57.8 1.94 272
176 Longwood BSth 101.3
199
101.7
172
.4876 15-10 13-7 61.7% 58.9% 7.4 2.11 148
205 La Salle A10 100.5
221
103.6
210
.4131 7-16 5-12 69.5% 69.6% 23.6 1.82 65
209 Milwaukee Horz 100.9
213
104.1
220
.4092 10-9 9-8 36.6% 36.0% 30.4 1.59 117
7 Purdue B10 113.2
9
92.0
10
.9158 19-8 13-7 91.3% 93.5% 61.3 1.84 0
141 South Dakota Sum 107.2
65
104.3
223
.5791 14-8 11-4 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.27 65
271 Troy SB 96.0
309
104.0
216
.2849 8-15 5-11 60.6% 54.0% 0.4 2.28 107
231 UTSA CUSA 101.0
212
105.6
248
.3736 7-13 6-10 58.5% 41.2% 22.2 2.02 59
243 Towson CAA 102.7
158
108.6
304
.3464 7-10 6-6 52.3% 49.1% 5.7 2.39 282
194 South Alabama SB 106.1
95
108.1
294
.4465 11-11 9-8 15.5% 8.5% 31.9 2.62 597
339 North Dakota Sum 93.5
334
110.0
322
.1339 4-21 4-12 41.8% 38.1% 0 1.9 31
14 Texas B12 110.9
20
91.9
8
.8967 17-7 11-6 37.8% 38.8% 78.7 2.3 301
316 Lamar WAC 93.9
327
106.3
262
.1951 9-16 8-9 40.2% 42.7% 0 1.91 140
9 Alabama SEC 112.6
11
91.8
7
.9124 20-7 13-5 56.5% 56.6% 73 1.45 112
145 Wofford SC 103.5
136
101.0
157
.5711 13-8 11-6 68.3% 60.2% 4.2 1.63 38
312 New Orleans Slnd 96.4
302
108.4
301
.2052 10-12 9-6 27.6% 22.3% 2.9 2.4 241
50 Oklahoma St. B12 105.8
100
93.5
32
.8067 13-12 9-9 80.5% 74.0% 62.8 1.94 69
290 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 101.9
182
111.8
347
.2550 9-15 8-10 45.4% 40.4% 0 1.3 51
65 VCU A10 103.1
146
92.8
21
.7709 15-8 9-5 49.4% 45.3% 39 1.95 83
215 NJIT AE 100.0
233
103.8
214
.3940 9-9 9-7 57.6% 50.8% 0 2.53 100
123 South Dakota St. Sum 107.5
55
102.9
195
.6233 13-7 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.9 2.32 0
69 Virginia ACC 102.9
153
92.7
20
.7671 12-11 8-9 36.9% 33.6% 59.3 1.77 137
164 Iowa St. B12 102.2
172
101.5
168
.5206 6-17 4-14 40.8% 33.2% 44.3 2.41 393
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
217 Abilene Christian WAC 96.3
304
100.0
140
.3917 13-8 11-4 39.1% 31.2% -0 1.9 0
54 San Francisco WCC 107.6
53
95.5
61
.7972 14-9 8-5 75.8% 80.6% 2.6 2.55 210
192 Kent St. MAC 100.7
216
102.5
188
.4499 10-12 9-10 41.7% 34.9% 1.7 2.18 200
53 Creighton BE 107.4
59
95.3
58
.7979 14-11 10-10 18.2% 16.3% 71.9 0.87 50
251 North Carolina A&T BSth 99.1
246
105.4
245
.3299 9-10 5-3 45.1% 47.0% 21.6 2.55 223
34 BYU WCC 109.7
33
94.9
54
.8403 15-8 8-5 62.6% 58.7% 39.5 2.33 53
118 Southern Utah BSky 107.3
62
102.1
181
.6374 12-5 11-3 92.5% 93.1% 11.1 2.86 27
332 Delaware St. MEAC 97.3
279
112.8
355
.1553 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.92 0
66 Utah St. MWC 104.2
125
93.9
38
.7692 16-8 12-7 44.6% 39.9% 31.2 2.01 105
213 Pacific WCC 98.9
251
102.3
184
.4051 4-12 3-10 23.6% 20.7% 12.1 2.33 187
284 Portland WCC 102.4
169
112.0
349
.2619 4-13 2-9 9.1% 5.4% 14.3 2.16 257
33 USC P12 108.2
47
93.1
25
.8493 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 65.1 2.06 51
63 Nevada MWC 107.3
61
96.0
68
.7816 15-8 11-6 76.4% 81.7% 27.5 2.09 174
10 Memphis Amer 109.3
38
89.8
1
.9058 18-4 12-3 57.7% 56.3% 78.7 1.99 149
46 Wichita St. Amer 107.3
63
94.6
48
.8089 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 25 2.19 81
138 Seattle WAC 104.0
129
101.0
159
.5823 10-7 6-3 85.6% 85.6% 1.6 2.21 92
79 Liberty ASun 107.5
56
97.6
92
.7517 16-5 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.7 1.94 0
308 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.6
297
108.2
297
.2131 8-16 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 2 2.3 80
36 Loyola Chicago MVC 106.9
74
92.7
19
.8377 17-6 13-5 79.2% 71.4% 5.1 2.75 152
174 Bradley MVC 101.6
187
101.8
174
.4958 10-15 7-11 53.2% 44.6% 4.7 1.94 44
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 90.5
353
110.1
324
.0956 5-22 4-16 23.3% 11.5% 2.6 1.42 136
44 Oklahoma B12 106.2
89
93.2
28
.8174 13-10 8-9 35.0% 28.3% 26.3 2.51 226
293 Charleston Southern BSth 96.6
296
106.4
265
.2481 7-13 6-11 59.2% 54.9% -0 2.02 95
310 Army Pat 93.0
336
104.3
224
.2113 6-12 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.61 11
203 Morgan St. MEAC 104.5
117
107.6
285
.4168 8-6 7-3 66.1% 63.5% 10.4 2.8 93
26 Louisville ACC 111.2
19
95.0
55
.8585 13-7 8-6 53.9% 45.4% 63.3 1.93 250
19 Michigan St. B10 109.6
34
92.5
15
.8757 16-10 11-9 47.7% 42.8% 77.7 1.7 66
351 South Carolina St. MEAC 91.9
342
112.1
350
.0927 3-15 2-6 46.8% 41.0% 0 1.74 30
122 Davidson A10 106.7
82
101.9
177
.6276 9-9 5-6 63.5% 60.3% 40.1 2.08 47
144 Georgia St. SB 105.4
106
102.8
193
.5718 10-7 8-4 61.1% 55.2% 40.8 1.98 140
268 Idaho St. BSky 96.6
295
104.4
225
.2916 8-10 6-8 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31 44
161 Mercer SC 102.1
173
101.3
164
.5247 13-9 11-6 68.4% 62.3% 19 2.32 39
35 Ohio MAC 111.7
15
96.7
79
.8398 17-4 13-3 94.8% 94.6% 6 2.38 56
240 East Tennessee St. SC 97.2
284
102.3
185
.3563 9-12 7-8 29.2% 32.8% 4.7 1.88 132
81 Buffalo MAC 106.9
75
97.4
89
.7440 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 32.5 2.57 55
102 Iona MAAC 106.5
83
99.9
138
.6754 9-4 7-2 46.2% 37.9% 25 2.27 248
269 Western Illinois Sum 100.3
227
108.5
303
.2881 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.83 160
72 Butler BE 106.2
88
95.8
65
.7659 11-12 9-11 91.9% 91.2% 44.8 2.28 53
288 William & Mary CAA 94.7
324
103.9
215
.2569 4-11 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 2.02 34
224 Texas St. SB 95.9
311
100.0
139
.3829 12-10 8-7 49.9% 49.5% 0 1.92 52
61 Iowa B10 109.5
36
97.7
96
.7868 14-13 8-12 53.3% 46.7% 48.9 1.81 37
168 Tarleton St. WAC 101.1
206
100.7
152
.5098 8-7 7-5 78.7% 68.5% 0 2.21 31
92 UC Riverside BW 106.1
94
97.8
97
.7185 15-5 11-3 68.8% 61.3% 18.2 2.31 132
134 Grand Canyon WAC 105.7
104
102.1
180
.5978 11-7 8-4 40.2% 38.5% 33.6 2.27 252
206 South Florida Amer 96.8
291
99.8
135
.4117 5-14 3-11 25.2% 28.0% 35.4 1.87 235
96 Georgetown BE 103.9
134
96.9
83
.6885 9-12 6-10 35.0% 29.8% 36 1.45 81
179 Stony Brook AE 101.2
201
101.7
173
.4844 12-9 10-6 55.3% 55.9% 4.1 2.83 292
23 Florida St. ACC 108.7
41
92.6
17
.8632 14-6 10-5 30.1% 22.4% 56 1.71 155
229 Fairfield MAAC 98.4
262
102.8
194
.3773 11-12 9-9 73.5% 66.9% 1.8 2.16 0
56 Wisconsin B10 103.4
139
92.1
11
.7911 14-13 9-11 42.1% 35.9% 69.5 1.26 23
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
6 Duke ACC 114.7
6
93.2
27
.9160 16-6 13-5 40.1% 39.7% 92.3 0.96 61
260 Cal Poly BW 100.4
223
107.3
282
.3177 7-14 6-10 45.8% 50.0% 2.3 1.85 266
274 College of Charleston CAA 100.6
218
109.1
312
.2827 6-10 4-6 17.0% 18.6% 17.8 2.01 318
57 Nebraska B10 105.9
98
94.3
44
.7910 13-13 8-12 65.9% 63.6% 56 2.06 76
318 Air Force MWC 95.4
317
108.2
298
.1889 4-20 3-17 52.0% 50.6% 0 1.94 0
38 Saint Mary's WCC 105.4
107
91.6
6
.8340 14-7 6-4 100.0% 100.0% 30.9 2.43 0
147 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.7
114
102.2
182
.5702 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 12.7 2.49 218
109 Massachusetts A10 106.7
80
100.6
150
.6633 7-6 6-4 53.8% 52.4% 17 2.08 244
320 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 92.1
340
104.8
234
.1854 4-9 2-4 51.2% 41.4% 8 2.7 136
355 Tennessee Martin OVC 91.5
350
114.4
357
.0712 3-20 3-17 2.0% 1.9% 6 2.33 264
100 Utah P12 106.1
93
99.4
128
.6788 10-13 7-12 40.3% 31.7% 44.4 2.36 227
130 Louisiana Lafayette SB 107.2
64
103.4
205
.6030 15-7 12-5 64.1% 56.8% 41 2.57 349
241 High Point BSth 100.4
222
105.9
255
.3517 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 5.6 2.1 73
74 Georgia Tech ACC 104.7
115
94.4
46
.7653 12-11 7-10 65.1% 59.4% 68.2 2.01 52
16 Connecticut BE 111.6
16
93.6
34
.8833 14-6 11-6 78.6% 74.1% 53.7 2.27 0
68 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.2
39
98.4
109
.7677 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 4.2 2.3 173
356 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 87.9
356
110.0
323
.0703 4-17 3-12 26.4% 20.5% 4.2 1.67 39
8 Baylor B12 114.7
5
93.3
29
.9154 17-5 10-4 41.2% 35.9% 55.7 1.66 138
165 Campbell BSth 103.9
132
103.2
201
.5203 14-8 11-6 93.0% 94.7% 0 2.35 0
277 Evansville MVC 100.9
214
109.5
316
.2800 7-17 4-14 48.5% 56.1% 0 2.14 0
295 Samford SC 96.9
287
107.1
277
.2402 5-11 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 9.6 1.65 165
151 California P12 101.5
195
99.3
125
.5618 9-17 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 39.7 1.95 52
80 Murray St. OVC 107.0
69
97.4
90
.7469 18-5 16-4 64.8% 66.0% 19.1 2.5 216
323 Little Rock SB 92.6
338
105.5
247
.1830 6-18 4-14 56.5% 51.1% 0 2.12 38
105 Santa Clara WCC 105.3
109
99.2
124
.6666 9-7 4-5 66.1% 65.7% 19.3 2.41 117
103 Dayton A10 103.0
151
96.7
80
.6722 12-9 9-7 46.4% 34.0% 54.6 1.25 114
287 Cal St. Northridge BW 101.0
211
110.6
331
.2587 6-14 4-10 67.6% 67.3% 11.1 2.27 0
125 Southern Illinois MVC 102.8
155
98.8
115
.6143 12-11 9-9 89.7% 88.0% 0 1.89 46
298 Northern Illinois MAC 95.7
315
106.0
256
.2362 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 13 2.38 155
11 Maryland B10 111.8
14
91.9
9
.9045 18-8 12-8 62.1% 66.0% 69.5 2.17 157
232 New Mexico MWC 98.5
260
103.1
199
.3725 5-14 4-13 60.4% 57.4% 38.2 1.87 267
15 Tennessee SEC 110.4
23
91.5
5
.8964 18-6 12-5 56.3% 51.8% 80.4 1.48 66
252 Jacksonville ASun 100.2
229
106.6
269
.3290 10-12 6-8 46.3% 43.9% 11.7 2.34 223
55 Texas Tech B12 105.7
103
94.0
40
.7930 15-11 8-9 20.2% 14.7% 13.7 2.14 194
20 Xavier BE 112.4
12
94.8
52
.8757 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 51.7 2.29 112
142 Northern Kentucky Horz 104.7
116
102.0
178
.5735 15-8 13-5 87.6% 92.3% 3.9 2.48 68
160 James Madison CAA 105.7
102
104.7
232
.5271 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 2.2 2.17 226
30 Virginia Tech ACC 110.3
26
94.8
51
.8512 15-7 9-6 74.1% 76.3% 17.2 2.21 92
300 UNC Wilmington CAA 100.0
234
110.8
333
.2340 5-10 2-5 39.5% 30.5% 4.5 2.18 166
163 Pittsburgh ACC 99.4
241
98.6
113
.5215 7-14 4-12 40.5% 30.4% 37.8 1.76 113
40 Oregon P12 110.3
25
96.3
72
.8271 15-9 10-8 39.3% 27.1% 72.1 2.09 232
85 TCU B12 107.3
60
98.2
106
.7347 13-12 6-10 26.5% 21.8% 51.2 1.92 396
200 UC Davis BW 100.1
232
102.6
189
.4300 8-7 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.11 44
128 Miami OH MAC 106.4
85
102.4
187
.6089 14-8 11-7 87.4% 90.0% 0.9 2.51 27
115 Florida Atlantic CUSA 104.1
126
98.8
117
.6458 11-6 8-4 67.9% 61.9% 12.5 1.98 106
59 Syracuse ACC 109.4
37
97.5
91
.7903 14-9 8-8 34.4% 36.8% 56.8 2.26 157
212 Chattanooga SC 99.2
244
102.6
190
.4054 11-12 8-8 59.6% 48.0% 3.2 2.22 41
49 LSU SEC 112.0
13
98.9
118
.8069 15-9 9-8 28.7% 14.7% 76.9 1.48 218
12 Houston Amer 110.6
22
91.2
4
.9012 19-4 13-4 46.3% 42.8% 53.2 2.07 134
172 Marshall CUSA 101.9
181
101.9
176
.5009 11-10 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.8 1.71 0
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
248 Norfolk St. MEAC 98.2
264
104.2
222
.3339 10-9 7-5 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 2.45 72
106 Tulsa Amer 102.6
163
96.6
78
.6661 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 40.8 2.22 136
353 Western Carolina SC 90.0
354
111.2
340
.0808 3-21 2-15 25.6% 16.8% 6.9 2.11 89
64 Mississippi St. SEC 107.0
70
95.9
66
.7791 16-11 9-9 49.5% 48.6% 60.3 1.81 245
135 Texas A&M SEC 101.3
197
98.3
108
.5857 8-9 3-7 32.5% 29.2% 52 1.05 227
303 Howard MEAC 100.4
226
111.9
348
.2215 1-3 0-0 72.9% 70.3% 9.3 1.96 197
124 St. John's BE 101.5
192
97.3
88
.6191 10-16 6-13 24.4% 24.8% 46.8 1.93 170
244 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 102.8
157
108.7
306
.3460 8-6 5-4 68.6% 63.7% 2.9 2.62 297
77 North Carolina St. ACC 105.9
99
95.7
64
.7602 13-10 9-9 61.1% 57.5% 80.5 1.81 78
58 Drake MVC 110.6
21
98.5
111
.7909 18-7 12-6 88.5% 83.5% 4.7 2.74 34
259 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 99.0
250
105.7
250
.3196 12-14 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.48 36
230 Georgia Southern SB 96.5
298
100.9
155
.3747 9-12 7-9 71.8% 62.0% 15.1 2.34 0
246 Louisiana Monroe SB 98.6
259
104.4
226
.3398 12-13 8-10 63.8% 65.4% 0 2.78 121
98 Louisiana Tech CUSA 101.9
180
95.3
59
.6842 17-8 10-6 64.9% 66.3% 8.3 1.9 70
17 St. Bonaventure A10 110.3
27
92.9
23
.8776 14-3 12-3 86.5% 86.4% 4.8 2.59 38
201 Cal Baptist WAC 103.6
135
106.5
266
.4213 10-8 5-7 64.9% 61.4% 15.4 2.45 246
90 Miami FL ACC 108.5
44
99.7
133
.7246 12-12 8-11 49.5% 50.6% 67.8 2.12 161
249 Robert Morris Horz 105.0
112
111.6
345
.3327 7-10 6-9 28.2% 25.5% 8.4 2.25 539
264 UMBC AE 97.7
271
104.8
235
.3083 8-11 5-9 51.7% 45.3% 10.8 2.41 151
127 Southern Miss CUSA 102.3
171
98.4
110
.6095 13-9 10-7 78.7% 77.8% 0 2.49 75
67 Mississippi SEC 104.0
130
93.7
36
.7691 15-10 9-9 54.3% 49.0% 52.8 2.17 123
263 Illinois Chicago Horz 96.3
303
103.2
202
.3113 10-11 8-8 51.9% 49.5% 7.9 2.85 252
78 Vanderbilt SEC 107.7
50
97.7
95
.7545 11-11 7-9 51.5% 55.3% 30.6 1.87 117
91 SMU Amer 107.4
57
99.0
121
.7187 9-8 6-7 33.5% 39.3% 31.2 2.56 236
76 Saint Louis A10 106.2
87
96.1
69
.7608 13-5 6-4 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.41 99
133 Minnesota B10 101.1
204
97.7
94
.5987 9-18 5-15 7.0% 4.6% 22.8 2.33 267
216 New Hampshire AE 101.2
203
105.1
239
.3930 10-7 9-6 80.5% 81.2% 0 2.13 45
324 Denver Sum 97.3
280
110.9
335
.1821 7-13 5-9 34.1% 25.6% 7.3 2.61 171
236 George Washington A10 102.7
159
107.8
289
.3643 6-9 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 42.5 2.26 278
220 Middle Tennessee CUSA 101.0
208
105.2
240
.3861 8-13 5-11 47.4% 44.9% 8.6 2.55 184
107 Wright St. Horz 102.5
166
96.5
76
.6650 17-6 15-5 73.2% 67.1% 8.1 1.82 40
140 Winthrop BSth 103.0
150
100.1
141
.5808 15-6 13-5 55.6% 49.1% 11.8 2.5 191
24 Arkansas SEC 108.6
43
92.5
16
.8630 18-8 10-7 38.5% 38.4% 39.1 2.48 354
146 Charlotte CUSA 102.4
168
99.9
136
.5707 13-10 8-8 53.2% 52.9% 40.2 2.32 307
4 Michigan B10 112.6
10
90.6
2
.9240 18-7 13-7 39.9% 41.9% 74.2 1.53 46
86 Kansas St. B12 102.7
161
94.1
41
.7305 13-13 7-11 74.0% 70.7% 57.6 1.95 187
326 Hampton BSth 95.2
319
108.6
305
.1791 7-16 6-12 62.6% 53.4% 12.2 2.6 176
149 George Mason A10 102.0
179
99.6
131
.5669 10-9 7-7 37.6% 34.2% 28 2.25 184
175 Duquesne A10 98.1
265
98.3
107
.4934 7-9 6-8 33.0% 20.2% 13.4 1.99 216
204 Coastal Carolina SB 101.2
200
104.2
221
.4165 9-8 7-7 61.3% 49.2% 5.5 2.56 174
136 UNC Greensboro SC 101.6
188
98.6
112
.5850 17-9 12-6 53.0% 47.1% 25.4 2.53 110
112 Wyoming MWC 107.7
48
102.0
179
.6517 14-10 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 9.4 1.96 20
94 Rutgers B10 102.0
178
94.2
42
.7146 10-14 6-14 49.4% 41.7% 56.6 1.69 29
276 The Citadel SC 100.8
215
109.3
314
.2809 7-12 6-10 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.87 0
156 Delaware CAA 102.5
165
100.7
151
.5513 9-4 7-2 96.4% 96.9% 10.5 2.28 96
186 East Carolina Amer 99.1
247
100.5
149
.4591 7-10 3-9 46.8% 45.1% 10.7 2.16 108
225 Georgia SEC 99.8
237
104.1
218
.3823 6-18 3-15 7.2% 4.5% 33.7 1.8 173
233 New Mexico St. WAC 100.7
217
105.4
244
.3712 5-8 4-8 24.2% 22.3% 9.3 2.12 220
333 Central Michigan MAC 95.6
316
111.0
336
.1532 5-15 4-12 35.0% 24.8% 3.5 2.38 173
187 Drexel CAA 104.1
127
105.6
249
.4577 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.42 84
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp. Trans.
242 St. Francis NY NEC 100.1
231
105.7
251
.3470 11-8 10-8 49.5% 45.5% 0 2.69 217
70 Belmont OVC 108.6
42
97.9
100
.7666 21-5 16-4 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44 0
331 Youngstown St. Horz 96.2
306
111.2
341
.1587 6-15 6-14 41.9% 31.7% 9.4 1.3 110
228 UNC Asheville BSth 103.0
149
107.5
284
.3792 10-9 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 8.8 2.49 128
289 Binghamton AE 99.3
243
109.0
310
.2553 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0.9 2.17 115
169 Rice CUSA 107.7
51
107.3
281
.5098 11-11 6-10 83.7% 82.7% 10.3 2.37 173
171 Elon CAA 103.2
140
103.1
200
.5020 7-7 5-6 77.0% 74.4% 6.4 2.08 90
223 Quinnipiac MAAC 96.9
288
100.9
156
.3846 12-10 9-9 70.3% 73.4% 6.7 1.91 50
281 Presbyterian BSth 97.5
276
106.3
264
.2691 8-12 7-10 97.4% 96.7% -0 1.86 26
313 FIU CUSA 93.5
333
105.2
241
.2046 5-17 3-14 47.2% 35.5% 16.1 1.99 124
311 Alabama A&M SWAC 92.0
341
103.2
203
.2096 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.74 0
99 Oregon St. P12 105.8
101
99.1
122
.6802 12-13 8-12 53.9% 53.8% 27.5 2.34 139
247 Albany AE 98.7
257
104.6
230
.3392 7-7 6-6 32.5% 25.0% 15.4 2.62 216
280 Monmouth MAAC 97.3
282
106.0
257
.2716 7-12 6-12 36.1% 29.4% -0 2.1 95
207 Marist MAAC 96.3
305
99.3
126
.4110 11-9 9-9 76.2% 71.2% 2.8 2.3 47
262 Austin Peay OVC 99.9
235
107.0
275
.3114 12-12 9-11 52.9% 43.9% 9.6 2.26 108
97 DePaul BE 104.0
128
97.1
86
.6877 8-9 6-9 33.7% 29.5% 49.2 1.85 165
116 Temple Amer 102.0
177
97.0
85
.6405 7-9 6-9 64.9% 70.5% 32.9 1.76 0
254 Tennessee St. OVC 101.0
210
107.7
287
.3231 10-12 9-11 28.8% 19.6% 23.8 2.14 373
37 Arizona P12 108.9
40
94.5
47
.8362 17-9 11-9 52.1% 45.7% 69.3 1.21 107
245 Manhattan MAAC 96.7
293
102.4
186
.3414 9-10 8-10 89.1% 88.9% 19 2.93 160
88 UAB CUSA 107.7
49
98.9
119
.7270 18-7 12-6 33.8% 32.3% 33 2.65 300
89 Wake Forest ACC 106.9
76
98.2
105
.7255 9-11 7-11 44.5% 42.3% 31.9 2.2 210
108 Tulane Amer 103.2
141
97.3
87
.6642 12-10 7-10 70.7% 67.0% 31.5 1.7 112
334 IUPUI Horz 93.6
331
108.7
307
.1517 4-13 4-12 51.5% 37.9% 1.8 2.38 57
39 Northwestern B10 106.9
73
93.1
26
.8304 13-10 10-10 73.8% 78.3% 52.3 2 26
43 Washington St. P12 106.8
78
93.6
35
.8202 18-9 11-9 65.7% 61.0% 22.8 1.94 115
235 Fort Wayne Horz 103.0
147
108.0
293
.3691 11-10 10-10 56.8% 56.9% 0 2.4 146
82 Missouri St. MVC 107.2
67
97.8
98
.7399 14-6 12-6 87.1% 91.4% 8.4 2.44 109
173 Merrimack NEC 97.5
274
97.6
93
.4977 13-5 13-5 83.3% 88.8% 0 2.09 0
299 LIU Brooklyn NEC 93.6
332
103.7
211
.2346 8-10 8-10 47.4% 43.5% 3.1 2.04 65
237 Fordham A10 94.9
321
99.8
134
.3609 4-9 4-9 40.2% 36.2% 4.1 2.22 253
348 Columbia Ivy 91.3
351
110.6
330
.0990 0-0 0-0 26.4% 18.6% 10 1.06 0
182 Hawaii BW 102.7
160
103.5
208
.4760 10-8 10-8 55.6% 52.1% 11.5 2.51 180
239 Canisius MAAC 100.6
220
105.8
252
.3584 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 2.3 2.3 0
352 Bethune Cookman SWAC 88.8
355
109.4
315
.0834 0-0 0-0 5.2% 6.1% 4.2 1.56 129
210 Penn Ivy 96.7
292
99.9
137
.4073 0-0 0-0 35.3% 33.8% 12 1.32 31
357 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 87.1
357
111.0
338
.0576 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% -0 1.6 182
214 Cal St. Fullerton BW 104.0
131
107.6
286
.4021 7-7 7-7 74.7% 73.0% 12.3 2.11 128
196 Siena MAAC 101.6
186
103.8
212
.4397 11-7 11-7 45.9% 33.9% 8.6 2.56 278
155 Loyola MD Pat 103.5
137
101.6
170
.5517 10-4 10-4 74.3% 75.2% 22.9 2.19 0
177 Harvard Ivy 100.3
228
100.8
153
.4861 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 63.3 0.7 0
345 Alabama St. SWAC 91.9
345
109.6
318
.1155 7-11 7-11 46.8% 38.2% 15 2.06 138
286 Lafayette Pat 100.1
230
109.7
319
.2589 5-9 5-9 59.7% 53.9% 5.4 2.13 0
158 Yale Ivy 102.4
167
101.2
162
.5337 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 7.3 2.18 0
181 Princeton Ivy 101.5
191
102.3
183
.4793 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 18 1.52 0
328 Holy Cross Pat 95.9
310
110.1
325
.1695 5-11 5-11 59.0% 56.5% 0 1.45 23
305 Brown Ivy 91.9
344
102.6
191
.2184 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 7.8 1.39 26
101 Colgate Pat 106.8
79
100.2
142
.6766 10-2 10-2 70.5% 62.5% 0 2.27 0
270 Boston University Pat 98.6
258
106.8
271
.2855 8-8 8-8 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4 44
279 American Pat 95.3
318
103.8
213
.2730 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% 0 1.78 21
132 Vermont AE 103.1
144
99.6
130
.5995 11-3 11-3 75.0% 71.2% 5.8 2.83 34
342 Cornell Ivy 94.5
325
111.4
343
.1302 0-0 0-0 38.4% 27.9% 0 1.37 0
285 Bucknell Pat 97.3
281
106.5
267
.2607 4-6 4-6 62.1% 53.6% 3.6 2.01 0
265 Lehigh Pat 97.3
278
104.5
227
.3077 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.93 0
340 Dartmouth Ivy 91.1
352
107.2
279
.1331 0-0 0-0 29.8% 23.2% 4.6 1.46 0
113 Fresno St. MWC 106.0
96
100.4
146
.6513 10-10 10-10 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21 110
330 St. Thomas Sum 96.2
307
110.5
328
.1690 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 9.4 1.12 98

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.