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2022 T-Rank College Basketball Projections

Note: Projected records based on last year's schedules
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Rec Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp.
1 Gonzaga WCC 119.8
1		 91.8
8		 .9552 22-2 14-1 46.0% 44.8% 82 1.23
2 Memphis Amer 112.0
19		 88.2
1		 .9396 19-3 13-2 66.4% 66.1% 70.4 2.01
3 Kansas B12 112.8
14		 90.3
2		 .9275 20-6 14-4 71.0% 72.0% 57.2 2.02
4 Alabama SEC 113.7
6		 91.6
5		 .9229 21-6 13-5 56.5% 56.6% 66 1.51
5 Duke ACC 115.3
4		 93.8
33		 .9149 16-6 13-5 42.0% 41.2% 93.7 0.87
6 Purdue B10 112.8
12		 92.0
10		 .9127 18-8 13-6 91.3% 93.5% 62.2 1.79
7 Michigan B10 112.4
16		 91.7
7		 .9121 16-6 11-6 25.0% 29.7% 90.9 0.68
8 Florida St. ACC 111.8
22		 91.4
4		 .9099 15-5 11-4 58.9% 54.6% 60.7 1.89
9 Maryland B10 112.2
17		 91.9
9		 .9084 19-7 14-6 72.3% 74.5% 68.2 2.3
10 UCLA P12 115.7
2		 95.2
56		 .9043 19-6 14-5 79.5% 74.9% 86.5 1.87
11 Michigan St. B10 111.9
20		 92.2
12		 .9025 18-8 13-7 54.5% 47.1% 74.4 1.9
12 Kentucky SEC 113.6
7		 93.7
31		 .9021 15-9 11-6 30.3% 25.4% 83.2 1.2
13 Villanova BE 114.7
5		 95.2
57		 .8946 15-6 11-4 75.1% 72.2% 83.5 1.99
14 Arizona P12 111.5
27		 92.6
16		 .8935 20-6 14-6 66.2% 67.1% 74 1.64
15 Baylor B12 111.6
24		 92.9
20		 .8920 16-6 9-5 41.2% 35.9% 60.2 1.29
16 St. Bonaventure A10 111.5
26		 92.8
18		 .8919 14-3 12-3 86.6% 86.4% 4.8 2.6
17 Florida SEC 111.3
28		 93.2
25		 .8848 13-8 10-6 43.1% 44.8% 41.5 2.43
18 Virginia Tech ACC 112.1
18		 94.0
37		 .8839 16-6 10-5 74.1% 76.3% 14.6 2.34
19 Xavier BE 112.4
15		 94.5
44		 .8803 15-5 9-4 81.1% 82.7% 56 2.19
20 Arkansas SEC 109.9
39		 92.5
14		 .8797 19-7 11-6 38.5% 38.5% 42.9 2.35
21 Indiana B10 110.6
35		 93.0
22		 .8794 16-10 11-8 73.3% 72.7% 74.2 2.18
22 Auburn SEC 111.1
29		 93.9
35		 .8742 17-10 11-7 71.3% 67.0% 63.8 1.35
23 Connecticut BE 111.0
31		 93.8
34		 .8736 14-6 11-6 69.0% 66.2% 56.5 1.8
24 Illinois B10 110.5
37		 93.5
28		 .8712 16-10 12-8 35.0% 41.1% 65.8 1.36
25 Notre Dame ACC 115.5
3		 98.1
103		 .8672 14-10 11-7 79.7% 81.8% 72.4 2.65
26 Saint Mary's WCC 107.8
58		 91.7
6		 .8663 16-5 7-3 100.0% 100.0% 30.5 2.44
27 Ohio St. B10 110.7
33		 94.4
43		 .8620 16-10 11-9 63.1% 69.7% 66 2.1
28 Wake Forest ACC 113.5
8		 96.8
80		 .8613 13-7 11-7 53.7% 52.8% 31.3 1.89
29 Ohio MAC 113.3
9		 96.7
78		 .8611 18-3 14-2 96.0% 96.0% 6 2.38
30 Tennessee SEC 108.4
53		 92.6
15		 .8605 16-8 10-7 43.9% 40.4% 77.9 1.25
31 Louisville ACC 110.7
34		 94.7
46		 .8582 12-8 8-6 63.6% 53.4% 60.5 1.97
32 North Carolina ACC 109.1
47		 93.6
29		 .8538 15-10 9-7 65.2% 63.1% 88.3 1.28
33 Syracuse ACC 111.6
23		 95.8
65		 .8523 16-7 10-6 64.4% 70.5% 67.2 2.27
34 West Virginia B12 110.8
32		 95.4
58		 .8475 17-9 10-7 41.5% 41.4% 43.3 2.06
35 USC P12 108.0
57		 93.1
23		 .8474 17-10 12-8 53.4% 50.7% 69.3 1.85
36 Belmont OVC 113.3
10		 98.0
99		 .8421 23-3 17-3 96.6% 97.5% 5 2.44
37 SMU Amer 113.0
11		 97.9
98		 .8396 12-5 8-5 53.8% 56.8% 29 2.7
38 Northwestern B10 107.5
63		 93.1
24		 .8387 13-9 10-9 73.9% 78.3% 52.3 2
39 Drake MVC 112.8
13		 97.8
97		 .8373 20-5 14-4 84.6% 80.9% 6 2.54
40 Houston Amer 106.2
80		 92.2
11		 .8362 17-6 12-5 40.4% 39.5% 53.9 1.58
41 Seton Hall BE 109.1
48		 94.7
47		 .8354 15-10 11-8 54.5% 48.0% 68.1 2.44
42 Oregon P12 109.8
41		 95.7
62		 .8301 16-8 11-7 43.0% 28.6% 56.4 1.67
43 Richmond A10 110.5
36		 96.4
73		 .8287 13-6 8-3 86.1% 81.7% 13.2 2.66
44 Liberty ASun 111.5
25		 97.5
92		 .8233 17-4 11-2 72.2% 69.8% 6.8 1.94
45 Stanford P12 105.5
101		 92.4
13		 .8216 15-11 11-9 70.6% 60.2% 75.6 1.63
46 Creighton BE 106.7
72		 94.1
38		 .8104 14-11 11-9 36.4% 37.6% 77 1.4
47 Missouri St. MVC 109.8
42		 97.1
87		 .8040 15-5 13-5 99.4% 99.7% 8.4 2.44
48 LSU SEC 111.9
21		 99.0
118		 .8035 14-10 8-9 51.0% 34.1% 66.5 2.05
49 Colorado St. MWC 109.8
40		 97.3
89		 .8016 15-6 13-5 100.0% 100.0% 25.7 2.14
50 Vanderbilt SEC 110.1
38		 97.6
93		 .8011 12-10 7-9 68.0% 70.1% 38.5 1.83
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp.
51 Saint Louis A10 107.7
59		 95.8
64		 .7949 13-5 7-3 63.2% 58.7% 32.5 2.41
52 Nebraska B10 105.7
92		 94.1
39		 .7910 13-12 9-10 72.3% 71.3% 54.6 2.21
53 Washington St. P12 106.0
86		 94.6
45		 .7873 17-10 10-10 74.4% 67.9% 32.6 1.67
54 Arizona St. P12 107.6
61		 96.1
68		 .7868 14-10 10-8 14.5% 10.6% 50.1 1.57
55 Oklahoma St. B12 104.1
137		 93.0
21		 .7863 14-11 9-9 70.1% 64.2% 59.1 1.65
56 Texas B12 105.5
102		 94.2
40		 .7852 13-11 9-8 37.8% 38.8% 73.4 1.49
57 Marquette BE 106.9
70		 95.5
60		 .7834 14-12 9-10 54.1% 56.1% 70.1 1.36
58 TCU B12 108.1
56		 96.7
79		 .7809 15-10 8-8 63.5% 66.4% 56 2.38
59 Buffalo MAC 108.5
51		 97.4
91		 .7746 15-5 13-4 63.4% 65.7% 29.9 2.4
60 Wichita St. Amer 105.9
89		 95.2
55		 .7741 10-7 7-6 64.2% 66.1% 23.7 2.06
61 Clemson ACC 103.1
158		 92.7
17		 .7736 11-11 7-9 51.9% 49.7% 61 1.65
62 UNC Greensboro SC 105.7
93		 95.0
52		 .7729 21-5 15-3 85.2% 73.6% 21.3 2.56
63 Nevada MWC 107.7
60		 96.8
81		 .7725 16-7 12-5 77.0% 82.1% 46.5 1.68
64 Providence BE 105.5
105		 94.9
50		 .7710 12-13 9-10 56.2% 52.3% 59 2.12
65 San Diego St. MWC 104.6
126		 94.3
41		 .7674 15-8 12-5 40.9% 37.1% 41.4 2.17
66 UC Irvine BW 105.0
116		 94.7
48		 .7662 16-6 12-4 88.7% 86.9% 2.2 1.73
67 Colorado P12 103.9
140		 93.7
32		 .7656 14-13 10-10 43.4% 39.2% 61.5 1.22
68 Mississippi SEC 103.5
146		 93.5
27		 .7643 14-11 8-10 54.3% 49.0% 51.2 2.18
69 Rhode Island A10 106.2
79		 96.0
67		 .7616 15-9 10-7 86.3% 79.9% 35.1 2.55
70 Butler BE 105.9
90		 95.7
63		 .7616 12-11 10-10 94.1% 93.1% 49.8 2.13
71 Boise St. MWC 107.2
67		 96.9
83		 .7602 16-8 13-7 61.0% 52.8% 33.5 2.51
72 Kansas St. B12 103.3
152		 93.6
30		 .7548 15-11 8-10 74.0% 70.7% 55 1.88
73 Loyola Chicago MVC 104.8
122		 95.1
54		 .7540 16-7 12-6 32.3% 30.9% 17.4 2.09
74 North Carolina St. ACC 105.2
110		 95.5
59		 .7518 12-11 8-10 70.0% 68.2% 79.8 1.8
75 Loyola Marymount WCC 109.0
49		 99.1
120		 .7508 13-7 7-5 81.6% 82.6% 5.4 2.32
76 Wisconsin B10 102.5
170		 93.3
26		 .7466 13-14 8-12 26.8% 21.8% 67.6 0.62
77 VCU A10 100.2
226		 91.2
3		 .7460 14-9 8-6 63.7% 58.8% 38.3 1.59
78 Texas Tech B12 105.5
100		 96.3
72		 .7408 15-11 8-9 21.8% 15.8% 23.9 1.26
79 Virginia ACC 101.7
190		 92.8
19		 .7394 11-12 7-10 36.9% 33.6% 54.8 2
80 Southern Utah BSky 111.1
30		 101.7
172		 .7346 14-3 12-2 92.5% 93.1% 11.2 2.83
81 Georgia Tech ACC 103.1
159		 94.4
42		 .7343 11-12 6-11 65.1% 59.4% 67 1.97
82 Northern Iowa MVC 109.3
46		 100.2
143		 .7302 14-8 12-6 78.1% 71.8% 14.1 1.88
83 Murray St. OVC 108.1
55		 99.2
123		 .7288 17-6 15-5 64.8% 66.0% 19.2 2.3
84 Mississippi St. SEC 103.2
156		 94.8
49		 .7262 14-13 7-11 70.1% 75.6% 45.8 1.47
85 UC Santa Barbara BW 109.8
43		 100.8
154		 .7261 14-7 13-5 50.1% 52.8% 42 2.14
86 South Carolina SEC 105.4
107		 97.0
85		 .7218 9-11 7-9 59.5% 59.5% 39.6 2.47
87 San Francisco WCC 104.4
127		 96.1
69		 .7212 13-10 7-6 65.6% 65.4% 7.4 2.47
88 UCF Amer 104.4
128		 96.2
70		 .7196 10-11 9-9 70.4% 66.2% 32.5 1.97
89 UAB CUSA 106.8
71		 98.4
109		 .7189 19-6 12-6 33.8% 32.3% 36.7 2.45
90 Massachusetts A10 107.1
68		 98.7
113		 .7177 8-5 6-4 66.6% 63.0% 22.2 1.61
91 Wright St. Horz 104.3
131		 96.3
71		 .7156 18-5 16-4 74.2% 68.3% 10 1.57
92 Iowa B10 106.9
69		 99.0
119		 .7081 13-14 7-13 49.9% 39.8% 56 1.46
93 BYU WCC 103.6
144		 96.4
74		 .6964 13-10 7-6 46.9% 40.1% 11 1.61
94 Miami FL ACC 106.6
73		 99.4
126		 .6915 11-13 7-12 49.1% 50.3% 65.2 1.54
95 Florida Atlantic CUSA 105.7
95		 98.6
111		 .6900 11-6 8-4 79.7% 75.5% 5.3 1.87
96 Miami OH MAC 108.5
52		 101.4
167		 .6851 15-7 12-6 87.4% 90.0% 0 2.49
97 Utah P12 105.1
113		 98.3
105		 .6846 11-12 8-11 62.5% 50.6% 55.4 1.81
98 Fresno St. MWC 107.5
62		 100.6
151		 .6815 12-8 12-8 89.9% 89.9% 30.3 2.21
99 Colgate Pat 108.2
54		 101.4
168		 .6787 10-2 10-2 57.5% 49.5% -0 2.07
100 Montana BSky 106.1
84		 99.6
130		 .6755 15-7 14-4 89.6% 85.6% 0 1.84
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp.
101 Vermont AE 105.4
106		 98.9
117		 .6744 11-3 11-3 75.0% 71.2% 6.4 2.72
102 Tulsa Amer 102.9
164		 96.7
77		 .6731 10-11 7-10 49.9% 43.8% 40.9 2.22
103 Dayton A10 102.2
175		 96.0
66		 .6728 11-10 8-8 46.4% 34.0% 56.6 1.4
104 UC Riverside BW 105.6
99		 99.1
122		 .6728 14-6 10-4 54.4% 51.8% 20.3 2.2
105 Santa Clara WCC 105.2
112		 98.9
116		 .6701 9-7 4-5 63.3% 56.4% 20.7 2.33
106 South Dakota St. Sum 109.4
45		 103.2
202		 .6630 13-7 9-3 88.3% 79.1% 3.9 2.32
107 Rutgers B10 99.6
242		 93.9
36		 .6619 9-15 6-14 49.4% 41.7% 55.4 1.61
108 Oklahoma B12 101.3
196		 95.6
61		 .6614 10-13 6-11 49.8% 43.3% 46.5 1.65
109 Oregon St. P12 104.2
134		 98.4
107		 .6608 12-13 7-13 58.1% 57.0% 19.8 2.45
110 Navy Pat 107.3
64		 101.4
170		 .6570 12-5 10-3 82.0% 79.2% 0 2.31
111 Toledo MAC 106.2
82		 100.3
145		 .6563 18-9 13-6 59.2% 54.6% 2.4 2.05
112 Old Dominion CUSA 105.0
117		 99.2
124		 .6562 12-9 10-6 43.4% 39.7% 28.7 2.06
113 Southern Illinois MVC 104.0
138		 98.4
108		 .6532 14-9 10-8 89.3% 87.7% -0 1.81
114 Tulane Amer 103.2
155		 97.8
96		 .6502 12-10 8-9 87.5% 87.9% 24.6 1.96
115 Louisiana Tech CUSA 103.5
148		 98.1
102		 .6485 17-8 10-6 39.7% 45.2% 8.2 1.47
116 Utah St. MWC 100.1
229		 94.9
51		 .6478 14-10 11-8 44.7% 40.0% 23.4 1.67
117 Georgetown BE 102.1
180		 96.9
82		 .6462 9-12 6-10 25.2% 22.3% 53.8 0.81
118 Wyoming MWC 107.3
65		 102.1
180		 .6398 15-9 9-8 75.4% 66.3% 9.5 1.91
119 Morehead St. OVC 105.7
94		 100.6
150		 .6388 15-10 14-6 57.1% 57.8% 0 2.28
120 Texas A&M SEC 102.1
177		 97.2
88		 .6382 8-9 3-7 54.0% 52.2% 67.4 1.25
121 Wofford SC 105.6
96		 100.5
149		 .6379 14-7 12-5 69.4% 61.4% 4.1 1.63
122 South Dakota Sum 109.6
44		 104.4
226		 .6363 14-8 11-4 81.6% 68.2% 0 2.22
123 Missouri SEC 101.8
186		 97.0
84		 .6356 8-15 5-11 19.7% 19.2% 41.2 1.71
124 Temple Amer 101.2
200		 96.5
75		 .6336 8-8 7-8 64.9% 70.5% 34.3 1.78
125 Coastal Carolina SB 105.7
91		 101.3
165		 .6198 12-5 10-4 82.0% 76.8% 5.5 2.47
126 Duquesne A10 100.7
212		 96.6
76		 .6186 8-8 7-7 50.7% 37.7% 14.4 1.72
127 Minnesota B10 101.0
206		 97.1
86		 .6124 10-17 5-15 18.2% 14.6% 33.5 2.18
128 Penn St. B10 102.0
183		 98.1
101		 .6120 7-16 5-14 38.0% 40.1% 21.4 1.8
129 Appalachian St. SB 105.3
109		 101.2
163		 .6119 13-7 11-4 92.0% 91.9% 9.3 2.36
130 San Diego WCC 103.3
153		 99.3
125		 .6097 5-8 4-5 51.3% 50.0% 20.3 2.82
131 Winthrop BSth 105.1
115		 101.2
164		 .6063 14-7 12-6 55.6% 49.1% 14.1 1.97
132 Sam Houston St. WAC 105.6
98		 101.7
173		 .6051 16-7 14-2 65.0% 51.3% 18 2.4
133 Saint Peter's MAAC 98.4
266		 95.1
53		 .5992 14-8 12-5 90.1% 92.1% -0 2.15
134 Washington P12 100.8
211		 97.3
90		 .5987 8-17 6-14 38.1% 28.4% 43.7 1.93
135 Georgia St. SB 106.6
74		 103.0
198		 .5975 10-7 7-5 61.1% 55.2% 40.9 1.98
136 Akron MAC 103.1
160		 99.7
133		 .5936 12-8 12-7 61.6% 51.7% 14.9 2.23
137 Northern Kentucky Horz 106.2
83		 102.8
195		 .5905 16-7 13-5 87.5% 92.4% 4 2.06
138 Tarleton St. WAC 104.7
123		 101.4
169		 .5899 9-6 8-4 81.2% 70.7% 0 2
139 St. John's BE 101.4
195		 98.3
106		 .5879 10-16 6-13 24.4% 24.8% 33.2 1.48
140 Loyola MD Pat 104.9
121		 101.7
175		 .5867 9-5 9-5 74.3% 75.2% 22.9 2.19
141 Gardner Webb BSth 107.2
66		 104.1
221		 .5839 16-9 13-7 70.2% 65.1% 10.2 1.45
142 Georgia SEC 104.2
135		 101.3
166		 .5793 9-15 5-13 34.8% 38.3% 45.7 1.74
143 UTEP CUSA 100.4
222		 97.6
94		 .5780 10-10 9-7 70.9% 68.9% 34.1 2.47
144 Grand Canyon WAC 105.2
111		 102.5
189		 .5730 11-7 8-4 40.2% 38.5% 48.7 1.77
145 Davidson A10 102.6
167		 100.0
138		 .5716 8-10 4-7 63.5% 60.3% 30 1.96
146 Jacksonville St. ASun 103.6
145		 101.0
159		 .5706 14-9 12-7 58.9% 54.0% 8.2 2.37
147 Rice CUSA 108.6
50		 106.0
257		 .5694 12-10 8-8 83.7% 82.7% 11.2 2.15
148 Charlotte CUSA 102.2
174		 99.9
137		 .5653 13-10 8-8 53.2% 52.9% 30.2 2.02
149 Elon CAA 105.0
119		 102.7
192		 .5626 9-5 7-4 77.0% 74.4% 4.1 2.12
150 Eastern Kentucky ASun 104.6
124		 102.4
187		 .5616 16-9 13-7 57.6% 44.0% 13.8 2.42
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp.
151 Furman SC 101.0
207		 98.8
115		 .5607 13-8 9-6 57.1% 51.4% 1.7 1.97
152 Campbell BSth 106.0
87		 104.2
223		 .5493 13-9 11-6 76.7% 74.2% 0 2.06
153 Iona MAAC 102.0
181		 100.4
146		 .5469 8-5 5-4 46.8% 38.2% 21.2 2.18
154 Harvard Ivy 102.0
182		 100.4
147		 .5453 0-0 0-0 30.7% 36.4% 63.5 0.7
155 Yale Ivy 102.3
173		 100.7
152		 .5433 0-0 0-0 52.7% 50.4% 7.6 2.16
156 James Madison CAA 106.5
75		 105.0
238		 .5424 9-7 6-4 66.8% 62.5% 3.1 2.09
157 Abilene Christian WAC 100.0
230		 98.6
112		 .5390 15-6 12-3 38.6% 31.0% 3.5 1.96
158 Longwood BSth 103.4
150		 102.1
182		 .5358 14-11 12-8 61.7% 58.9% 7.5 1.93
159 Bryant NEC 106.3
78		 105.1
240		 .5311 13-7 11-5 65.8% 62.8% 8.6 2.62
160 Merrimack NEC 98.8
260		 97.7
95		 .5298 12-6 12-6 83.3% 88.8% 0 2.09
161 Northern Colorado BSky 104.2
136		 103.3
203		 .5232 12-6 11-4 83.5% 86.2% 3.3 2.53
162 Quinnipiac MAAC 101.8
187		 101.0
158		 .5216 14-8 11-7 70.3% 73.4% 4.8 1.86
163 DePaul BE 99.8
238		 99.1
121		 .5197 6-11 4-11 38.5% 34.8% 56 1.55
164 Oral Roberts Sum 105.5
104		 104.9
236		 .5164 11-9 10-5 66.8% 58.9% 12.1 1.96
165 Morgan St. MEAC 106.2
81		 105.6
249		 .5150 9-5 7-3 70.9% 66.8% 8 2.5
166 North Dakota St. Sum 101.7
188		 101.2
162		 .5150 12-12 10-6 79.2% 73.8% 1.6 1.86
167 Bellarmine ASun 106.5
77		 105.9
256		 .5146 9-8 8-5 71.2% 74.9% 0 2.44
168 Northeastern CAA 98.6
263		 98.2
104		 .5118 8-9 6-4 66.7% 56.2% 9.6 1.99
169 Pepperdine WCC 101.1
202		 100.9
155		 .5070 8-12 5-8 44.0% 35.1% 22.4 2.03
170 North Texas CUSA 98.7
262		 98.5
110		 .5069 10-11 6-8 39.9% 35.4% 12 1.3
171 Iowa St. B12 100.2
224		 100.1
139		 .5052 7-16 4-14 40.8% 33.2% 48.1 2.12
172 George Mason A10 99.8
237		 99.8
134		 .5004 9-10 6-8 37.6% 34.2% 23.7 2.24
173 Hawaii BW 103.7
142		 103.7
213		 .5003 9-9 9-9 61.9% 58.7% 2.6 2.42
174 Texas St. SB 99.9
235		 99.9
135		 .4999 14-8 9-6 52.2% 51.6% 0 1.98
175 Marshall CUSA 101.9
184		 102.0
179		 .4981 11-10 7-7 56.5% 57.1% 6.3 1.6
176 Utah Valley WAC 103.0
163		 103.0
200		 .4977 10-9 8-5 69.8% 64.1% 19.4 2.53
177 Hartford AE 100.1
228		 100.2
142		 .4974 11-8 9-5 63.0% 53.9% 0 2.32
178 California P12 99.3
247		 99.5
129		 .4931 8-18 5-15 53.7% 45.2% 36.1 1.77
179 Oakland Horz 106.0
88		 106.3
262		 .4916 13-14 12-8 61.4% 60.7% 13.6 2.06
180 Radford BSth 103.2
157		 103.6
209		 .4890 12-11 10-8 65.7% 60.6% 17.7 2.51
181 VMI SC 105.1
114		 105.5
246		 .4889 11-9 8-6 72.7% 63.3% 0 1.87
182 Louisiana Lafayette SB 103.4
151		 103.8
215		 .4874 13-9 10-7 75.3% 65.8% 18.7 2.05
183 UC Davis BW 102.3
172		 102.8
194		 .4863 9-6 7-5 76.0% 76.4% 0 2.12
184 Bradley MVC 102.1
179		 102.6
190		 .4859 11-14 8-10 53.2% 44.6% 4.7 1.68
185 Weber St. BSky 105.6
97		 106.1
259		 .4852 11-9 10-6 52.2% 48.9% 10.4 2.15
186 Stony Brook AE 101.2
201		 101.9
176		 .4823 11-10 9-7 55.3% 55.9% 4.1 2.82
187 Marist MAAC 99.0
257		 99.7
132		 .4813 11-9 10-8 87.4% 83.9% 2.8 2.06
188 Cleveland St. Horz 102.3
171		 103.1
201		 .4784 13-10 12-8 63.0% 58.5% 1.2 2.28
189 Princeton Ivy 101.1
203		 102.0
178		 .4752 0-0 0-0 61.4% 56.8% 18 1.52
190 Mercer SC 100.8
210		 101.7
171		 .4748 12-10 10-7 68.4% 62.3% 10.3 2.13
191 Georgia Southern SB 99.5
245		 100.5
148		 .4715 11-10 9-7 71.8% 62.0% 15.1 2.34
192 New Hampshire AE 104.4
129		 105.4
245		 .4700 10-7 10-5 77.9% 79.1% 0 2.15
193 East Carolina Amer 99.2
252		 100.3
144		 .4673 7-10 4-8 46.8% 45.1% 10.7 2.15
194 Mount St. Mary's NEC 100.9
208		 102.2
184		 .4633 12-10 11-7 79.3% 70.9% 0.4 2.32
195 Southern Miss CUSA 98.1
271		 99.6
131		 .4555 10-12 7-10 71.8% 72.9% 0 2.32
196 Cal St. Fullerton BW 105.5
103		 107.1
277		 .4552 8-6 8-6 81.2% 79.7% 9 2.04
197 UNC Asheville BSth 106.1
85		 107.8
290		 .4546 11-8 7-7 73.5% 71.9% 5.8 2.45
198 Canisius MAAC 104.3
130		 106.0
258		 .4536 5-7 5-7 79.9% 74.4% 1.4 2.33
199 La Salle A10 100.0
232		 101.7
174		 .4493 8-15 6-11 69.5% 69.6% 16.6 1.82
200 Drexel CAA 105.0
118		 106.9
274		 .4474 9-7 5-4 59.0% 55.9% 7.5 2.21
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp.
201 Illinois St. MVC 99.1
256		 100.9
156		 .4469 9-14 7-11 71.8% 66.7% 0 1.74
202 Siena MAAC 100.4
218		 102.3
186		 .4452 10-8 10-8 53.3% 39.3% 7.4 2.18
203 Cincinnati Amer 96.1
301		 98.0
100		 .4450 6-14 4-11 43.6% 37.9% 31.8 1.45
204 Boston College ACC 99.9
234		 101.9
177		 .4436 4-15 2-11 35.0% 29.9% 41.5 1.71
205 Arkansas St. SB 102.5
168		 104.8
235		 .4374 10-9 9-6 77.4% 70.2% 0 1.82
206 Bowling Green MAC 103.2
154		 105.6
247		 .4362 11-13 9-10 51.2% 42.5% 13.1 1.95
207 NJIT AE 101.5
192		 103.9
216		 .4335 9-9 9-7 59.4% 53.1% 0 2.53
208 LIU Brooklyn NEC 100.4
220		 102.7
193		 .4334 11-7 11-7 82.4% 78.6% 3 2.27
209 Western Kentucky CUSA 98.3
267		 101.0
157		 .4242 9-15 6-8 23.6% 21.5% 22.3 1.26
210 Norfolk St. MEAC 101.2
199		 104.0
220		 .4223 11-8 7-5 49.5% 40.1% 1.6 2.45
211 Rider MAAC 104.6
125		 107.5
286		 .4215 9-12 8-10 78.2% 77.1% 3.7 2.52
212 South Florida Amer 96.7
288		 99.4
128		 .4206 5-14 3-11 29.6% 30.6% 21.1 1.82
213 Sacred Heart NEC 105.3
108		 108.4
300		 .4179 10-7 9-7 83.3% 85.8% -0 1.7
214 Penn Ivy 96.6
290		 99.4
127		 .4174 0-0 0-0 35.3% 33.8% 11.9 1.24
215 Lehigh Pat 101.5
191		 104.6
231		 .4143 7-7 7-7 84.0% 78.5% 0 1.94
216 UTSA CUSA 101.5
193		 104.6
232		 .4120 8-12 6-10 68.0% 50.5% 22.3 2.12
217 UNLV MWC 100.6
213		 103.8
214		 .4116 9-14 7-11 35.6% 22.7% 63.5 1.64
218 Stetson ASun 103.1
161		 106.3
263		 .4110 8-12 8-8 80.9% 79.2% 0 1.4
219 UMKC Sum 99.0
258		 102.3
185		 .4073 9-10 7-7 51.0% 33.3% 0 1.61
220 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 103.0
162		 106.4
265		 .4066 8-6 5-4 68.6% 63.7% 4.7 2.18
221 Valparaiso MVC 100.5
217		 104.1
222		 .3997 9-16 6-12 40.8% 37.4% 3.1 1.72
222 Fairfield MAAC 99.3
246		 103.0
199		 .3970 10-13 8-10 73.4% 66.7% 1.8 2.14
223 Manhattan MAAC 96.6
291		 100.1
141		 .3969 9-10 9-9 96.6% 97.7% 17.2 2.93
224 Lipscomb ASun 101.9
185		 105.7
250		 .3963 10-12 7-8 64.3% 59.6% 2.2 2.1
225 New Mexico St. WAC 100.5
216		 104.4
227		 .3933 5-8 5-7 32.7% 28.9% 3.2 2.19
226 Saint Joseph's A10 100.3
223		 104.2
224		 .3925 4-14 3-9 86.4% 83.0% 26.2 2
227 Kent St. MAC 99.5
244		 103.5
207		 .3889 9-13 8-11 46.9% 39.4% 0 1.94
228 George Washington A10 102.5
169		 106.6
269		 .3880 7-8 2-6 41.7% 41.0% 49.3 2.03
229 Louisiana Monroe SB 100.5
215		 104.7
233		 .3864 13-12 9-9 63.8% 65.4% -0 2.38
230 High Point BSth 101.7
189		 105.9
254		 .3860 10-12 8-9 75.2% 74.5% 1.6 1.78
231 Middle Tennessee CUSA 100.4
219		 104.5
229		 .3860 8-13 6-10 57.7% 53.6% 10.9 2.39
232 Detroit Horz 106.5
76		 111.2
340		 .3791 10-10 8-8 38.9% 44.2% 13.3 1.88
233 Seattle WAC 96.5
293		 100.8
153		 .3789 8-9 4-5 70.5% 55.7% 4 2.28
234 Long Beach St. BW 99.1
254		 103.6
211		 .3740 6-10 5-7 51.7% 42.1% 8.1 1.74
235 North Florida ASun 104.0
139		 108.8
306		 .3722 7-13 5-7 81.4% 84.1% 0 1.76
236 Pittsburgh ACC 96.4
295		 101.1
161		 .3665 5-16 2-14 40.5% 30.4% 47.1 1.25
237 Robert Morris Horz 104.9
120		 110.0
327		 .3663 8-9 7-8 28.2% 25.5% 9.3 2
238 Tennessee Tech OVC 102.1
178		 107.3
281		 .3616 11-16 9-11 74.3% 69.4% 11.4 2.04
239 Towson CAA 103.9
141		 109.2
314		 .3585 8-9 6-6 60.4% 55.6% 8.1 2.29
240 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 101.0
205		 106.4
264		 .3564 13-13 10-10 78.3% 75.1% 8.2 2.46
241 Monmouth MAAC 99.1
255		 104.3
225		 .3562 8-11 7-11 47.1% 42.5% -0 2.15
242 The Citadel SC 103.5
147		 109.1
311		 .3534 9-10 7-9 66.9% 59.7% 2.3 1.87
243 Presbyterian BSth 101.1
204		 106.6
268		 .3510 9-11 7-10 97.4% 96.7% 0 1.91
244 Albany AE 102.2
176		 107.9
292		 .3483 7-7 6-6 13.8% 6.5% 0 1.76
245 Jacksonville ASun 100.0
231		 105.6
248		 .3480 9-13 5-9 51.2% 48.3% 10.6 2.57
246 Lafayette Pat 103.7
143		 109.5
319		 .3478 6-8 6-8 59.7% 53.9% 5.4 2.15
247 Pacific WCC 95.7
306		 101.1
160		 .3475 5-11 3-10 43.6% 40.8% 4.9 2.08
248 Cal St. Northridge BW 104.3
133		 110.2
329		 .3470 8-12 5-9 74.6% 74.4% 11 2.28
249 Kennesaw St. ASun 98.9
259		 104.5
228		 .3465 8-12 7-8 94.1% 94.1% 19.1 1.87
250 Western Illinois Sum 102.7
165		 108.5
303		 .3451 9-11 6-8 56.4% 51.7% 4.9 2.74
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp.
251 Ball St. MAC 94.4
316		 100.1
140		 .3375 8-14 6-11 51.2% 37.8% 5.6 1.92
252 Fort Wayne Horz 102.6
166		 108.8
307		 .3365 11-10 10-10 56.9% 56.9% 0 2.02
253 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 104.3
132		 110.7
336		 .3351 11-13 9-9 56.8% 49.4% 0 1.44
254 Chattanooga SC 96.5
294		 102.4
188		 .3348 10-13 7-9 59.6% 48.0% 3.3 2.05
255 Fordham A10 93.0
327		 98.8
114		 .3332 3-10 3-10 69.2% 65.4% 0.2 2.13
256 Idaho St. BSky 98.7
261		 104.9
237		 .3319 9-9 8-6 77.2% 65.8% 0 2.31
257 American Pat 97.0
281		 103.4
205		 .3248 3-6 3-6 69.2% 61.2% 0 1.78
258 Cal Baptist WAC 101.4
194		 108.2
297		 .3229 8-10 5-7 65.2% 61.9% 5.5 2.07
259 Cal Poly BW 100.8
209		 107.7
288		 .3195 7-14 5-11 52.2% 54.7% -0 1.8
260 Texas Southern SWAC 98.6
264		 105.4
244		 .3176 11-10 10-4 46.2% 45.1% 4.6 2.56
261 Bucknell Pat 99.1
253		 106.2
260		 .3126 4-6 4-6 62.1% 53.6% 3.6 2.01
262 South Alabama SB 101.3
197		 108.7
305		 .3076 7-15 5-12 15.5% 8.5% 33.5 2.52
263 Hofstra CAA 98.1
272		 105.2
242		 .3071 8-13 6-8 57.0% 52.7% 8.9 1.67
264 Dixie St. WAC 97.3
277		 104.6
230		 .3049 8-11 6-8 76.7% 69.1% 1.6 2.07
265 UMass Lowell AE 99.9
233		 107.4
283		 .3045 6-13 5-10 80.8% 70.2% 6.2 1.99
266 Boston University Pat 99.2
249		 106.7
270		 .3026 7-9 7-9 61.9% 54.0% 9.8 2.4
267 William & Mary CAA 96.6
289		 104.0
219		 .3005 5-10 3-7 83.9% 79.2% 0 1.94
268 Montana St. BSky 99.7
240		 107.5
285		 .2960 9-9 8-6 44.7% 38.2% 13.5 1.73
269 Army Pat 95.9
303		 103.4
206		 .2956 7-11 5-9 49.7% 51.5% 0 1.38
270 St. Francis NY NEC 100.6
214		 108.5
301		 .2954 8-11 8-10 49.5% 45.5% -0 2.44
271 Delaware CAA 96.3
298		 104.0
218		 .2937 6-7 5-4 52.8% 40.9% 0 1.64
272 Cal St. Bakersfield BW 99.8
239		 108.0
293		 .2874 8-15 6-12 27.4% 25.1% 13.8 2.38
273 North Alabama ASun 98.1
270		 106.2
261		 .2860 6-11 5-10 58.8% 52.6% 0 2.09
274 Charleston Southern BSth 97.6
275		 105.8
252		 .2840 7-13 6-11 69.4% 64.3% 0 1.83
275 UT Rio Grande Valley WAC 95.8
305		 103.9
217		 .2824 5-8 2-4 73.5% 64.6% 5.5 2.72
276 UNC Wilmington CAA 101.3
198		 109.9
324		 .2812 6-9 3-4 39.5% 30.5% 4.8 2.15
277 Howard MEAC 103.4
149		 112.2
351		 .2810 2-2 0-0 73.6% 70.9% 3.8 2
278 Prairie View A&M SWAC 94.8
312		 102.9
196		 .2803 10-8 9-4 48.6% 44.0% 2 2.43
279 UT Arlington SB 95.4
309		 103.6
210		 .2799 8-14 7-10 51.5% 33.0% 0 2.09
280 USC Upstate BSth 99.6
241		 108.3
299		 .2780 6-15 5-11 56.0% 39.7% 13.2 2.47
281 Austin Peay OVC 98.3
268		 106.9
273		 .2754 11-13 9-11 61.7% 52.4% 2.9 2.01
282 Maine AE 93.8
323		 102.1
181		 .2728 2-7 2-6 70.7% 68.3% 0 1.78
283 East Tennessee St. SC 96.6
292		 105.2
241		 .2722 7-14 5-10 3.1% 2.0% 7.5 0.93
284 Tennessee St. OVC 99.2
250		 108.2
298		 .2694 9-13 8-12 28.8% 19.6% 17.8 2.08
285 Binghamton AE 99.8
236		 108.9
308		 .2683 7-10 5-9 78.6% 72.9% 0 2.16
286 St. Francis PA NEC 98.2
269		 107.2
278		 .2672 9-13 8-10 77.7% 69.5% 0 1.76
287 Western Michigan MAC 98.0
274		 107.0
275		 .2660 7-13 5-11 50.8% 45.3% 3.5 2.3
288 Milwaukee Horz 96.7
287		 105.9
255		 .2609 7-12 7-10 38.4% 36.9% 11 1.91
289 Sacramento St. BSky 100.4
221		 109.9
325		 .2599 6-11 5-9 35.3% 17.9% 2.4 2.27
290 Illinois Chicago Horz 94.4
317		 103.5
208		 .2573 9-12 7-9 56.5% 52.5% 14.6 2.38
291 New Mexico MWC 92.9
331		 102.2
183		 .2516 4-15 4-13 66.1% 60.5% 11.4 2.17
292 Little Rock SB 95.5
308		 105.1
239		 .2513 8-16 6-12 56.5% 51.1% 0 2.04
293 Florida A&M SWAC 93.8
322		 103.7
212		 .2392 8-11 7-5 52.1% 52.8% 0 1.95
294 Evansville MVC 99.6
243		 110.1
328		 .2391 7-17 4-14 44.5% 54.1% 0 2.23
295 FIU CUSA 94.7
314		 104.7
234		 .2384 6-16 4-13 47.2% 35.5% 14 2.05
296 SIU Edwardsville OVC 96.9
284		 107.4
284		 .2340 9-15 7-12 71.1% 61.0% 2.8 2.1
297 Northern Arizona BSky 99.2
251		 110.0
326		 .2324 6-14 5-9 66.7% 56.8% 15.1 1.96
298 Niagara MAAC 98.5
265		 109.4
316		 .2316 5-13 5-11 45.0% 45.3% 3.6 2.34
299 Indiana St. MVC 92.7
334		 102.9
197		 .2302 5-17 4-14 29.8% 23.6% 9.9 1.6
300 Air Force MWC 97.0
283		 107.7
289		 .2300 6-18 5-15 52.0% 50.6% 0 1.92
Rk Team Conf AdjOE AdjDE Barthag Proj. Record Ret Mins RPMs Talent Exp.
301 Incarnate Word Slnd 100.2
225		 111.4
344		 .2290 9-9 8-6 68.2% 54.9% 0 1.46
302 New Orleans Slnd 97.1
279		 108.0
294		 .2273 11-11 10-5 45.0% 42.0% 3.6 2.4
303 Southern SWAC 96.3
296		 107.2
279		 .2260 9-9 8-6 47.1% 36.9% -0 2.22
304 North Carolina A&T BSth 96.3
299		 107.6
287		 .2192 7-12 4-4 39.0% 34.3% 15.1 2.24
305 North Dakota Sum 98.0
273		 109.7
321		 .2151 6-19 5-11 45.6% 43.1% 0 1.88
306 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 97.2
278		 109.0
309		 .2109 10-14 9-7 60.6% 61.4% 0 2.14
307 Coppin St. MEAC 95.0
311		 106.6
267		 .2107 6-15 4-8 42.2% 29.4% 0 1.7
308 Jackson St. SWAC 89.0
350		 99.9
136		 .2096 7-9 7-4 37.2% 30.0% 0.1 1.62
309 Alabama A&M SWAC 91.9
340		 103.4
204		 .2051 7-8 6-7 92.1% 92.8% -0 1.72
310 Delaware St. MEAC 100.1
227		 112.8
355		 .2036 4-11 3-7 64.6% 53.1% 10.6 1.9
311 College of Charleston CAA 96.8
286		 109.0
310		 .2025 6-10 3-7 16.9% 11.3% 9.3 1.61
312 Green Bay Horz 97.4
276		 109.8
323		 .2004 8-16 7-13 42.2% 31.1% 1.4 1.24
313 Houston Baptist Slnd 99.3
248		 112.0
349		 .2004 8-14 8-7 63.0% 60.7% 0 1.72
314 Northern Illinois MAC 94.2
318		 106.5
266		 .1968 6-13 4-10 64.7% 60.4% 4.3 2.52
315 Alcorn St. SWAC 97.0
282		 109.8
322		 .1946 7-11 7-6 52.6% 48.9% -0 2.42
316 Troy SB 93.0
328		 105.3
243		 .1932 5-18 3-13 60.6% 54.0% 0.6 1.97
317 Brown Ivy 90.6
344		 102.6
191		 .1925 0-0 0-0 38.1% 23.9% 6.9 1.22
318 Holy Cross Pat 96.3
297		 109.2
313		 .1914 5-11 5-11 71.7% 65.3% 0 1.54
319 Samford SC 93.7
324		 107.1
276		 .1778 4-12 3-8 44.3% 38.2% 2.1 1.64
320 Eastern Washington BSky 94.2
319		 107.8
291		 .1744 5-14 5-10 19.9% 14.9% 0.1 1.05
321 South Carolina St. MEAC 97.1
280		 111.5
345		 .1694 6-12 4-4 56.3% 50.9% 0 1.46
322 UMBC AE 92.0
338		 105.8
253		 .1661 4-15 3-11 40.6% 37.9% -0 2.38
323 Northwestern St. Slnd 96.3
300		 110.8
338		 .1647 9-17 8-8 40.6% 40.5% 0 1.86
324 Alabama St. SWAC 94.2
320		 108.5
302		 .1645 9-9 9-9 62.2% 54.4% 13.3 2.22
325 UC San Diego BW 95.9
304		 110.5
333		 .1645 2-12 2-10 46.8% 45.8% 0 1.79
326 Hampton BSth 94.7
313		 109.7
320		 .1570 5-18 4-14 62.6% 53.4% 13.2 2.41
327 Youngstown St. Horz 96.1
302		 111.3
341		 .1565 6-15 6-14 43.7% 33.0% 0 1.16
328 Denver Sum 95.2
310		 110.4
332		 .1533 5-15 4-10 59.6% 48.5% 3.4 2.21
329 San Jose St. MWC 93.0
329		 108.1
295		 .1502 3-16 3-14 73.0% 59.1% 9.4 2.12
330 McNeese St. Slnd 95.6
307		 111.3
343		 .1470 7-10 7-7 40.2% 25.9% 4.6 2.06
331 Nebraska Omaha Sum 92.0
337		 107.3
280		 .1467 5-19 3-11 62.6% 52.3% 2.3 2.48
332 Grambling St. SWAC 92.0
339		 107.3
282		 .1444 7-14 7-8 33.2% 32.1% 0 2.08
333 IUPUI Horz 92.6
335		 108.1
296		 .1441 5-12 4-12 54.3% 39.6% 0 2.37
334 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 96.9
285		 113.1
356		 .1438 8-17 8-9 75.3% 66.6% 0 2.24
335 Dartmouth Ivy 91.0
343		 106.8
272		 .1360 0-0 0-0 29.8% 23.2% 4.6 1.46
336 Central Arkansas ASun 94.6
315		 111.6
346		 .1293 6-17 6-10 53.6% 42.0% 1.3 1.97
337 Wagner NEC 93.5
325		 110.6
335		 .1271 4-15 4-14 25.8% 20.9% 0 0.79
338 Central Connecticut NEC 93.8
321		 111.2
339		 .1242 5-16 4-14 32.4% 28.0% -0 1.81
339 Central Michigan MAC 92.7
333		 110.4
331		 .1190 4-16 3-13 41.3% 24.5% 0.7 1.83
340 Portland St. BSky 89.4
347		 106.8
271		 .1152 3-14 3-11 49.8% 38.4% 8.9 1.91
341 Cornell Ivy 92.9
330		 111.3
342		 .1119 0-0 0-0 38.4% 27.9% 0 1.37
342 Stephen F. Austin WAC 87.9
354		 105.7
251		 .1067 6-12 5-10 35.3% 28.3% 0 1.6
343 Portland WCC 92.9
332		 111.8
348		 .1061 2-15 1-10 7.1% 4.8% 0 1.12
344 Idaho BSky 93.3
326		 112.4
353		 .1047 5-18 5-15 32.0% 29.2% 0 1.77
345 St. Thomas Sum 91.6
342		 110.8
337		 .1013 0-0 0-0 70.0% 70.0% 0 0.55
346 Nicholls St. Slnd 92.3
336		 112.1
350		 .0963 6-16 5-11 9.3% 6.0% 0 1.59
347 Bethune Cookman SWAC 89.6
346		 109.2
312		 .0938 0-0 0-0 22.1% 16.9% 0 0.75
348 Columbia Ivy 90.6
345		 110.5
334		 .0925 0-0 0-0 26.4% 18.6% 11.1 1.04
349 Eastern Michigan MAC 88.6
351		 108.7
304		 .0865 2-13 2-12 19.4% 12.7% 0 1.18
350 Eastern Illinois OVC 89.1
349		 109.4
317		 .0857 5-22 4-16 39.5% 19.2% 0 1.71
351 Chicago St. WAC 91.8
341		 114.4
357		 .0734 1-8 0-0 56.8% 47.6% 0 2.11
352 Lamar WAC 87.6
355		 109.5
318		 .0714 5-20 5-12 10.3% 10.6% 0 1.75
353 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 87.4
356		 109.3
315		 .0710 4-17 4-11 46.2% 33.0% 0 2.53
354 Western Carolina SC 89.1
348		 112.3
352		 .0650 2-22 2-15 11.0% 9.0% 0 1.13
355 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 87.4
357		 110.3
330		 .0644 0-0 0-0 34.0% 35.4% 0 1.41
356 North Carolina Central MEAC 88.0
352		 111.7
347		 .0606 2-10 2-6 23.2% 16.4% 6 2.18
357 Tennessee Martin OVC 87.9
353		 115.1
358		 .0434 2-21 2-18 18.4% 13.5% 0 1.64
358 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 83.8
358		 112.6
354		 .0327 2-23 2-14 44.2% 37.3% 0 2.32

Compiled by Bart Torvik from sacred data and secret formulas.